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snow

More snow.

Yes snow and a lot of it too please?

off topic but how do they know how many people watch?

yes, snow PLEASE!

heavy snow

It's coming.  Whats on the ground won't melt either.
WOW.. current observation here in Olathe 16.9 degrees and falling steadily.
********** Arctic Air Warning****** What about a Deepfreeze Warning?
This is nice... I am going to take the kids sledding and don't have to worry about which day for awhile, its not melting for awhile.   Looking forward to the next snow!
16.4 degrees wind NW 6 mph.   Pressure is rising.  

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Yes, I should have issued an Arctic Air Warning!  Have fun sledding.

Gary

It looks like what ever falls form the sky will be light, qpf is low

Yeah, but there are bigger ones coming.  Any snow is fun!

your right I do enjoy any snow, I worry that monday will bring frz drizzle, the NWS is really harping on that

Well, just stick to NBC, they know exactly what will happen.  I converted two weeks ago..... I give.  There just to exact and make it fun!

Boy...talk about a quite night here!  Anyway Gary, the next few days are going to be really nice with this cold air.  Question though...the "other station" at 4PM said one week from Monday, we could be headed towards 60 degrees.  She said that after next Friday, it looks that our cold spell will be over and we will start to head into a much milder pattern.  PLEASE tell me thats not right!?!  Looking at the models, around next Monday and Tuesday we warm up.  But to me there looks like there is a dip in the Pacific that is rather cold that looks to be entering the west coast about the time we warm up.  In your opinion, within the next 15 days, does it look like we will get cold again with ANY chance of snow that would be "big"?  I know it's a long way out...but just seen' if you know.  Thanks Gary!

Is everybody sick or something....am I the only one on here???  Gaarrrrrryyy....are you even on here???

I'm going to loose my mind here people!!!  SOMEBODY talk!  The weather is getting nice and cold...lets talk about it!

12 degree's here in Lee's Summit!

Hey Jake lol Im here

Finally!  Somebody!  Yippeeee!

Dude its so cold outside even in my house im wearing a long sleeve shirt and a hoodie that might be a little bit cold lol and my name is jacob to

I'm here Jacob.  Just checking in to see how much it's not going to snow.  Another miss to the north.  Shocking....  Wake me up when it actually snows enough to matter.


Matt.

that's cool!  yeah, it's very cold outside!  I love it...If I could, I would pack up Gary and his weather team and we would all move up to the Artic and live with the Polar Bears!  Well except for Jeremy...we will just send him to work down south where it's warm...YUCK!

Well Matt...looks like you will be sleeping like a bear!  Don't count on it for a while!  Maybe a little on Monday...but in your words...not enough to matter!  LOL.

Matt im with you there wake me up when it actually gets a little bit interesting. Maybe when the we all move to Antartica we might get a little snow, but if we did that it would snow a bunch here lol MISSOURI'S LUCKS  

I just made a run into Warrensburg.  It is cold and windy.  I sure would like to have some significant snow (beyond 2-3 inches) this winter.  I live about 16 miles NW of the 'Burg, so we country folks have seen a little more snow than the ones in town.  

yawn. hello? Even though I'm moving to the southwest because of this weather I'd sure like to see 1 more  big snow storm before I leave. how do you do this snow dance?

spaceotteradam...you just shake your butt and wave your hands and scream...LET IT SNOW!  Atleast thats how I do it!

spaceotterdam lol man you'll have a better chance down there for snow

down to 6 degrees in Kearney

 Hello everyone, anyone look at new data what does monday look like for kc???????

Good evening Weather Team!! In the middle of Sleep Over part IV just when you thought it was safe to clean up the house..... so a quick check in:

Quickly approaching the single digits here in SW Lawrence-currently at 11-not sure what the official reading is for Lawrence but my humble abode is sitting at 11. No WAA to stop us tonight LOL Unleash the hounds!!

Jacob:

Just a couple of thoughts:

1. Remember, Gary and the team put out their thoughts back in early January and they have stated several times including yesterday with great maps and analysis that everything is on track.

2. I fully admit that I have not looked beyond today for the past 5 days but going off of memory, there was even in the stromy part of this pattern the opportunities for warm ups and combine that with the fact that we are gaining day light pretty quickly now it would not be surprsing if we did have a few days of warm weather between now and mid February. Also, Climatology tells us that after a big cold snap like we are now experiencing, we usually do warm up. Rarely, in any decade, have we had a winter where the cold like this or highs in the 20's locks in for a month-it just does not happen that often. So, taking the LRC and Climo there is for sure a possibility of having a day or two where we warm up maybe even significantly

3. Putting two aside, it is my guess that that particular forecast is based on one maybe two runs of the GFS one even being the off run. Furthermore, taking into account that 85% of those watching that forecast would want to hear about a warm up and there being one run of one model that supported it, the forecast was made.

Just my thoughts-hang in there man-the models will flip flop around like a Bass on a Buzz Bait-I am a believer in the LRC and will always be and that is what I will follow-and of course more importantly the analysis by Gary, Jeff, Jeremy, and Brett!!!

Have a great night-I hope that when the "sleep over" calms down I will be able to post some more temp. observations and maybe this weekend really dive into the next few weeks with the hope some of the ideas will stick LOL!!!

Bill in Lawrence

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Bill,

Thanks, now I have to go back and look for Jacobs concerns.

Gary

yawn. hello? Even though I'm moving to the southwest because of this weather I'd sure like to see 1 more  big snow storm before I leave. how do you do this snow dance?

Sorry, one more thought:

I also think that it is telling that around January 3rd when many local media outlets, weather forums, and national media were talking about the end of winter for the lower 48 it was here that talk of the cold returning in about 3 weeks began to really rev up!!!

Just a thought

Bill in Lawrence

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Bill,

Please expand on this thought next week, so we don't beat our own drum!  Isn't it amazing.  Not only was our forecast the exact opposite of those, but it is almost 100% right, which makes those others 100% wrong.   There is no middle ground and we are obviously proud of our forecasts.  We will continue using the LRC, and maybe others soon will see that it is indeed a major discovery.

Gary

Dang this lrc thing could become a ground breaking alteration to how forecasting is done! AfteR watching the blog for a few months I'm becoming a believer. :) I bet that other channel is hating that you're not there anymore Gary. ;)

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Thanks, the LRC has been helping.  We have been on a roll for months now, but there is always that time we trip up.  I hate that day, but maybe it won't happen. LOL.

Gary

WHY DOES THIS BLOG REPEATEDLY POST MY COMMENTS? I swear fellow bloggers I'm only posting them once.

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You may have clicked save more than once.  I deleted one of yours.

Gary

Hey...thanks Bill!  Great points.  I'm not doubting Gary at all.  I strongly believe in the LRC and that will never change.  Just don't want warm ups!  Love the cold...and it seems that when ever it warms up...thats when we get our nice storms, and there is not enough cold air for snow...just stupid RAIN!  Thats why I don't like warm weather in the winter.  Or any time for that matter.

You see. How much snow are we gonna get monday. I want to know.

"Thanks, now I have to go back and look for Jacobs concerns."

Oh nooo...Gary don't get mad...please...???  lol. :)

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Jacob,

I won't!  Just be patient with this pattern.  Remember, EVERY other weather source we know of out there had no idea it would turn this cold.  It has happened, and this is not the stormy part of the pattern.  Remember that 45 day forecast.  So far it is right on, even amazing to myself.  So, let's just see how it sets up later this month and through the first half of February.  We are predicting the future and it is amazing the accuracy we have had this year.  It will definitely make it into my next presentation of the LRC.   Try to enjoy the moment.  Have a great weekend and we will worry about the long range when it gets into the shorter range.  The next storm early next week is absolutely strange at this moment, so let's try to figure out that first.

Gary

Currently it is 3F at the Lawrence Municipal Airport.

chfs327,

Probably at most a dusting.  Look at the updated 7-day on the weather page.  Not good.  Our temperatures went up more.  Don't count on much if any snow.  

Gary, we really need that temperature to go down!!!!! See if you can work on that! :) :P

I really want it to snow. Lets hope it the trend is toward more snow and less liquid stuff!

David

"We will add more on Monday's set up in a few minutes...."

Will this be added after the 10PM news Gary?

Jacob, Not much snow? On the long ranger, there is a chance Sat night into Sunday and 80% chance on Monday, and another chance on Thurs, it look pretty active to me

Ok Gary!  And your right...you guys have done so WONDERFUL with your forecast!  It blows me away with how accurate you all have been!  I don't want you to ever think I don't trust you and the LRC what so ever.  Because I DO!  It's great.  How crazy is Monday's storm?  What would you say our chance of accumulating snow is?  I don't know if you can really answer that now...but you never know.  lol.  

Boy...where is Scott tonight?  It would be nice to have his input also.  Oh well.

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Jacob,

Scott is likely just sitting on the sidelines.  This part of the pattern is quite hard to explain.

Get some sleep!

Gary

chiefsfan,

Mostly all rain...may be an 80% chance, but looks to be rain and less snow.  It could change...like we all know.

Jacob, you're talkative tonight.....

I want it to snow! on Monday!...sorry but I am sick of these  1 inch snowstorms!...this last one was weak!...lol

bring on the 6 inchers!!!

Brent

The six inchers that Gary said would come later in the month?....

Hello again Brent!  yeah...I haven't been on for a while, and plus I have nothing to do...so why not talk about the thing that never get old...atleast for me anyway.  My parents a lot of the time want to put tape over my mouth to get me to stop talking about it!  lol.  If I don't stop talking to them about it...they say "go talk to your blogger friends and Gary!"  

I really hope this storm will turn into something nice for us all on Monday...but I don't have a good feeling...you?

2 degrees in kearney

My dad is scheduled to have an operation Monday. My parents  are elderly and I am worried about 1) me getting to their house to help them  2) getting my mother home from the hospital if my dad has to stay at the hospital...let alone getting my dad home from the hospital.  This 80 percent of whatever it is really has me worried about getting my parents home from the hospital Monday.......  will it be ice??????????  

How can it be just rain on Mon. with the temperatures as cold as they are going to be the next few days?  sorry, thanks, anything to ease my mind about possibly having to help my parents to the hospital and back Mon.  ....?  

yeah hey Jacob,

LOL.....I don't really have a good feeling about it either....Gary isn't to excited...

by the way where are all the big storms we were expecting?....

Don't worry Brent...there coming!  Just wait.  Just believe in the LRC!

I believe in It.....

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And Brent, remember this is not the stormy part of the pattern.  It is forecast to arrive between January 25th and February 20th.  Take it one day at a time, and there are still chances with Mondays, and later in the week.

Gary

I'm glad me and you are on the same page on Monday's storm...but remember...IT WILL CHANGE.  But right now...I don't think we will get much of anything.

Good night everybody!  Have a great night!

Also...Jeremy...can I just have the tickets to the Packers game without buying the condo...although, it looks very nice! LOL.

Hope for snow!  

Gary, Interesting setup for Monday- will be fun to watch..have a good weekend and stay warm....

Jeremy-- Good Luck on the Condo sale- I cannot believe you have to throw in your Packer tickets!  Keep us posted!

Kudos to the best wx team in KC!  Actually, best of the few other cities I have lived in also.  Love the positive attitudes, friendly smiles, and obvious commitment and dedication to the wx and your viewers.  

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Thanks for the post.  It gets even better starting next weekend as we will have on an hour long morning show each Saturday and Sunday morning.

Jeremy

Current temp in LV is - 1.4, it'll continue to get colder. : O

Already down to -4 in St. Joseph. Brrrrrr!  I am curious, I've heard some talk around town about another possible ice storm?  Any signs of this?? It might just be talk because many fear the thought of another ice storm after December. I know I have no desire to go through something like that again this winter.

My thermom says 10.5 right now.  hmmm... maybe it's frozen? =)

Wow the official temp for St. Joe is -8, WOW, that is bitter, not only that but the dew point is -12, with calm winds and clear skies, we may make the low teens below zero officially! Maybe anyway, well my digital thermometer is reading 4.5 above at my house!  Going by the LRC this wasn't the coldest part of the last cycle either, so wow this is going to be a crazy next month!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Nick,

There's a chance even KCI with a deeper snow pack could see -8 to -10 before this season is over.  The potential is there down the road.

Jeremy

If jeremy's out there I not only smell polar bears now I hear them!

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They are very close!

Jeremy

Jeremy, my flight for Texas leaves at 6am on Monday...am I'm going to get out????  It's too cold for human beings.....brrrrrrrrr.  And yes, there is room in my suitcase, ya wanna come along?  =).  I'll wiggle my toes in the sand and soak up some sun for ya!

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If you leave that early I think you will  be fine.  Most of the precip. occurs around midday and after for KC.

Jeremy

Thank you!

Wow!  -8 here 2 miles west of Smithville at this hour.

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Any idea the last time you were that cold at your house?

Jeremy

Good morning Jeremy and the weather team---It is minus 1 here at Berryton.  It was zero about 30 minutes ago and then it slipped under.   It must be about 10 more days until the "big" storm system arrives?  Is the pattern doing funny things that might cause a fluctuation because of the way the next Artic front is coming in?  The question will be, I suppose, will the next big precip be snow or will it warm up enough to just cause rain?  I just hope it isn't another ice storm. Keep on watching for us.  I look at the long range models but they change so much. They can't keep up with the LRC.  Thanks, Michael/Berryton/Topeka

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Michael,

Long range models have huge errors involved.  We like to use the LRC and have found success doing so.  The Monday system could bring freezing drizzle and some snow to the region.  I'll talk about that later today.

Jeremy

Good morning folks...

Minus 6 by my digital thermo here in Maryville, MO @ 7:30am...chilly indeed ************ That is cold! Jeremy

Do u think there is a chance for some areas to recieve significant snow accumulations on Monday??.....By the way it is freakin cold outside...I woke up at 7:30 and it was -3.

if i was the worst cook, i could burn ice-cream on the sidewalk sat morning! :)