Good late evening everyone,
The new NAM model and the RUC model both are trying to have the upper low, now near the Arizona Mexico border, move out close enough to Kansas City to put us in the rain shield. As a result the NAM is now predicting 3 inches of rain here on Wednesday. This is still a situation that we are going to know a lot more about early in the morning tomorrow.
And, the thunderstorms heading our way don't have the energy necessary to make me too concerned for severe thunderstorms overnight. We may have a strong line of thunderstorms before sunrise, if they hold together, but the threat of severe thunderstorms is very slight. We will continue to monitor the situation overnight. The thing to watch, if the upper low will be a bit farther north, is the line of thunderstorms west and north of us will weaken as the flow aloft backs as the storm approaches.
I will have a special POWERCAST, our new HD high resolution computer model as we describe this developing weather event. I am 50/50 on whether the upper low comes close enough to us. I will make a final decision on my thoughts during the 10 PM newscast.
Brett Anthony will be here overnight to monitor the thunderstorms moving in from the west and northwest.
Gary