NBC Action Communities

Jeremy:

Good morning to you!! Hope your day goes well!! Just checking in this morning-haven't even been able to that much lately!! We recieved close to an 1 1/2 inches here in SW Lawrence last night-combined with Wednesday night's rain we have recieved close to 3 inches this week-I'll take it!!!!

We currently have a pretty stiff East wind-looks like on satelite that the clearing line is back towards Salina-looks to be a pretty coolish breezy morning-much like yesterday and Thursday and then by around 2:00 the skies begin to clear and we really warm up.

Has the warm front been pushed back into Oklahoma this morning-that looks to be where the highest dew points are at the present moment. I think it will be interesting to see how long this MCS holds together as it moves NE and if it helps keep the east winds going here for a bit longer than yesterday-am I even making any sense?? LOL

One other crazy note: Looks like the GFS has been very concistent showing the front finally jumping North of us later today and tomorrow and then it begins to slowly sag south on Monday. The GFS has been consistent the past few runs showing us with a descent amount of rain Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning and then finally it all clears out by Tuesday afternoon. In the end, this looks to be a very tricky next 72 hours as there are so many things that can have a small affect which in turn changes the whole weather for the day!! Does that make any sense?? I am very rusty right now on my blogging!!! LOL

Have a great day and thanks for reading and have a great Holiday weekend!!!

Bill in Lawrence

By Olathe North HS- 1.18"

Where will the best chasing be today?

Morning! I had 1" here in Raytown.

Kelly

jeremy,
I am down in Lebanon mo and they are issuing severe thunderstorm warnings with the line moving through.  I dont know the weather stations down here and cant find out much info about how bad the line of storms are or how long the rain will last today...can you help me?

******************

The bow echo is weakening and I'd guess the top wind gust would now be 60mph in southwest MO. 

Jeremy

Thank you.  I am not used to being in an area where I can not find out what is going on with the weather but I knew you would help me out.  :)

That line weakened and is now rolling through Marceline now...It is raining moderate to heavy at times with a lot of lightning. It looks like a pretty good swath of rain behind the line as well...When do you think the rain will exit the Marceline area?

Is it going to be windy today?


Alex from Marceline

******************

Probably late morning.  Winds should be east-southeast 10-20...with some higher gusts.

.97" in Shawnee.  Why did I wait to mow until today?  Sigh.

Tim in West Shawnee

*****************

Thanks for the report Tim!

Jeremy

I was without internet and tv yesterday so I had no idea that we were getting storms this morning. I woke up quite surprised with all of the loud thunder. didnt get much sleep after that. Last night was the night I needed to get the most, Lots of work to get done today. Glad to have the rain though. It is wonderful to have not set up a single sprinkler yet this year. I hope it continues for a bit longer and the hot temperatures stay away.

Mark

****************

Mark,

I wasn't surprised it rained or that there were thunderstorms.  I was surprised that the area of showers and storms was so widespread.

Jeremy

That was interesting, right when the storms moved OUT, I woke up? Gary, what is the forecast for Salina today, I'm going to my cousin's birthday there today and we are going to the pool although I wish I could go there tomarrow, but alas, I won't. About 1.26 inches in Shawnee. Thanks,
                                                   Byan.

That was interesting, right when the storms moved OUT, I woke up? Gary, what is the forecast for Salina today, I'm going to my cousin's birthday there today and we are going to the pool although I wish I could go there tomarrow, but alas, I won't. About 1.26 inches in Shawnee. Thanks,
                                                   Byan.

Good Morning everyone

1.50 inches @ 65th & State Avenue

Boy what a night.

Oh and where will the dryline be today?

Jeremy,

I  wasn't expecting storms this morning and was surprised they came.  Just checked the rain gauge and it had 1.3" in it.  

*******************

Thanks for the rain total!

Jeremy

Laura 'n Raytown

PS  Can't believe I have long sleeved shirt with sweats on.  Be in shorts and tank top this afternoon.  Is this crazy weather or not!!

1.25" in Kansas City --  a perfect rain for Kansas City Landscaping

Jeremy,
You say no warnings were issued but my Weather Radio sure went off at 4:44AM, Warning for Leavenworth County, Severe Thunderstorm, and it was a doozy, high winds, pea size hail and my brand new, dry to the bone rain gauge shows 1.5" of rain, Lost electric until about 8:30am, lots of small limbs and leaves covering the yard,
I pulled up the weather on my blackberry since I had no electric, and saw that bow echo really forming over  Shawnee, Olathe area. Freaked me out, I swore when I went to bed last night, there was only a 30% of rain

***********************

I mentioned the no watches or warnings was for the metro(Platte, Clay, Jackson, Wyandotte, & Johnson counties).  There were some areas of strong winds...but overall the rain and lightning was the main issue with this line of storms.  There was a 30% chance of storms.  And as I mentioned last night at 10pm we would get the leftovers from the central Kansas storms.  The overall coverage and rainfall amount were greater than expected, but not certainly not that there were storms.

Thanks for the rain total...I'll pass that along.  Great to hear you have a weather radio...we need everyone to have one for these type of nighttime events.

Jeremy

Morning Jeremy

Melissa caled me at work to let me know that we had .80 inches of rain from this morning's storms.  

So, does Monday still look wet?  

Bill

********************

Rain chances are greatest in the afternoon and evening on Monday.  The timing of the front will be the key.

Jeremy

After I got home from work this am I drove around to look at the damage. We have some trees down, many limbs and a few mobile home had their windows blown out and the siding along the bottom of the trailers blown away. My dad said the wind was so strong that he was heading to the basement when it finally stopped. We got 1.75 inches of rain and it is still falling. Well I am heading to bed....hope it is sunny and warm when I wake to go to work again. :o)
Monica
Pleasanton, KS

*******************

Monica,

Thanks for the report.  The bow echo was strongest near the warm front to our south.  Also better moisture support there.  Glad to hear everyone is okay and the damage may be minor.  You probably had 60-70 mph winds?

Jeremy

When I said "we"...I meant the town not me personally...just wanted to clarify that. I have no damage what so ever. My hubby said that the wind caught him off guard a bit. Have a great weekend all!!
Monica

0.63" of liquid in the rain gauge over in East Lawrence.

We need Sun! I want to seen something cool today.Me and my Dad might just have to go on a chaser by ourselves. Would have to do it the old way: with our eyes, ears,and GPS/Atlas.  

Storms woke me up early.. Gary was right; they got my attention!!... but it was welcome rain.  Rain gauage says 1.1 here in central LS.  I hope most of the rain for Monday holds off till evening and over night!  Any chance the rain might come in late?

Mary *************** Mary, The 12Z NAM has rain around for a good part of Monday. I wouldn't worry too much until after maybe Sunday mornings model data comes in. Jeremy

received 1.28" this morning at the fort gary.  looks like a line of storms is firing around the emporia area and moving nnw.  maybe another round of rain for us later... *************** PVT, Thanks for the rain total. I noticed the storms firing close to the warm front. It will be interesting to see how they fair moving into the cooler air that isn't quite as moist. Something to keep our eyes on though. Jeremy

Good Morning all!

This storm took me by surprise waking me up around, 5am. So i went to online and looked at radar and theres this huge line of storms right on top of us!

Thx gary for the early morning update, but i really dont understand these storms. How can such a huge storm kinda appear out of nowhere? (as it seems it surprised all of us) LOL i guess i still have a lot to learn about weather!

Anyways, the rainfall total here in southern Leawood (151st and Mission) was nice... 0.98 inches

*************** Thanks for the rain report! Jeremy

Painted HIlls Golf Course, KCK- 1.30"

Rain total near 128th & Mur-Len, Olathe, Ks ...  1.1"

Here at 435 SantaFe Exit. 1.20 Inches in Olathe *************** Keep the rain totals coming! Thanks! Jeremy

Andrew, I totally understand how excited you are after going on a chase. But it is really dangerous for people to try to do this on their own without equipment, especially those who are very very new. I can't imagine going out now just driving around in a car looking, without a doppler indicating rotation and shear and direction. It is too easy to get trapped in a bad situation.

Sean has been doing this for years and is very experienced in driving in these situations. His SUV is also equipped with special tires for these conditions. Honestly, it is the average guy following the chasers or people playing lookie-loo that cause alot of danger to others or get caught in a bad spot. You really can't always tell which way something is going to go.

I have almost exactly what I had on Thursday!  Today is 1.1 and Thursday was 1.2 inches.  I think some of my flowers are a little soggy so I'm hoping for the warm and humid to come in today and stick through tomorrow at least.  Happy Memorial Day everyone!! *************** Thanks for the report. I hope everyone enjoyed the dry stretch...looks that is gone for a while. Jeremy

Rainfall at 99th & Nall in Overland Park was .93 inches.

The lightening and thunder sure woke me up this morning, but once I saw that I had no warning lights on my weather radio, I buried my head and went back to sleep. ***************** Weather radios are great! Gary is at the Price Chopper in Parkville right now! Jeremy

I had 1.2" of rain at 80th and Grant in Overland Park.

Speaking of the Lightning and Thunder. We woak up because of the Thunder that landed about 75 yards from our house. A Tree was hit but no fire was started.

Good Morning
Say, what's up with those showery storms forming just southwest of Olathe?  Sure looks like they're headed towards KC -  One even has a warning on it? *********** I'm watching that too. Seems like these would weaken as they head into the outflow area and away from the best surface moisture. Hopefully this doesn't turn out to be a long day:) Jeremy

Hi Jeremy, .69 here in SE Lee's Summit.  Kristy **************** Thanks for the total Kristy! Jeremy

sedalia .42 of rain and looking for some more....maybe ;)

There talking about Mulitpil MCS storms Monday night

Heres the SPC. Out look Monday into Monday Night

THE COMBINATION OF
  MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUGGESTS THE
  POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS INITIALLY WITH A THREAT OF LARGE
  HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES.  STORMS MAY GROW UPSCALE
  INTO ONE OR MORE MCS/S MONDAY NIGHT WITH A DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL
  THREAT CONTINUING EWD ACROSS KS INTO MO.

.85 inches of rain at 151st and Mur-Len in Olathe.

.61" of rain 2 miles South of Reno - so far. Thunder in the distance.

Jeremy,
This is what the weather team posted last night:
Best chance of seeing a shower in the morning will occur west of the state line.  The rain chance for Saturday stands at about 30%.

Now that we can see that the rain was area-wide and developed into a major system of rain stretching from Iowa to Oklahoma, what was it that you missed in predicting this for the system? Did something change?--the High moving out of the way over Iowa etc.

Just trying to figure out the huge difference between your forecast and what actually transpired 12 hours later.  It seems the entire state of Missouri will have received a lot of rain today. That is quite a big difference from "Best chance of seeing a shower in the morning will occur west of the state line."
*************** But you failed to include my statement during the 10pm news last night...closer to the event. At 10pm I clearly stated that what was left of the thunderstorms in Kansas would move into the area overnight. I even gave a time frame of after 3 or 4am during the weather segment. I didn't think the rain area would be as widespread as it turned out to be. The thunderstorm complex was strongest west of the state line and weakened as it pushed east. Overall the forecast could have been better, but the chance of rain was in the forecast for this morning last night and for Saturday many days in advance. Jeremy

My weather radio woke me up because I have it programmed for some surrounding counties. It went off for Linn and Miami county. I am so glad I put the radio downstairs in the livingroom, instead of next to my bed. It was VERY loud even from down there.  I got up, checked the alert, noticed it wasn't for Johnson County and went back to sleep, but only for about 30 min, then our thunder and lightening started. I could tell it was just a good old regular storm, not severe, so I enjoyed it and went back to sleep.   **************** Glad to hear you enjoyed the storms! Jeremy

Jeri..
PM me plz

We are having a huge Memorial Day outdoor party this afternoon/evening. From what we were hearing this week, thought it would be dry. What is the outlook for this afternoon?
Thanks, ***************** With the warm front to our south and it lifting north there is a chance of some showers and storms. I would have a plan 'B' if possible. I hope it stays dry for your event! Jeremy

I got 3/4 of an inch in Liberty.

************** Thanks for the report! Jeremy

jeremy I thought you said the chance for rain stood at 30% this morning. Almost everybody in the viewing area got rain. ****************** If we put a 30% chance in the forecast it DOES NOT mean that 30% of the area will see rain. It means that 30% of the time this type of weather setup will produce rain. It can be confusing because some forecasters like to use the % chance a little differently. Jeremy

THE COMBINATION OF
  MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUGGESTS THE
  POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS INITIALLY WITH A THREAT OF LARGE
  HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES.  STORMS MAY GROW UPSCALE
  INTO ONE OR MORE MCS/S MONDAY NIGHT WITH A DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL
  THREAT CONTINUING EWD ACROSS KS INTO MO.

MCS Huh. Well thats a bummer

Received 1.15" at 150 & 291 in S. Lee's Summit. Quite the sound & light show early this morning! ************ Thanks for the report! Some nice storms! Jeremy

Jeremy: Every local weathecaster blew the overnight forecast. "Mr Downplay" even said "barely a sprinkle and no rain today". Its OK to admit that last night caught you by surprise. At midnight, it looked like the MCS would move across southern KS because the northern extent of the line had weakened considerably.

You are, by definition, attempting to predict the future when you make a forecast. We can't rationally expect you to be right 100% of the time. ************* I hear what you are saying, but to say the forecast was a bust isn't right either. I said the part that surprised me was the coverage of the rain and how much fell. Not the fact that there were showers or thunderstorms. If predicting the future was easy I would be working on the floor of the NYSE. Jeremy

Geeze.. jus got startled by a VERY loud rumble.. ************* A little line of t-storms from KCK to Atchison, KS. Jeremy

Did anyone else wake up around 4 AM and see a small "hook" around Olathe... look at the velocity and actually see a weak couplet? It disappeared the very next frame but caught my attention none the less.

Good afternoon Jeremy!  I've had 1.2" at my house at 151st and Pflumm in Olathe.   ************** Great total. Looks like everyone had at least a half inch! Jeremy

Thanks Jeremy.. ran to wunderground to see that myself..  Pretty good cell coming through Wyandotte county at the moment

Well, at my home in Leavenworth, I had roughly an inch of rain in my rain gauge this morning. I say roughly because it was at an inch, but it may have been slightly more, but I'm not good with figuring exact with my rain gauge. But it was 1".


It's about 12:15 pm, and the rain has now started again..... hmmmm.... I sure could use some DRIER weather for this weekend!


1" in Leavenworth, KS.


-Ryan in LV

Jermy,
         The southwestern part of Lees Summit got a total of 2 inches of rain. ***************** Good to hear! This was a nice rain for LS. Jeremy

Easton, MO received 0.5" on Thursday and just over an 1" with this mornings storms.  I will take it.  My garden was needing water and I held off.  Glad I did.  Have a great day!!!! **************** You may see more over the next few days! Jeremy

The Southwestern Lees Summit area actualy got 1 inch not 2 inches. Oh man it started to rain again! LOL

ook.. can someone else look at the Tulsa radar on Wunderground with storm tracks on.. and tell me what they see.  I'm seeing all of the storms moving north east with the exception of V2 its going north west..

Am I seeing things??

oops it was the Memphis radar..

Had a CRAZY night up here in north Kansas City (152 and North Oak Trafficway area - west of Liberty, just north of Gladstone.....wife woke me up asking me if we should go into the basement!

Over an inch of rain..... LOUD lightning - very windy.....

I just received another .12" of rain 2 miles south of Reno for a total of .73" today. This makes 1.62" in the last 48 hours. Lots of "spider web" (cloud to cloud)  lightning with these storms last night and this morning.

its kind of a slow weather period in the day and i was just curious if the crew at KSHB or any bloggers had any really good weather books they like? i am looking to get some more for my library. thanks

picked up the weather radio at Price Chopper this week.  Is there a way to program it only alert on certain types of warnings?  i.e., Tornado, but not Svr Thunderstorm Watch or warning.  Was awakened last night by the issuance of the svr t-storm watch.  Looked on Midland's website, but couldn't see anything about that.  Any help or ideas you have would be greatly appreciated.  Thanks!

----------------

I am not sure, but you should have come up to the Price Chopper in Parkville.  I just got home, but we had people programming them this morning.  Maybe someone knows.

Gary

Jeremy,
In defending yourself, you failed to answer my question. I'm just here to learn. What happend that made this a huge rain event when yesterday afternoon, you did not think that likely.
Again, what conditions changed that allowed it to happen?

---------------------

Nothing really changed.  Yesterday's severe thunderstorms across western Kansas created boundaries.  The warm front has been south of us for days, and north of the warm front is a very favorable spot for thunderstorms.  When yesterday's lines and supercells evolved after midnight, and MCS formed with a strong line on the leading edge of the MCS. 

This is not a big surprise, even though, we weren't exactly sure how the activity would evolve overnight.  The warm front is still south of us today, but it is about to jump north.  And, then a cold front will be sagging our way from the northwest Sunday and Monday creating a new way to produce thunderstorms.

Gary

I am to say the least VERY upset, and not at Jeremy for saying only 30%. I am VERY UPSET because I SLEPT THROUGH IT ALL! DANG IT! well I hope we clear up and get blasted again later this afternoon or tonight.

I just went out and checked the rain guage...1.2" of rain here in Marcelne, MO

I just got time to set up my weather radio yesterday...Its a Midland WR-300...It went off this morning stating there was a flood warning for Linn County, MO

Is the a chance of severe weather tomorrow or Monday?



Alex from Marceline        

1.01 in Grain Valley

KCK near N 18th and State Ave:  Today 1.14; Month 3.81; Year 18.60.

Solid intensity:  85 hundredths in one hour and almost a half inch in 15 minutes registered on the tipping bucket electronic gauge.  

***************

Thanks for the report.

Jeremy

Fox news is showing live tornadoes in Oklahoma.

Dave

jhawk62798

You can only program the unit for the area counties.  There is not a feature to pick and chose the type of alerts.

Bill  

My weather radio lets you choose what type of alerts you want it to sound for.

Alex from Marceline

Just wanted to report .83 inches this morning in Lee's Summit.

Gramb0, are you using a rain gauge or electronically?

How is percent chances of rain calculated? I've had 100% chance of rain since Thursday with strong storms, driving torential rain and strong winds every morning around 4-5 am. Really am tired of cleaning stalls. I'm looking forward to a dry spell. Need a good long stretch to so we can start haying.

Yes I have been watching the live tornadoes to, unreal sight, sometimes they would feed in Gary England's commentary on the situation.

*****************

I'm going to show the tornado hitting the pig farm on the newscasts today.

Jeremy

That thing in OK. is dropping twisters left and right!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

NW Lawrence received 1.26" through 7:30 AM this morning.

********************

Thanks for sharing the total!

Jeremy

Are you guys still thinking we are in the clear for severe storms?  Watching this stuff in Oklahoma is frightening!

Unbelievably eery to watch this OK storm live thanks to the gutsy helicopter pilot. Hope for all to be safe.

Sorry I have not been around...  I love weather discussions but real life has taken over.  I don't even know how much rain we had last night because I never checked the rain gauge..  I do know that my weather radio went off twice so I ended up pulling the plug on it because I was sooo tired and needed to sleep.  I didn't even hear it when I rolled thru.  

If you would like to keep in touch with me, please email me at simplykristi@simplykristi.com.  I do check my email every day.

Kristi

********************

Kristi,

Thanks for checking in...I hope all is well!

Jeremy

.80 "   overnight and morning    323rd & hwy 7  between Garden City and Creighton

does anyone have the link for watching the ok tornado?
Thanks
Keeping you in my prayers Kristi!

Hi Kristi, I missed you around. I'm sorry your having a rough time. i wish you all the best.

Hi All,
Thanks

I am watching the live feed from KWTV.  I am sucked in for a little bit.  I need to get back to my company tho. LOL

Kristi

Hey Everyone i'm Shawn, kinda new to this area. Im a Pro Pilot Major at the University of Central Missouri in Warrensburg.  Weather is a passion of mine, and trust me, its always had its moments in the air too.  I've been following the blog since i came to school here this past Aug.  Hope some good weather is in store, although, i dont mind the occasional good thunderstorm. =0)

***********************

Welcome aboard!  Thanks for reading our blogging and great to have you in the discussion.  Don't be a stranger!

Jeremy

stormwynnd... either koco.com or kwtv.com

Hey, it's turned out to be a nice day after all!

1.01" overnight in Merriam, KS

Looking at the radar, and the Satellite picture:
http://tinyurl.com/66hpyy

I think a line is going develop in KS then move this way.

thanks suz 01

Welcome ProPilot!  I'm not the blog welcoming committee, but just since I have a question for you as a pilot just wanted to give you a warm welcome!  I've been sucked into the live feed from KWTV in Oklahoma and I cannot imagine how hard it is for that pilot to be tracking these tornadoes.  Seems like a fairly smooth ride, so they must have a great camera.  How hard would it be for this pilot to gauge the storms and the outflow winds to be able to successfully  track and video these storms?

...missed ya Kristi.  Your family and you are still in my prayers!

And thanks for the stations Suz01!!

We got 0.82 inches this morning in beautiful Emma, MO

*****************

Thanks...I'll include that at 10pm

Jeremy