Good afternoon bloggers,
Update at 1 PM: Severe weather outlook for the plains. We will have to watch the area in the moderate risk, as thunderstorms explode in this area later today a complex may turn our way later tonight.
Previous entry below:
This is the type of storm, in this years LRC pattern, that has struggled to produce a lot of precipitation here. I am a bit surprised, and then again I shouldn't be. There still may be an MCS (mesoscale convective system) tracking across northern Kansas tonight into early Wednesday, but the main storm tracks south of us, as you can see in the previous blog. We will continue to monitor this developing storm on our newscasts tonight.
Here is the updated GFS forecast rainfall amounts through Thursday. As you can see we are near the minimum area, but this doesn't mean this solution is correct.
I was quite generous in showing the 0.08" in that minimum area. Actually it is near zero right there in this spot. Will it pan out this way? We will have special graphics on the air tonight covering this situation. The wind fields are weak aloft and at the surface tomorrow, so we think any risk of a severe thunderstorm is extremely slight.
The Jr. Meteorologist Contest continues with another of our top 10 entries on the 5 PM newscast. We will continue showing the top ten through early next week, and then we announce the winner of the trip to Disneyworld later next week. Good luck kids!
Gary