Good Thursday morning bloggers,
An upper level storm is moving into central Kansas this morning, and it will rapidly pass us by mid afternoon. Once it moves by the sky will clear, but as it approaches we will see some thickening mid and high level clouds. This disturbance may be strong enough to cause enough rising motion to develop a small band of snow. Radar echoes have increased, but they are forming east of KC, so it looks like our chance of a snowflake has faded as this moves away.
The mid and long range computer models are fascinating this morning as they are catching onto the LRC. We will go over the 45 day forecast, that was issued in early January on Friday. Remember the forecast called for harsh winter with 4 storm systems, and possibly a 5th, 6th, and 7th storm system between January 25th and February 20th. We have already had our 4 storm systems that the forecast picked out almost perfectly, and the 5th, 6th, and 7th ones could return within the next two weeks. They are showing up on the latest mid range computer models, in fact the 6z GFS is almost identical to what happened in December. More on this Friday as we go over how we did on the 45 day forecast, and we look ahead.
Gary