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New data.....Here we go again!

Good evening bloggers,

We are making updates to some computers, and the 7 day forecast and other graphics on our web page will be old for another few hours.  We will get it back up as soon as possible.

I will wait until after the GFS comes out before adjusting the forecast.  But, this is becoming more of a storm system on the latest NAM model.  As a result the cold front is slower by just a few hours.  This will affect the snowfall potential for areas down to the south.  Let's wait on the GFS and I will update this blog later this evening.  I did not like this NAM run, as it has most of the snow across Iowa and Nebraska.  Don't panic yet! Let's see how this trends. The NAM has been a very bad model this year.

More after the newscast!

Gary

Published Monday, January 14, 2008 8:23 PM by glezak

Comments

 

kellyann said:

Bummer! Just when I thought there looked like a chance for us South of KC.... :(
January 14, 2008 8:39 PM
 

Andrew_Stafford said:

Bad NAM! BAD, BAD, BAD!! (spanking the NAM)!!
January 14, 2008 8:47 PM
 

lezakEF5 said:

Cant wait to see how wednesday PM plays out!!!
January 14, 2008 8:49 PM
 

LVStormSpotter said:

So hopefully the heaviest towards oh maybe Leavenworth! : )

-----------------

It is too early to speculate, but we do have a pattern of snow up north this year.

Gary

January 14, 2008 8:49 PM
 

stjoelawyer said:

sorry for they use of the word THEY on they prior blog i was refering to the models 2-5 days out not any weather forecasts. . .in my defense. . .but no more they i will be more clear.  Now we wait and watch an overunning situtation and hope the cold sinks ib first....blow blue norther....
January 14, 2008 8:53 PM
 

heavysnow said:

I don't believe in the NAM
January 14, 2008 8:54 PM
 

nwmissourigal said:

I am new to the blog, but I am learning so much. The maps are still a little tricky for me, but hopefully I will catch on soon. I am ready for some snow and really don't mind the cold weather. I live up north of Lawson, so I will try to report on the weather up here. I am becomming a believer in LCR and find it very interesting. My father was an old time farmer and he was one of the best weather forcasting I knew, until reading this blog. But my dad depended on alot of old wives tales about winter, but he did pretty good predicting winter. Thanks for the great blog and I hope to learn much more much.

------------

We are so glad that you are learning and enjoying the blog!  Let's see what happens with this strange set up.

Gary

January 14, 2008 8:56 PM
 

Husky07 said:

dang it, Lee's Summit better get some accumulation. do you think we could see some and what time does the GFS come out?
January 14, 2008 8:56 PM
 

Fire Dog said:

I have NO reason to look at the NAM anymore.  Not 12 hrs ago it was saying that all the moisture was going to be down south and I mean way down south and 12 hrs later its saying its going to be 400 miles to the north.

---------------

Yes, and we will have another idea in less than one hour as the GFS comes out. This is a very strange storm and set up.  We must practice patience, as there is still another 6 model runs between now and the storm.

Gary

January 14, 2008 9:01 PM
 

Andrew_Stafford said:

A NEW HD Computer?  I bet so.
January 14, 2008 9:02 PM
 

Husky07 said:

what time does the GFS com out?
January 14, 2008 9:15 PM
 

momof3nBasehor said:

Gary,

I have a question about the end of Feb. I know it is early but with the pattern that you have found can you tell me if it is going to be wet? Again I know it is early but I am driving down to Wichita for my oldest as she is in a choir thing the last weekend of Feb. and I really don't want there to be bad weather, so any info you can give ;) would be great! BTW PLEASE let it snow in Basehor this week!!!!!! Quit saying it is and then taking it away!!! JK I know you really can control it! Luv u guys anyway!!
January 14, 2008 9:18 PM
 

N2mountains said:

Ok, South of I-70 let's just move onto Spring and call it a winter.

Those north of I-70, you just have the time of your life cleaning your driveways, shoveling snow, slipping on ice, and whatever fun stuff comes along with it.
This is getting old real quick!

Gary, you better work some magic as the southern bloggers are suffering?
January 14, 2008 9:22 PM
 

twister11 said:

Any body at NBC weather plus...
I am making a website for my school about my top weather stations, of course I put u guys as number 1, and I wanted to make sure that it is ok for me to use a group picture of the fantastic 4 for my site :D thanks.

-----------------

Yes, you have permission.  Send us a copy if you can.

Gary

January 14, 2008 9:25 PM
 

f00dl3 said:

Even if we do get some snow out of this, If it gets up to 48 is it going to have some problems sticking initially?

------------

Let's just wait and see how it sets up before we worry about this.  The NAM could be just the outlier model.

Gary

January 14, 2008 9:25 PM
 

twister11 said:

Gary, what would u like a copy of?
January 14, 2008 9:29 PM
 

Andrew_Stafford said:

twister, I think he means a copy of the website.
January 14, 2008 9:39 PM
 

Husky07 said:

whats the new GFS say
January 14, 2008 9:42 PM
 

Andrew_Stafford said:

Husky,

Probably says watch NBC Action NEWS@10pm :)
January 14, 2008 9:44 PM
 

twister11 said:

I didnt know if he wanted that, or the copy of the pic im using.
January 14, 2008 9:45 PM
 

Andrew_Stafford said:

Post the website link first then he'll be able to see both
January 14, 2008 9:54 PM
 

Husky07 said:

haha nice one andrew i think ill do that :)
January 14, 2008 9:56 PM
 

simplykristi said:

The new GFS out?  Crazy models!

Kristi
January 14, 2008 9:58 PM
 

nastyweather said:

Well at least the GFS still shows a nice band of moisture from south to north:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwpara/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_p60_060m.gif

NAM seems to be all whacked out from one run to the next, but the GFS is more consistent.  Anyway I like this!
January 14, 2008 9:59 PM
 

twister11 said:

Andrew,
My website does not work like that.
January 14, 2008 10:03 PM
 

Fire Dog said:

Oh Im loving the GFS!!!!
January 14, 2008 10:13 PM
 

Pages tagged "graphics" said:

January 15, 2008 9:15 AM
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