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Brett's WeatherPlus Blog

Where is Ike Headed?

Good Tuesday Morning,

   Hurricane Ike is creating a lot discussion.  Here is the latest hi-res snapshot of Ike from one of NASA's satellites.  It has an eye and as of Tuesday morning was a category one hurricane with max winds around 80 miles per hour. 

  Looking at the satellite picture, it appears "Ike" is gaining strength.  The eye is just off the south central Cuban coast and it is forecast to move out over the warm waters of the Gulf.  But where does it go from there?

  

   Just look at the variance...central Mexico to southwest Louisiana.  The European model is the one that takes it into southwest Louisiana, the NAM shoves it farther south into northern Mexico.  The track, generally used by most national forecasts is the one that splits the difference and goes right down the middle.  If you have been watching this closely, you may have noticed the track has changed every day farther south & west.  So is the trend farther south and west or will the European model be right and is a right hand turn in the cards?  The only thing agreed upon is a Saturday landfall.  Where do you think "Ike" will make landfall? Let me know, maybe we can come up with a consensus.

Brett

 

Published Tuesday, September 09, 2008 10:45 AM by wxman5

Comments

 

A dogg said:

I think Ike will make landfall around the border of texas and mexico.
September 9, 2008 12:30 PM
 

juba said:

I think will make a Mexic/U.S. Border land fall (not good!)
September 9, 2008 4:33 PM
 

WinterTracker said:

I still think Ike could be a Cat. 4 when it makes landfall.
September 10, 2008 6:55 AM
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