Good morning bloggers,
We have had a hard freeze in many locations this morning. Tempereatures did drop into the 20s, with the 28 degrees as the official low at KCI. A warming trend will now begin, but for how long? Another storm is already approaching. Look at the two maps below:

The above map is the 500 mb forecast valid at 1 AM Tuesday morning (06z). There is a ridge aloft moving across the plains tonight and Tuesday. This is the opposite of an upper level trough, which you can see over the eastern United States and moving across the western part of North America. This ridge will provide us with three dry days, today through Wednesday. Sunday's snow flurries made it our 8th day in a row with some type of precipitation in Kansas City. Our next storm is looking wetter, but where will it track? The trough, in the west swings in and forms into an upper low, which then slowly moves across the plains. At the same time, an even stronger jet is forecast to dive down the west coast later this week. This second storm may be much larger scale than the end of the week storm.

There are many uncertainties with this end of the week storm.
- #1: Will it close off into the slow moving upper low like the models are forecasting? Most storm systems, this year, have done the slide by and closed off southeast of us. If the slide by happens, then we would be in the cold air and it would not produce the amounts predicted below.
- #2: Where will the storm track?
- #3: How much moisture will be pulled in from the Gulf of Mexico?
- #4: Another warm front is going to set up, will it again be south of us placing us into the colder air just like the past few storm systems?
Here is the rainfall forecast from the 1 AM run of the GFS model. We will be tracking these developments on our newscasts today and tonight. It is severe weather season and there will likely be some severe weather with this storm system, but the best chance appears to be south of our local area once again.

I had a great time in Chillicothe on Saturday. The town of around 10,000 people is beautiful with picturesque murals painted all over town. We went there to help sell some weather radios and a lot of people stopped by. Here are some of the pictures:

Stormy the weather dog just sat on the table and met all of her fans. She would occasionally go out and do some tricks for the kids.



Once again, thank you Chillicothe! Have a great day everyone, and we will update the blog later today with the trends in the models.
Gary