Good morning bloggers,
Its Leap Day, and it has its' own special climatology, since it comes around every four years. Going back to 1889, our average high on Leap Day is 48, average low 28. The warmest leap day ever was 1972, the high was 83. The coldest, 6 in 1996. In 1980, we had 2.7 inches of snow.
Checking out the overnight data, it appears the cold front may slow down enough Sunday to give us one more very nice day. I'm only talking about about 3 hours but that's the difference between a high of 60 and a high near 67. The winds will also get a little stronger Sunday. The slower front would enhance the chance of thunderstorms and heavier rain. They may be some flash flooding by Monday morning given the soggy soil and the threat of two or three inches of rain. Below is the 12z NAM, look at the dew points Sunday morning they are already in the low to mid 50s. That should be ample moisture for heavy rain.
It doesn't look like a severe weather set-up just potentially flooding rains. There is an outside chance that Monday afternoon south and east of Kansas City; i.e. Clinton, Warresnburg, the cold air could catch up with the moisture and some snow is possible. Not likely, but possible. So enjoy the warm-up, next week promises to be a lot colder.
Have a Happy Leap Day,
Brett