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Jeremy, what do the temps look like on tuesday? This is voting day you know, hopefully it doesnt get too messy! Missouri needs a good showing. ************* Temps will be falling on Tuesday. Jeremy

Thanks for the update Jeremy. You all put a ton of hours, time and energy into this blog. We sure do appreciate that. Looking forward to some rain and thunder tomorrow. It will be a nice change. Get some good sleep.
Monica
Pleasanton KS ************ Monica, I hope you see some rain...but chances are bit less to the south. Jeremy

Hoping that the Snow Chance goes up ************* Let's see what Sunday brings in the way of trends. Jeremy

If we get some decent rain tomorrow, is there a risk of flooding? I ask this because the ground is still quite frozen around my house and I didn't know if the inch or two of thawed topsoil on top would be able to absorb much rain.

Yes, I want SNOW on Tuesday! No rain.

I'm trying reverse psychology on myself to help with the immense frustration and disappointment of not getting more than 1-3" of snow at a time here in Blue Springs by expecting no more accumulating snow this season. It's over! See you in about another year snow!! Snow totals will end at 11.0 inches here, 10 inches shy of average. Better luck next year!! It's been 25 years now that I've been asking myself if I will every experience what I experienced in St. Louis in 1982! Now this is a snowfall.... http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lsx/?n=01_31_82
Snow was over my knees!! At least I have the memories!

Snow Tuesday, come on snow!!!

Good Morning!
When we start talking rain and thunderstorms, those of us in Miami Co. can only panic and remember the flooding of last July and all the rain from last Spring....it seemed to rain for 40 days and 40 nights...Ark Building time!  I sure hope we get a nice dry Summer so kids can enjoy it!  We've had plenty of snow in Paola, the grounds here are a muddy mess...it's time for some sunshine and warming temperatures.  I fear the long range forecast as we cycle through the LRC.  My husband and I are hoping for a change in the pattern that has set up, because it's looking like a long wet spring and summer....AGAIN...sure hope not.  We'll just take what comes, day by day...and hope for the best.  

Why do you think it will start around 4 or 5? It is 7:00 am and i've seen some rain and snow in olathe. Is 0.50" 6" of snow usally? I want 6 inches of snow, that would be the most I've gotten all year! Less that 4", I do not want it. What do you think will happen?
   
     Byan.

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What time did you see the rain/snow?  None of the obs reported rain/snow around the metro this morning.  The only stuff reaching the ground is north or northwest of KC that I know of.  This first little wave moves by this morning and then more enters this afternoon.  You should watch the news this morning for the most updated forecast. 

Jeremy

When will you put up the next Blog?

  Byan.

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I'm getting ready for the show right now...watch that if possible.  Next blog will be later this morning.

Jeremy

 

Jeremy:

Good cloudy/chilly morning to you this morning!! Currently sitting at 32 with a fairly stiff East/South East wind-hince, it is kind of chilly this morning. Yesterday was just absolutely gorgeous-no getting around that!! We're in the middle of remodeling the cabin at Lone Star Lake so have not much time to look at things this weekend-too busy ripping out sheet rock and insulation and today we are putting down Kills(sp)-not a messy job at all LOL!!!! I hope you are having a great weekend!!!

Speaking of my fascination with animals, the coyotes were going crazy this morning-I live about 1 miles from the West end of the Baker Wetlands and they were jusy a howling this morning-errie and cool at the same time.

A couple random thoughts this morning:

1. If one goes back and looks at the upper air and surface charts for the period from say 12-5-12-26, there are many signatures/set ups for very warm weather. If it weren't for snow cover in some of the viewing area, the whole area could well have been in the 50's and lower 60's for much of the month. Look at the dates of 12-3-5; 12-13-14; 12-16-21; 12-24-25-the upper air pattern on those dates was very zonal/down right ridgey at times and places that did not have snow cover soared into the 50's on those dates. I say this beacuse if one looks, the stormy part of the pattern did not have cold locked in-some areas (Lawrence especially) caught ligtening in a bottle and got really lucky (well lucky depending on one's perspective LOL) having the cold air/precip. match up just right-in reality, it could have gone either way. A great example is Lawrence's biggest event of the season: the 12-21 thunder snow event. On Friday 12-20, we were in the lower 50's-the front just made it through here Friday night just in time-a two-three hour delay and we have different solutions. The pattern for December and October for that matter was not arctic/cold as a whole, but more of a volitle situation where things buckled at times-some areas just got the snow and unfortunately ice. Thus again, have some very warm signatures in February is right on track and when that 12-16-20 period comes back, we will really warm up!! But, the cold came at the end of the year and then the middle of January after the "stormier" part of the pattern. Will be fun to watch it come back through!!!

2. Number one being said if Thursday's event had come about 150 miles North, right now we would still have places in the viewing area with 8-10 inches of snow on the ground and we are having lows in the teens. It also would have affected this early week set up-that still stings the snow lover in me-it was all there-the cold air, the moisture, the high to the North keeping the colder air in place just long enough-it just tracked south-if that storm hits us, the whole perspective is different. That being said, there was as storm that came through after the strong cold front just like on 12-5-7. To me, the LRC is clear and evident and has nailed all aspects of this winter.

3. Something I have noticed after taking some quick cursory looks at the models about Tuesday: It looks to me like the GFS began a trend Friday night and has continued that trend of digging the upper level energy much further South and West before having it head out-it is not as pronounced, but on the 0Z GFS there are some similarities between the ULL of 12-10 that just sat there and the one developing now. I am prob. all wet here and have not explained myself very well, but to me, the GFS looks to me trying to carve out a larger trough in SW California and then spin a few vorts out before the whole thing comes out. Just a random observation!!!


Wow-did not mean to go that crazy this morning!!!! Have a great day Jeremy and thanks for the awesome Blog entries this weekend!!! I will hopefully get a chance to really look at the models tonight because my curiosity about Tuesday is going into over drive LOL!!!!

As always, thanks for reading!!!

Bill in Lawrence

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Bill,

Thanks for checking in!  I'll read thru your post during the morning show...still getting everything lined up:)  Keep us updated if you see precip. this morning.

Jeremy

It's thundering here in La Cygne.... so those green blips you see on the radar may not be echos. Looks like it is getting ready to rain off to the west.

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Thanks for the report.

Jeremy

Good morning NBC and fellow bloggers,
You know what, its February and its going to rain.  Hmmm, all this active weather we need cold air.  Little bummed out.  We have not exceeded a 3" snow in Olathe yet this year, but it has been multiple 2" amounts though. Do you think we will have any good ones coming up between 02/6 thru the 17th?  I am using vacation this based on the LRC (just kidding) but hoping.  You guys ROCK!

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Tuesday could bring some snow...at least the chance is there.  The NAM gives us pretty much nothing though.

Jeremy

IT IS THUNDERING LOUD IN OVERLAND PARK.......WOW!!! POWER IS BLINKING HERE AT UPS.  I want snow  : (  .  Thunder is more exciting than cold rain though!

I wish the barometric pressure were given more often.  My migraine headaches are triggered by the up and down of barometric pressure.  I don't have to know the exact number, just whether it is on the rise or fall!

thanks so much,
grammy