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NBC Action Weather Blog

Storm Recap, Winter Precipitation Update, & The Week Ahead

Watch NBC Action News for the latest weather information at 10pm and again Monday morning beginning at 5am!

Good evening everyone!  It's time to dot the i's and cross the t's on this weekends storm and then look ahead.  A huge thank you to everyone who participated in the blog this past weekend with weather updates and snow totals!  We greatly appreciate everyone that takes the time to be our eyes across the area.  I'll do my best to get everyone's total either on the blog, WxPlus, or on one of the newscasts.  Brett will also use the totals during the morning show Monday morning.

Let's start by reviewing some of the snow totals around the region.

  • Cameron, MO  5-6"
  • St. Joseph, MO  4.0-5.5"    Season Total  46.0"    WOW!
  • Lawrence, KS  4.0-4.5"
  • KCI Airport 4.4"
  • Riverside, MO  2.0-4.0"
  • Trenton, MO  3.4"
  • Reno, KS  3.0"
  • Western KCK  3.0-4.5"
  • Roeland Park, KS  3.0"
  • Overland Park, KS 2.0-3.0"
  • Olathe, KS  2.0-3.0"
  • Marceline, MO  3.0"
  • Raytown, MO  2.0"
  • Lee's Summit 1.0-2.0"
  • Grain Valley, MO  1.5"
  • Paola, KS  0.5"
  • La Cygne, KS  0.5"
  • Harrisonville, MO  0.4"

Now let's take a look at a few of the total precipitation amounts from this storm.  It was a very wet storm for everyone with totals in the neighborhood of 0.75" to 2.00"

KCI Airport  1.69"

Olathe, KS  1.20"

Knob Noster  1.19"

Here a look at our winter so far in the precipitation category.  Total liquid is from December-February 17.  Total snowfall is the entire winter season.  These amounts are for KCI Airport.

Total Precipitation:  6.90" (+3.40")

Season Snow Total:  23.1" (+8.1")

Overall this is fantastic news since we have been well below average the past 2 years in the precipitation department.  Also, winter is typically a very dry time of year. 

This past weekend brought many forecast challenges to the table from heavy rain and possible flooding, to a chance of freezing rain, and then the question of when does the rain change to snow - and how much will accumulate.  Last Friday Gary began getting very specific in regards to this storm and provided rainfall and snowfall forecasts.  Both forecasts worked out very well, and from Friday thru Sunday morning the snow forecast map went virtually unchanged.  Other forecasts during this same time span ranged from no snow anywhere in the viewing area to 6" or more for the entire metro.  We are proud of our performance during this storm and hope that our forecasts on-air and in the blog helped you prepare for your weekend.

Now time to look ahead to the next potential road bumps this week.  A cold front will drop into the region on Monday morning and will bring with it a shot of cold air and also a chance of flurries/snow showers which could extend into the afternoon.  The cold front will keep highs around 30 degrees on Monday(keep in mind the average is 43).

More significant may be a mid-week arctic front that drops in late Tuesday or early Wednesday.  Take a look at the GFS forecast temperatures for Wednesday...even colder than our current forecast of 22 degrees...for a high!  We may see a midnight high if the front slows, but 20s looks good once the front clears the area and temps dive.  This is one time I'd love to see the forecast change:)

 

     

Thanks again for sending in your reports this weekend and have a great holiday on Monday(President's Day).

Jeremy

Published Sunday, February 17, 2008 4:23 PM by Jeremy WxPlus

Comments

 

Brent said:

First off, you guys did very well on this storm...harrisonville did not quite get the 1 to 3 inches you predicted...but it melted as it falled...if it hadn't we might have gotten an inch.

all in all, another weak storm to hit harrisonville, another powerful snow maker for st jo.

I will go take a look at the 7 day now...and then make a comment about it.

***************

I can make the comment for you.  Not enough snow, and when it does get cold it doesn't snow.  Is that close?

 

February 17, 2008 5:45 PM
 

Greg said:

Jeremy, you guys did a great job with this one! Thank you mother nature for sunshine this afternoon, that melting saved me from working a full shift in the middle of the holiday weekend. Will there be any frozen precip. with this cold front mid-week? I want to watch them Wildcats wednesday night! That sports report from Arizona earlier almost made me drool, 66 and sunny...

*********************

I asked Leon Liebel if he drew the short straw...he reminded me he was in Miami for the Orange Bowl!

The arctic front could bring some light precip., probably flurries/snow showers.  This week is tricky...but what week isn't this time of year:)

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 5:47 PM
 

lezakEF5 said:

Jeremy,

Can you tell me what the total rain measurements for this storm was in Marceline, MO if possible???

Thank you!! :)

******************

Chillicothe recorded 1.15"...so I'm guessing you were around 1-1.25".  Hope that helps.

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 6:08 PM
 

kb0rpj said:

we've had had 41.0" of snow for the season.. and get this.. we've now had two of the snowiest month's on record.. dec and feb both broke the all time records.

******************

Thanks for the report!  Make sure to post this again Monday when Gary is back on the blog...he would love to know this info!

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 6:23 PM
 

Husky07 said:

i really hope Lee's Summit getts a good snow before the season is over. how much rain did LS get?

***************

The ob says 0.89".  That was one of the lowest totals in the area.

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 6:24 PM
 

Brent said:

"I can make the comment for you.  Not enough snow, and when it does get cold it doesn't snow.  Is that close?"

yes its fairly close...but I was not going to say that, please don't mock me.

*********

ok

February 17, 2008 6:31 PM
 

Brent said:

thank you...no offense...Please don't make me out to be negative person...I really am not that negative... 8)
February 17, 2008 6:50 PM
 

mamaof3girls said:

Great job all!! Jeremy you did a awesome job responding to the blogs and updating. I am sure you are wore out!! I have to say though that slushy business on the roads after work this am were aweful to drive in.....wish I had driven my truck to work instead. Once you hit some slush it would just suck you right off the road. I had to drive 60 miles home going 45 mph...YUCK!! But hey I made it right?? Take care and get some rest.
Monica
Pleasanton KS

**************

Monica,

Glad you made it home safe!  After about 10am the roads really improved.  You must have been driving around 7-9am.  I saw several cars in the ditch that were getting pulled out around 1:30pm when I was headed back to work.

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 6:55 PM
 

CentralOP2 said:

KCI is above average for snow! This has not happened in quite a few years.
I think this pattern definitely has the potential to produce some more snow in the next few weeks.

**************

Still 4 weeks away from Spring...so in theory plenty of time for snow.  The odds just get a little less as the climo numbers continue to climb.

I hope you enjoyed the morning OP!

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 7:23 PM
 

chiefsfan said:

        Good Evening Jeremy, so tomorrow with snow flurries/snow showers tomorrow, dusting or anything? anything tonight?

**************

Really not expecting accumulation. 

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 7:29 PM
 

JPnKC said:

Jeremy- As crazy as it was this weekend for you I just want to say THANKS for staying in touch with all of us on the blog..it was a fun storm that kind of reminded me of living in Denver--snow in the morning with poor travel conditions - Then the sun came out and conditions improved significantly..

Have a great week,

JP

*************

JP,

This was a very spring-like storm.  Wet snow with about half of it melting in most areas that saw 2" or more.Thanks for joining the blog chat this weekend!

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 7:32 PM
 

PatsSoxCelts said:

Most of the snow is gone in Parkville. This 4.4 incher gets us up to 24.2 inches this season in Parkville.

*****************

Thanks for the seasonal update!  You tied KCI today with your total.

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 7:51 PM
 

chiefsfan said:

jeremy:   Is that flurries passing west of downtown KC, headed this way????????????

***************

Haven't seen any ground reports, but the echos are isolated...but it is possible tonight and Monday.

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 7:56 PM
 

kurt said:

I was trying to find statistics on snowiest winter seasion in St. Joseph.  I did find that we would be #3 on the all time snowiest winters for the Kansas City area.  Also I saw that the average snowfall for St. Joseph from 1971-2000 was only 14.9 inches.  Also read some information that while we were in the drought of 2002-2003 and 2003-2004 that parts of Southern Missoui broke all kinds of records.

I can't believe we are more than 3 times our average for a 30 year period.  This winter has been incredible and will go a long way to replenish the ground moisture from several dry years.  This will definetly be a winter to remember.

******************

You've had a lot of snow, but just think of the rains too!  The ice storm was almost 2" of water.  A very wet season in St. Joe.

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 8:00 PM
 

stjoelawyer said:

great job guys all the way around. . . you pegged it again. . . and did not waiver and do a nutty nowcast. . . like others. . ..the cold air coming we can do without. . . i can say i am tired of it . . . and still 10 days of Feb left. . . normal is now 44 and 23 up here i could live with that i am not even asking for 55 or sometrhing like that. . . WILL NEXT WEEKEND REALLY WARM?  More times than not this year a clipper with more cold air has slid down. . . but we have the sun now atleast.

****************

The temps for next weekend will basically be the averages by then.  Hard to believe we will settle for a few 'average' days.  Generally the above average days in recent years were always in sight for the most part.

Thanks for the remarks about the forecast.

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 8:12 PM
 

wthrwatcher87 said:

Great job weather team! I just wanted to post Carrollton's snow total, 0.0 inches. I was so glad today nothing was sticking to the ground. I can't wait for winter to be over!!!

**************

At least someone was happy about no snow!  I wish that was the case at my house!

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 8:19 PM
 

siraluce said:

This time of year, including with this event, heavy precipitation does relatively little for soil moisture since the ground is still frozen a short distance below the surface and most of the precipitation runs off into the streams and rivers.  This kind of heavy precipitation is much more beneficial once the soil thaws and precipitation can soak in and be made available for trees and plants or to soak into aquifers.  

If you like high river levels or floods, however, its another matter.  

February 17, 2008 8:58 PM
 

kristy said:

Hey Jeremy, Just got home and ran to the ran gauge here in SE Lee's Summit and it was @ 1.75 in.  Now that is rain and snow that would have melted in it.  Thanks, Kristy
February 17, 2008 9:05 PM
 

MrSteve said:

Good Job Guys. Perfection.

Jeremy how you guys sleep last night? Do the thoughts . ."what if I wake up and there's no snow, no rain, and the suns peaking out from the clouds" ever keep you guys tossing and turning through out the night with nail biters like this latest system?

***************

I was so tired last night that didn't happen, but there have been a couple of storms this season where that was the case.  Gary never sleeps so he doesn't have that problem.

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 9:19 PM
 

chfs327 said:

ok. I was Pretty accuarate in Olathe

Snow totals I expecenced in Olathe at My Location (Old 56 Highway Exit) was 2.5 inches of snow. Thats just 1 tenth of an Inch from my 2.4 inchs of snow that i called for

Rain fall totals. 1.21 which is Well below my Expected Rainfall total of 1.75 inch

Overall I finally got one right and I still got one wrong.

Cant wait for the Blizzard. Al Pacino once said " I Hate Frozen THIGHS"!

*****************

Nice call on the forecast!  The snow total was basically perfect.  You may get another chance to practice your forecasting skills this Thursday/Friday.

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 9:24 PM
 

MrSteve said:

One thing is certain the arrival of Spring will be sweet.

*************

And no time soon.

February 17, 2008 9:29 PM
 

grant said:

This storm gets my vote for the "sloppiest" storm of the year.

************

It was a mess early, but the afternoon was pretty nice...although windy.

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 9:32 PM
 

Emmysmom said:

Okay, so I know that 5 days out you can't give me a 100% answer, but what does it currently look like next Fri-Sun?  (Or more specifically Liberty north to Nebraska)  

My grandma has been sick and in the hospital and we'd kind of like to go up there if the weather cooperates.  I'm just wondering if we should even be thinking about it or not.

*************

At the moment Friday would be the question of those 3 days.  Although things have been changing pretty quick as systems seem to move in every 3 days or so.  I wish the best for your grandma!

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 9:39 PM
 

sedmo said:

Hello all!  Reporting in from Sedalia..we had 0.0 snow fall today, it snowed for awhile but melted as soon as it hit.  Nothing falling now and the temp is holding at 35....I am thankful for another missed snow.   I am ready for Spring!

****************

Thanks for the report!  A late transition and warming temps kept the snow from sticking where you are at.  I'll second the Spring statement!

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 9:39 PM
 

PatsSoxCelts said:

When is the best chance for accumulating snowfall?

*************

We'll have to see how Thurs/Fri play out.

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 9:54 PM
 

RickXTN said:

Let's not rush spring, everyone.  Granted the thunderstorms are fun but with spring comes allergies followed by too hot and too humid along with too many bugs making for too uncomfortable until fall.  If I was a bear, May through August would be hibernation time.  :-)  

Here's hoping Old Man Winter isn't even close to naptime yet.

*****************

Well...not this week.

 

February 17, 2008 9:55 PM
 

CentralOP2 said:

Jeremy,
Yes, I did enjoy the snow. The temperatures were mild even with the stronger wind gusts. The 30s were fairly comfortable. If it was in the teens and windy it would have felt a lot colder. What amazes me is that the pattern has produced normal to below normal temperatures even with the NAO and AO being neutral to positive. The polar vortex must be on the North American side of the continent. I checked the temp anomalies and it looked like a large area of Russia had above normal readings in January. The colder air has been around our area, but the Upper Midwest, Northern Rockies, and Northern Plains have had a solid winter with above normal snows.
This is great for the Northern Rockies. Snowpack has been above normal in areas that have had a multi year drought. The La Nina probably helped out a little. Some areas of the Central Rockies have done well on snowfall.

**************

I don't think many can complain about not having a real winter.  Even areas just south of KC a little snow deprived, have not been spared from the cold.  The upper Midwest has had a brutal winter.  The arctic air has hovered over Alaska and Canada and made several visits this winter.  The arctic express makes a return trip for this coming Wednesday.

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 10:03 PM
 

StormWyndd said:

Evening all,
I went out to set the trash out, and despite it being above freezing here, the melt / run off has frozen into a sheet of ice on my driveway?  Strange!  & not fun.

Could be some black ice in the morning.  Be care if your out driving tonight, or on the way to work in the morning.

Great job this weekend Jeremy & Gary.  I have to wonder when we might start seeing 'normal' temps for this time of year, lol... that would be a heatwave!  

****************

Average temps may not return until sometime next weekend.  Hopefully before, but not likely right now.

Jeremy

February 17, 2008 10:36 PM
 

chiefsfan said:

        In a way the wet snow was better, cause with the strong winds it would had blown a dry fluffy snow  all over
February 17, 2008 10:48 PM
 

chfs327 said:

heres the Deal. Most of this Thurs-Friday storm will be alot of Freezing rain.

Right now I see Warm Air coming aloft over the surging Cold fron that will effect us on Wed. right now as tempatures will be below freezing so look out for some freezing rain. I wouldnt expect an icestorm. I would just expect a Glazing on both thursday and Friday on Road ways
February 17, 2008 11:05 PM
 

Kstatergirl said:

Sooo....is this new system that's supposed to be coming in towards the latter part of the week (Thurs/Fri) going to be strong enough to potentially warrant any severe weather closings????

I'm terrible aren't I???  I love my job...yet in my profession...severe weather days are considered part of the benefits package!!!  LOL

Jeremy-great forecasting per usual this weekend-thanks for the time and effort you put into updating the blogs-it can be exhausting simply keeping that updated (nevermind the forecasting/the cameras/screens/etc....)!!!  

Thanks for the blog updates and even though I am not really into the weather unless it's winter and I'm secretly praying for ice, snow, and days off....I've become quite a fan of this blog...Thanks to all of you who consistently update this blog with interesting posts/information and....

PS) Where's Gary this weekend?    
February 17, 2008 11:08 PM
 

rodney said:

Gary, Jeremy, and Brett
You all did a fantastic job as always. It is obviose why you are the most trusted and most accurate.

-Rodney
February 17, 2008 11:25 PM
 

Nick Rau said:

Update from St. joe... we are having what would appear to be a "graupel" shower right now it is coming down decently.
February 18, 2008 1:03 AM
 

ShawnP said:

Very wet heavy snow that was hard to shovel.
February 18, 2008 11:21 AM
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