NBC Action Communities

Gary's getting lazy, he's using the same graphics from all the other storms

You can use the same graphics with the LRC- it is very consistent!!

lol @ Chris

Who said weather forecasting in the midwest is difficult? Pfft.... with this year's weather all you have to do is just change the numbers :-)

It's worked for me on my own personal forecasts for the most part - with exception of the one that went way south of us a few weeks ago.

None of the models are showing the snow that far north, so I am not making any predictions right now

Gary, you made my stomach turn when you said there could be an ice storm.  I will not become hysterical yet...surely it couldn't be as bad as in December.  Keep up the good work!
Jen

I think Chris was just kidding!  Although, he might as well as the same thing keeps happening over and over!  I am hoping for good thunderstorms and then a few inches of snow on top of that!

Oh Gary!!!! why did you have to put Harrisonville in the nothing band!!

oh well..I suppose thats good....maybe it will shift south...

How many times will the models change before the actual storm?

If theres An Ice Storm like gary said then I will become a Legend

No snow for us southerners, hmmm, thats so unusual!!!!

I am not expecting much here in south Raytown as far as snow goes.  I am more concerned about the flooding rains.

chfs327,
Your ice storm will be in northern MO not the metro area if it happens.  There's no mention of ice in the forecast for KC.

Kristi

If it is an ice storm, man, it would not be good!

Gary,

Pretty hard to be wrong when you always forecast the climatological average of 1-4 inches of snow.


Zeus

yeah an ice storm would be devastating with this much precip....wow....if it was only 3 degrees colder....

Gary, are you not concerned about this at all?

Gary and your team,

I noticed that you called the water watch a "flash flood watch" on your 5 pm news.  I just visited the NWS site and it says it is a flood watch over Kansas City.  Wouldn't it be prudent to get the information right if your going to put it out there?
************* Billy, There a Flood Watch and Flash Flood Watch right next to each other. Maybe they just put Flood Watch and forgot. Either way I really think people get the idea and the forecast has had heavy rain possible for a couple of days. So it shouldn't be a surprise or an error that people get worked up about. Jeremy

Well this sucks.

Hmmm, the same ole map, blah blah blah...Thats why it's easy to forcast for south KC, there is never much to forcast about, lol..but thats a good thing.

My 2.4 inches of snow for Olathe looks good

Do you think the Winter Storm Watches will move further south as we approach tomorrow and Sunday??

Probably not. They Might include Johnson County in the Blowing snow and snow advisory

lezakEF5, i doubt the watch comes any farther. If it does, it will be the northern KC metro.

chfs327:

It is still 2 days out...You shouldnt get excited yet...Things can still change.

No matter what, come sun. night roads will be slick, I just hope I can make it from drexel to the sprint center for the kid rock concert!

"Billy said:
Gary and your team,

I noticed that you called the water watch a "flash flood watch" on your 5 pm news.  I just visited the NWS site and it says it is a flood watch over Kansas City.  Wouldn't it be prudent to get the information right if your going to put it out there?"

Just how thin a hair are you wanting to split? If I get water in my basement, I'm really not going to care if it was a 'flash flood', or just a regular old 'flood'.

And perhaps, it was just a slip of the tongue. I don't suppose you ever would let that happen, would you. Lighten up, Clarence.  

-----------

Thanks, and yes it is a flood watch, but there is also a flash flood watch.  I will get it right at 6 PM.

Gary

Im liking it right now, I will defintley take 3 inches!

 know one saw this storm coming, now 1-4 inches of snow!!!!!!!!!

I am just wanting the watch to make to linn or chariton county....I live in Marceline

I am not excited yet.  I am thinking mostly rain.  Would love to be wrong but the pattern this year has been very consistent.  Go weather team!  Go weather team, its your birthday, its your birthday!  :) *********** A weather rap...awesome! Jeremy

I will trow this out there again. At 6:48 tonight you can see the space shuttle docked to the ISS. Look to the NW about 10 degree above the horizon and it will exit to ESE. It will be visible for 5 minutes. It will look like a bright light. If u have a good pair of binoculars u can make out the ISS and Shuttle. It travels at 17,500 miles an hour or 5 miles per heartbeat so a telescope won't work.

I think we should all wait till tomorrow afternoon for a relaible forecast to many variables with this storm ************ Thanks for the ISS info! I've seen it before and recommend! Jeremy

Chill out Bill!!- the guys got your message...

Obviously you have not blogged to much here! Gary and the boys are on it!!

KC's MOST ACCURATE!!

**************** We've got the forecast covered just fine. Jeremy

chfs327, you already are a legend...first for your big-time busted forecast for last Monday (uh, no ice storm)...and second for the big-time busted forecast for yesterday (uh, no 4-6 inches of snow).  Four days...two major forecast busts.  You've already achieved legend status!  And you continue to randomly capitalize words...that makes you even more legendary. ************* ok...let's see what happens. Maybe he'll be right this time;) Jeremy

JPnKC,

Why does one always have to "blog" to be considered a part of the crowd here?

There are likely hundreds or maybe thousands just like me here that just view instead of blog.    

Regardless,  I'll be interested to see what tonights models produce.

************* Billy, You can read, blog, or both. Everyone is welcome. Let's just have some fun! Jeremy

The NAM is looking great for snow! Jeremy or Gary, do you agree with all of the precip it is showing?

Snowmans land.

Yes ill admit to being wrong and saying random predictions. All of my predictions have been from 2-4 days out. I will stick by them.

This weekends storm. 1.75 inches of rain and 2.4 inches of snow for Olathe

Jeremy, good ol' chfs327 is bound to eventually get one right if he keeps throwing 'em out there!  :-)  Look, snow lovers unite.  Wait.  Snow lovers in KC unite.  From 7pm until 8pm tonight, let us all sit in a quiet, meditative state and envision snow falling from early Sunday morning until late Sunday afternoon.  Envision it.  Dream it.  Maybe we should buy that book The Secret?  Maybe we're not practicing the laws of attraction and all of that.  We KC folks should start hanging around with folks from St Joe...they will rub off on us...and perhaps their weather will too.  No KC folks are allowed to be around Clinton or Harrisonville folks the rest of the winter.  Close your eyes...picture wet heavy snow...fat, fluffy flakes.

chfs327- your forecast is looking pretty good!

Gary and weather team,
Are you going to be able to capture the international space station with the shuttle docked to it on the cam?  I am going to try and go outside and see it at 6:48 PM.  It might be too low tho for me to see. :(

Kristi

-----------------

Kristi,

We are just going to go and see if we can find it!

Gary

hopefully so.

Okay those of us up north (St. Joe and further).  How bad to you really see the ice accumulations?  Are we looking at what we had in December?  Need to prepare if that is the case and no stations seem to be that concerned about it.

-----------------

It is marginal.  We will have to see how it sets up on Saturday.  But, it could become a significant problem. 

Gary

If a person made just 2 major forecast busts in 4 days, there is a station down the dial that could use some improvement in their forecasting. Perhaps chfs32 should apply.

I think it is a great snowfall map.   You got to stick to the trends when they have been as strong as they have this year.    I wont get my hopes up for big snow totals, but I know it is so close again!!!    We shall see how it plays out

I am in Cleveland and have been flying over the leading edge of clouds for this storm in the Valley.  Quite impressive with the sun setting over them.  They go on forever.  This storm is huge!  Glad I am flying home tonight!

-Ken

I will be back for the new data.

until then, I'm gone....

well this is a pleasant surprise.... NOT... ughhhh this is very frustrating for  all snow lovers out here south of KC... we really need to do the snow dance tonite and hope for the best, maybe the storm will shift southward... im hoping... and chfs327... ur forecast looks good this time... i wood have to agree with it!

I do remember a year ago when all the snowlovers on the north side of KC and in St.Joseph were jealous of Sedalia and the South side of Kansas City. I know its frustrating but they were in your position a year ago. Wonder where next year's heavy snow band will always go?

WOW I hope you got to see the ISS and Shuttle. It is really starting to take shape with the solar arrays fully deployed and now the Columbus lab attached. When it is fully assembled it will be the length of 4 football fields and u will be able to make it out with just the naked eye. Sorry a little bit of a weather geek and space geek but I think it is amazing people are that smart to be able to build something like that and make it fly. OK back to the storm coming........

"sportsfreaked said:
I will trow this out there again. At 6:48 tonight you can see the space shuttle docked to the ISS. Look to the NW about 10 degree above the horizon and it will exit to ESE. It will be visible for 5 minutes. It will look like a bright light. If u have a good pair of binoculars u can make out the ISS and Shuttle. It travels at 17,500 miles an hour or 5 miles per heartbeat so a telescope won't work. "

Whaaaaaat?  Am I crazy, or at 6:00 did Gary say to look to the south?  My girls and I stood outside looking to the south, and obviously, saw nothing.  I thought for sure he said south, 19 degrees above horizon.

chfs327... ur forecast looks good this time... i wood have to agree with it!


thanks. Its good to have fans.

Hpook said:
If a person made just 2 major forecast busts in 4 days, there is a station down the dial that could use some improvement in their forecasting. Perhaps chfs327 should apply.

Once again I made Predictions 2-4 days out and stick with them.

Gary, is soon to you 2 and a half ours. Please let it shift south like your first forecast said. I want a lot of snow and will it go above frzng on sunday or enogh to melt snow/ice on the rods. I want there to be snowdays accross Jhonson county on Monday, I think that your forecast is true though.    P.S. in ur 45 day forecast (made on wednesday) were do you think the blizzard will be? N S E W of knsas city, close by a county or two or by three or four countys?

          Byan

BECKYSMA>>>>>>>>> I didn't hear that part I was in the restroom. Here is a link you can go to and it will tell you when and where to look.http://spaceflight.nasa.gov/realdata/sightings/index.html
Sorry you missed it you can look on the site and it will tell you when and where to look.

I really hope there is not any ice. We have had more than enough in St. Joseph. Considering the time frame this is suppose to hit, it will be about the time my grandmother's flight is suppose to be in at KCI. Either all rain or all snow is fine, but no ice please. The kids I'm taking care of agree with me, they just want snow. I will be watching and waiting all day tomorrow.

Gary and Jeremy, I have been reading this blog now for some time, however have yet to post until now. I just wanted to say you guys do a fantastic job on all aspects of the weather and kansas city is very fortunate to have you guys here thanks. Also what are Jeff Penners thoughts on this storm? kevin

---------------

Kevin,

The storm is very impressive with tons of moisture.  The heavy rain part of it seems certain.  The snow forecast is tricky as all rain to snow forecasts are.  I am looking forward to seeing the new data in a few minutes.

Jeff

Sheesh we've apparently been chosen as Mother Natures Bulls-eye of choice this winter. Anyone else noticed that?

Ahhh, this is easy to forecast.  A dusting to two inches of snow in SoKC!  For 7th time this winter.

Really, we have had a lot of systems go through this winter.  It keeps February a bit more exciting since it is a really dull month.  And they added a day this year.

The rain is an interesting component.  Hopefully, no ice.  

82 Degrees. Sunny. Blue Sky. Light breeze. Puffy clouds floating by. Sitting outside with a cold Ice Tea.

Please Hurry

You guys crack me up. I am just about tired of winter storms. A nice day of warm sun would do everyone good, and  then my husband & I can hop on the Gold Wing and set off into the sunset.
Come on Spring...

I'm with everybody who wants to know about the ice storm.  I realize the metro is your primary focus...but PLEASE keep those of us up here in the sticks updated as to your thoughts on the potential for ice, please!!!

I totally agree...however looked at NWS and according to them they are stating little or no ice accumulations in St. Joe w/ about a .10 of inch further north.  My parents live in Mound City, MO so checked on that town too.  Made me feel a little better but all could change to although I sure hope not...

NAM still looking good for Rain with decent snow

NAM looks good for snow in KC Metro

Decent Snow?

The .75 to 1.00 was in KC Metro

yeah, but this is 24 hours away...that means it will 100% dryslot us in Jackson County.

Ahh yes the smell of fresh cut grass on a warm spring evening, let our voice be heard my warm weather freinds!

Gary,
I just got done making 4 inches of heavy wet snow in my front yard. My mom is going to send you the pictures she took later. Since it was around 30 degrees, the snow was heavy and wet. I'm not expecting much here in OP other than rain and some big flakes for a finally, but I'm hoping I can get another day with highs in the 20's.

 WINTER IS DEPRESSING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:(

BTW,
What is Gary's Email? Can I get a link?

New Blog