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Another strange storm is coming to an end

Good late afternoon everyone,

Friday at 8:20 AM I will be on Newsradio 980 KMBZ for a recap of this wild week of weather and we will go into my theory the LRC.  Tune into Newsradio 980 Friday morning!

It has been another strange weather day.  Almost all of the significant precipitation, in the form of sleet, occurred along and south of I-35 this morning causing widespread slick conditions.  Until, that is, around 11 AM.  A disturbance came out of the main upper low and has been a heavy snow producer.  Huge snowflakes began falling on the Plaza during our 11 AM newscast, you should have seen Brett Anthony.  He was so excited.  And, then it lined up from Lawrence through Kansas City, KS across the Missouri River to Liberty.  Some of these areas have had to of had 2 quick inches of snow.  This final band is now moving away. 

Looking at the satellite movies, and analyzing the latest data, it appears that the upper low is stretching out and becoming slightly positively tilted right now.  I thought, last night, that we would see a slow motion version of many of our storm systems, and it has happened.  This storm is going through a steady weakening and transition as I am writing this.  It will spin by early Friday morning with maybe one last band of light snow.  Additional accumulations from this final band look like a dusting at best. 

We will keep monitoring this situation and the next storm passing near by on Saturday.  Is this tiring you out yet!

Have a great day.  Our team of meteorologists at NBC Action News is working on special graphics to describe this crazy weather pattern.  We will  have it ready for the5, 6, and 10 PM newscasts.

Gary

Published Thursday, February 21, 2008 2:16 PM by glezak

Comments

 

kcroyals05 said:

I haven't been able to watch the blog much this week as I'm learning a new platform at Sprint..    Anyways, Gary I love the winter months, the snow the cold air ect..   I am ready for Spring to start!!!!

--------------

We have some winter left to go through yet!

Gary

February 21, 2008 2:31 PM
 

Brent said:

so tomorrow system is weaking a lot?....will I see any snow out  of this entire system?

what about the Blizzard in late march?...is that still going to happen?....if so, we have something to look forward too.
February 21, 2008 2:38 PM
 

KellyofIndependence said:

The Plaza gets huge snowflakes and once again Lee's Summit Rd. and I-70 got the sleet but NO snow. I even saw that someone in Raytown saw big snow flakes but nary a flake in SE Independence.  Strange weather for sure, sucks that no snow came for us but was a fun system to watch.

-----------------

Even at this micro level the LRC shows itself.  The pattern is the same and this storm is just a weak version of others we have had.

Gary

February 21, 2008 2:50 PM
 

LRCfan said:

well I thought maybe leavenworth would miss out this time but actually we had off and on sleet,fr drizzle,and a while ago we had some good size snow flakes mixed in the ground is covered so it was another fun day up here,but I dare say this bring on some thunderstorms :)
February 21, 2008 2:55 PM
 

LRCfan said:

Also of note they are getting tornadoes once again in louisiana near lake charles.
February 21, 2008 2:59 PM
 

doombob said:

Around 2 pm, drove from Smithville to Gower on 169.  About halfway there, snowflakes were getting quarter sized and visibility was down to around a mile.  Now it's three and there's about 1 inch of snow on the ground in Gower.  They don't appear to have had much sleet here, so it's all snow.  Roads were dry coming through here at two, but are snow covered now at three.
February 21, 2008 3:01 PM
 

jesstone said:

Another let down for Southern O.P.:(  Anymore to come???
February 21, 2008 3:01 PM
 

homerun said:

Gary--Here in Topeka/Berryton just a half inch at best of a sleet/snow combo---Maybe some locations around picked up 3/4ths of an inch but not much to write home about.  The streets are packed down and slick so caution must be taken with the drive home.  I am seeing a warm up next week except a brief cool down, are you still expecting that March 21st-28th senerio?  That would be the time period according to my tracking the LRC days.   Take care and keep up the good work, Michael/Berryton
February 21, 2008 3:01 PM
 

Scott said:

Ok...you put this out, I will ask...

"Even at this micro level the LRC shows itself.  The pattern is the same and this storm is just a weak version of others we have had."

How?  Describe what you mean?  

Shame on you all for getting tuckered out..this is just the warmup for the Spring.  If are tired now, Spring will kill you.

;-)
February 21, 2008 3:06 PM
 

LRCfan said:

Gary,I see some convection over west texas is this tied with the system moving thru tomorrow will we see some of this here tomorrow?
February 21, 2008 3:17 PM
 

PoofDragon said:

The Dragon is LOVING the 7-day. But will it hold?
February 21, 2008 3:20 PM
 

simplykristi said:

I am waiting for spring. :)  It will be an interesting one to say the least.

Kristi
February 21, 2008 3:26 PM
 

Bob in OP said:

The ULL is flattening out like a pancake pretty quickly. That flow from the north that is affecting the ULL looks to be strong on the WV loop. I see pretty much a non-event for tomorrow...

Bob
February 21, 2008 3:28 PM
 

MrSteve said:

Won't feel better till March 1 is here and can say, I'm glad February is behind us.

February 21, 2008 3:31 PM
 

bellgolf08 said:

sedalia schools are out again friday. ahh 4 day weekend
February 21, 2008 3:33 PM
 

Brent said:

ack! kill the 7 day! too much warm and not enough snow!!

what happened to the big storm monday night?

that supposedly was connected with the LRC?....what happened there?
February 21, 2008 3:34 PM
 

Brent said:

"MrSteve said:
Won't feel better till March 1 is here and can say, I'm glad February is behind us."

I would not be so sure that march will save you...I have a feeling that march will be very wintery this year....
February 21, 2008 3:43 PM
 

Brent said:

sedalia schools are out tomorrow?...have they already canceled?....hmmmm how much sleet down there?
February 21, 2008 3:50 PM
 

Scott said:

Brent, I obviously cannot speak for the LRC, but the "upcoming Monday storm" has looked very weak to me based on surface trends.

Of the prior three cycles, there was only one event that yielded anything..and that was just a trace at KMCI.

Monday's storm looks like one of the more frequent paths that we have nearly forgotten about with the more hybrid or zonal flow before the amplified flow we have seen in the last four weeks.

It is the split stream that wants to phase as it moves by.  The surface low wants to be further south, but likely will go through NW KS into Nebraska.  This will leave us pretty far south of the surface low.  There isn't a great deal of forcing or lift with this storm until the upper level vort gets a bit closer behind the surface low.

This all happens with some signficant 850mb ridging up to N Dakota.  This part of the pattern is right on schedule, so to say it is not connected with the LRC would be inaccurate.

The pattern is fully inline with the LRC...the surface impact analysis from the LRC might be a hair off - too early to tell.

Based on the surface trending, it will maybe bring some light rain..but nothing to write home about.
February 21, 2008 3:55 PM
 

mike829 said:

gary
this forcast for this week
how will springfeild area look for sat into sunday?
thankyou
February 21, 2008 3:59 PM
 

BBTye said:

snow off and on all day in Maryville...no ice that I've seen, but the roads are covered with a dusting
February 21, 2008 4:02 PM
 

sedmo said:

Sedalia Schools are out tomorrow...We did get quite a bit of sleet and the roads are bad here..I am a teacher and the reason they called off for Friday is partly due to weather but also due to the flu..we have been hit hard with the flu over the last few weeks.
February 21, 2008 4:03 PM
 

StormWyndd said:

7 day looks good to me, I'm with ya PoofyDragon, Kristi & MrSteve!  I just got done scraping over an inch of sleet off the driveway, and put the icemelt down on the stuff that was left.  Wonder if my feet will thaw out?  Sure hope tomorrow is a 'nonevent' and Monday too for that matter.

I am wondering how the roads are.  Usually by this time of day the salt trucks have been by my house so many times there's nothing but pavement left out there. Today, it's still more than half ice covered, making me think they are either low on salt or very busy somewhere else?

A frozen Stormy, who's still voting for spring (with no tornados!)  :o)

February 21, 2008 4:06 PM
 

Barbara said:

I'm agreeing with those liking the 7 day...I am so looking forward to some 50 degree days.  I was done with winter back in December.  LOL!
February 21, 2008 4:22 PM
 

lezakEF5 said:

It is still snowing here in Marceline quite heavily with big flakes...We have close to 3 inches now and if this snow keeps up for a bit we could be close to 3 1/2" to 4"...I will send you some pictures I took of the snow falling.
February 21, 2008 4:23 PM
 

MrSteve said:

Brent said:
I would not be so sure that march will save you...I have a feeling that march will be very wintery this year....
************************

Your more then welcome to pay our heating and energy bills. Just give me an address where I can forward them to you.



February 21, 2008 4:26 PM
 

mamaof3girls said:

Good evening!! Well I am still sitting at 1.20 inches of sleet. Someone earlier described it as "sand" and that is exactly what it feels like under your feet until the freezing rain hit it later in the afternoon. The family and I traveled 69 highway to Overland Park this afternoon and the roads were yucky and slow in Linn Co. and part of Miami Co. but Johnson Co. was not too bad. Their is a pretty obvious difference in the amount of sleet recieved between all 3 counties too. We have piles of it on main street and in parking lots. LOL!! Hoping to get some more precip tonight so school is cancelled tomorrow also.
Monica
Pleasanton, KS
February 21, 2008 4:27 PM
 

MikeTrainor1 said:

StormWyndd... i'm with you and several others on spring for sure. but this pattern as defined by the LRC is a wicked one this year and i'm afraid of alot of rain and severe weather issues. and even gary admitted earlier in this blog that winter ain't over yet folks. (i mentioned that to a co-worker today who looked at me and glared! hahaha.... she just didn't want to know, just wanted winter to go away!)

i think scott posted earlier to a comment gary made about being tired that if he thinks he's tired now, wait until spring. that didn't sound too good imo!! and scott knows alot about what he's talking about! right, scott?
February 21, 2008 4:27 PM
 

Scott said:

Mike, I still have alot to learn.  I have some opinions based on things that I observe, but that is about as far as I will go with that.  I think Mother Nature will humble anyone who believes they know more than they do.

LOL
February 21, 2008 4:35 PM
 

MrSteve said:

Heating and Energy Bills

The hard COLD facts.

Oh well
February 21, 2008 4:37 PM
 

mamaq said:

I agree with MrSteve; increased expenses of heating, missed work, when accidents happened & cars have to be repaired.  Light snow (again) in St. Joseph . . . I'm ready for Fishin!
February 21, 2008 4:45 PM
 

Scott said:

Jeremy - when you do get that address...go ahead and post it.  I would like to send mine as well.
February 21, 2008 4:46 PM
 

amthysthrt said:

Any idea how things are looking to the south, namely down 71 Hwy toward Joplin?  My husband had to make a run to Tulsa and back today for work, and I'm a little worried about him getting back tonight.
February 21, 2008 4:56 PM
 

Zazel said:

"Is this tiring you out yet!"  >> Gary.

Yes, this garbage wore me out well over a month ago.  Such an active pattern and at my house in far northeast KCMO I've still to see a snow that has been able to cover my shoes when I walk to the mail box.  Oh sure, we've had above normal precipitation, but mostly in the form of rain.  Whoopie!  All I've got from this winter is a serious case of SAD from day after day of clouds and cold temperatures.  ~ Dave
February 21, 2008 5:00 PM
 

lezakEF5 said:

Gary,

I sent a couple pictures to you.
February 21, 2008 5:00 PM
 

NanaX9 said:

so how does the drive from St.Joe to Gladstone look at this point?  I told my daughter I'd have the ACCURATE info!
February 21, 2008 5:06 PM
 

StormWyndd said:

MikeTrainor...
I know, I too am very concerned about the severe potential for spring, and floodin too.  I'm just hoping we manage to avoid all the truely violent stuff (or most of it.)    Tornados fascinate me, but I'd much rather watch them on TV.  :o)

February 21, 2008 5:10 PM
 

MrSteve said:

"Why do I live here," said Shawn Jones of Mission, as he scraped ice and snow from his vehicle after work Thursday afternoon in Prairie Village. (Star.com)

He's not the only one asking that question this winter.

February 21, 2008 5:11 PM
 

Greg said:

I love the word "dusting"! Two days next week in the 50's, now we're talkin'.
February 21, 2008 5:19 PM
 

PoofDragon said:

"Changes in latitudes, changes in attitudes...

...If we weren't all crazy we would go insane."

Am looking for a nice condo or hotel room on the beach for March 28-31 in Siesta Key, Sanibel/Captiva, somewhere like that. Got any links?

;-)
February 21, 2008 5:20 PM
 

kcroyals05 said:

Just got home Gary

We half .50 inches of sleet / ice / snow  in my backyard in Grandview

Bill
February 21, 2008 5:27 PM
 

lezakEF5 said:

Jeremy,

I sent you some pictures as well.
February 21, 2008 5:43 PM
 

dpatel said:

Well raymore only got sleet and no snow, but it was enough to cancel school... Do u think enough snow will fall to cancel school for tommorow and if so how much? Thanks for everything...
February 21, 2008 5:45 PM
 

NotesInTheMargin said:

According to your theory, which early January storm is this disorganized, slow one like?

When did this part of your pattern happen previously (November?  Which date(s)?)  
February 21, 2008 5:59 PM
 

dougbce said:

Scott I am humbled by the NWS cancelling storm spotter class tonight.
You'll ask us to volunteer and go chase baseball size hail and tornadoes, but you can't drive to Liberty because of a little sleet.  Kind of ironic.
February 21, 2008 5:59 PM
 

dougbce said:

Mr. Steve if he only scraped his car once, he's doing pretty good.  I had to do it 3 times while I was waiting for the defroster to warm up enough so I could drive with out the freezing rain freezing on my windshield.

Wow what a difference a couple of miles makes.  I work near I-70 & Admiral where there has been very very little snow today, and just in my short little drive home to Riverside there has to be at least 2 inches of snow on top of all the sleet from that burst this afternoon.
February 21, 2008 6:04 PM
 

simplykristi said:

I have a feeling we are in for an active spring in our region.  I hope that there are no destructive tornadoes.

Kristi
February 21, 2008 6:06 PM
 

simplykristi said:

We got our gas bill today...  $207.  Yikes!

Kristi
February 21, 2008 6:07 PM
 

StormWyndd said:

Say, did I hear one of the reporters earlier say that MoDot is down to only 20% of the salt supply?  If that's true, how many more storms can we get out of that?
February 21, 2008 6:24 PM
 

reafamily said:

   
amthysthrt: I just got home after driving from Adrian to Maryville and back. 71 is in pretty good condition now. Some wet spots, but nothing icy. The roads were really awful this morning, but the ones in the City were worse than 71 this afternoon.

Gary: we have 1 1/4 inches of sleet at our house in Altona (halfway between Adrian and Ballard)
February 21, 2008 6:26 PM
 

simplykristi said:

I believe that the city of Raytown, the city in which I live, is nearly our of salt.  The city just had no place to store extra salt this year.  But, next year, that will change.

Kristi
February 21, 2008 6:32 PM
 

MikeTrainor1 said:

heating bills are a mixed bag of tricks just like our weather... your house, the effiency and age of your furnace, cost of gas your supplier pays (passed to you with no mark-up), and temperatures all play a part with your bill. use less, pay less. but if gas shortages come up and the futures market plays a bit havoc with that, COG - cost of gas - goes up and so does your bill regardless. check out the kansas corporation commission web site if you want to see details. mge and kge also have decent info on how some of this works.

btw... the same goes for electricity and OIL futures. and, now, back to the dang too cold when is it going to be spring weather report....
February 21, 2008 6:43 PM
 

Kelly said:

I just opened our gas bill. 170 dollars. I read that too about Raytown is about of salt.
I am ready for Spring but am afraid it could be a wild one....

Kelly
February 21, 2008 7:03 PM
 

Scott said:

Hey Notes, I can take a shot at that one on my blog...LOL
February 21, 2008 7:04 PM
 

MrSteve said:

MikeTrainor1 said:
heating bills are a mixed bag of tricks
***************************

We're getting off lucky. If this would have been last year we'd all be in the poor house.

http://futures.tradingcharts.com/charts/NGM.GIF
February 21, 2008 7:09 PM
 

MrSteve said:

Sorry. Try this.
http://www.theoildrum.com/uploads/244/nghistory.JPG
February 21, 2008 7:12 PM
 

Greg said:

StormWyndd, yes I believe many of the local municipalities are running low on salt, there has just been so many of these "small" events, but crews still have to cover all of their routes. Which in turn means we're all going to see more sand mixed in. Did someone say SPRING?...
February 21, 2008 7:13 PM
 

chfs327 said:

hehe. we didnt really ahve anything in Olathe. Just alot of Ice and sleet.
February 21, 2008 7:13 PM
 

Sam16 said:

Soooooo chfs327.... are you gonna cancel school tomorrow?
February 21, 2008 7:16 PM
 

Brent said:

so are you closing the schools again tomorrow  chfs?....

I am serious, you need to email or pm me about your lost bet.
February 21, 2008 7:17 PM
 

chfs327 said:

#1 I didnt close schools today
#2 no im not gonna close school tomorrow
February 21, 2008 7:18 PM
 

MikeTrainor1 said:

mrsteve... well aware of the gas futures market. used to monitor it daily, but didn't sell or trade. worked for a company who did. did badly too, actually. lol!! 2001 or 2000 gas was at basically $12/M. now that was high. if you're in the heating and cooling business, and the utility business, you pay attention to COG and the weather alot.

same actually can be said for the guys who go out and clear off the streets and parking lots... hats off to you guys too for all the work you've done this season! tough duty...
February 21, 2008 7:29 PM
 

WEATHERdude said:

i  is anyone else having issues with the streets? my neighborhood streets are completley white... its actaully gonna be dangerous backing out tomorrow... well i see that chfs327 said skool tomorrow... but isnt it a wee bit early to close? just a thought.... and Gary... hows Monday going to turn out?
February 21, 2008 7:38 PM
 

John Moon III _Weather Enthusiast_ said:

well we got a total of 1.01 inches of sleet here in Clinton, Mo.  A very thin glazing of ice underneath the sleet, then a very thin glazing of ice on elevates surfaces, power lines and trees, it is a very thin glazing of ice though so that is a good thing.  What is that storm looking like for next week?  The lunar eclipse was really cool last night. The clouds held off for perfect timing.  :)
February 21, 2008 8:01 PM
 

bellgolf08 said:

Does anybody still use CB radios?
February 21, 2008 8:08 PM
 

John Moon III _Weather Enthusiast_ said:

When I go storm spotting I use a business ban, (civil defense radio) for Henry, County /Clinton, Mo.  I know that there are still some that use CB radios.  
February 21, 2008 8:22 PM
 

bellgolf08 said:

Business Ban?
February 21, 2008 8:25 PM
 

John Moon III _Weather Enthusiast_ said:

The radio is called a business ban radio and is on a different frequency than CB radios,(I think) I know that  the business ban radios antennas are a lot shorter than the CB radio antennas. Why this is I believe it has to do with the length of the antenna tells the range of frequencies that you can use on that particular radio.  I think.    
February 21, 2008 8:41 PM
 

bellgolf08 said:

ok well i just got a cb dirt cheap and could not get anything on it.
February 21, 2008 9:05 PM
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