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Thunderstorms will turn our way

Good late evening bloggers,

We are getting ready for the 10 PM weathercast.  Right off the top of the newscast we will quickly go over our weather situation and then our news department will go into the tornado that hit the boyscout camp north of Omaha, in Iowa.  And, I will be showing the rainfall forecast from you guys, and from us in a few minutes. 

The blogger rainfall forecast is 1.55".  I am forecasting 1.4" north and 3.9" south.  In the morning we will try to pin down which area is considered north, and which area is considered south. 

We still think the thunderstorms will stay west of the viewing area until after midnight, and not get to KC until 4 to 6 AM.

Gary

Published Wednesday, June 11, 2008 9:29 PM by glezak

Comments

 

HailJonathan said:

Those Thunderstorms are INCREDIBLE are they going to hit us?
June 11, 2008 9:54 PM
 

LRCfan said:

new tornado watch til 3am includes leavenworth, platte countines and areas north and west.
June 11, 2008 9:55 PM
 

Brent said:

hey everyone, I am glad I have time to post some now.
I have been really busy.

I have measured at least 4 inches in the last few weeks but it looks like more may be coming. at this rate I will never get to go down to the lake to camp..lol

Brent
June 11, 2008 9:55 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

I'm not going to lie I want HUGE storms tonight but I don't want any tornadoes tonight. I just checked on wunderground one of those storms was reading 75 dbz! on radar
June 11, 2008 9:59 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

on the wunderground radar the storm that just passed salina, It looks like you can see reflectivity of debris on the radar this is incredible.
June 11, 2008 10:04 PM
 

bewild79 said:

Ok Jonathan, how scared should I be?
June 11, 2008 10:09 PM
 

farmgirl said:

Ok, Hail as long as the big storms stay where you live that is fine with me.

Just piled more dirt along the foundation. Hope this helps with water coming in at the floor level on the seams. Well see. And of course insurance is being difficult on the barn. I need a weather break! Hope we get one soon. Once again canceld my trail ride for this weekend. It will be too muddy to ride. :(
June 11, 2008 10:10 PM
 

Lorie in SW MO said:

I can't get wunderground radar to work tonight. Keeps locking up on me. :-(

Farmgirl ~ I was thinking about you earlier and wondered how you were doing.
June 11, 2008 10:18 PM
 

davidmcg said:

Hey Farmgirl what company do you have your insurance with?  If they are being to difficult there is always the state insurance commissioner.  I sure hope it isn't Farm Bureau.  Regardless, keep after them and document the time, day, who you talked to and the topics discussed.  Insurance companies are getting worse all the time.
June 11, 2008 10:19 PM
 

NotesInTheMargin said:

Did Jeremy have any luck out to the west on his chase today?
June 11, 2008 10:20 PM
 

Holmes524 said:

Gary just spoke to him on the news.  Sounds like he has had busy night chasing
June 11, 2008 10:22 PM
 

bewild79 said:

I hope he is right about the storms being weaker when they hit here...
June 11, 2008 10:23 PM
 

bewild79 said:

I am very confused...Gary said the storms wont be here until 5 or 6 in the morning but the watch we are in ends at 3 why is that?

-------------------

The Storm Prediction Center has us on the eastern edge of the watch.  The line is moving a bit slower than they were thinking, so I still say it gets here around 4 to 6 AM.

Gary

June 11, 2008 10:26 PM
 

C in Raymore said:

so what does everyone think about tomorrow afternoon? i have a doctors appt that i want to go to but don't want stuff that could be bad?

man as much as i dont like heat, i think i am ready for some relief till about November when i want lots of snow!
June 11, 2008 10:26 PM
 

emcat said:

Jeremy said they saw damage in the Salina area.  Hail, what do you think are possibility for severe weather will be?  What is predicted for the tomorrow?  I haven't had a chance to look at the last blog.  Krisit you still out there???
June 11, 2008 10:33 PM
 

C in Raymore said:

yes i am a bit confused with the whole weather situation, i know we are predicting a lot of rain over the next couple days, will it be raining all day or just big storms that produce lots of rain? i watched the news and it seemed the focus was tomorrow morning so I am not sure what to expect the day and friday.
June 11, 2008 10:36 PM
 

rstull said:

Tornado damage on the south side of Salina. Up to 3.5 inch hail confirmed there too.
June 11, 2008 10:40 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

I don't think any of us should be terrified. because the tornadic cell looks to be weakening a little bit and that last storm is becoming more linear. but that's up to Gary to say.
June 11, 2008 10:40 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

Let me get back to radar guys.
June 11, 2008 10:41 PM
 

rstull said:

Crestwood manufacturing in Salina and a nursing home have sustained damage from a confirmed tornado. Multiple power grids blown in the city and lightning fires too!
June 11, 2008 10:44 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

the salina storm just took a left turn and for the moment is almost moving due north and the storm behind that doesn't look classic its a supercell but it's elongated. has a slight notch on the southern edge but the top side of it is bowing out. So I don't know how much longer it could remain tornadic but we have several hours to watch it.
June 11, 2008 10:44 PM
 

Luthur said:

Things have changed.   That's my up to date armchair forecast.  While KC is cool, folks out West may be surprised.   I have no idea what KC should expect.  It seems as if everything may have shifted more south.  Still, we'll be on the early morning weak storm issue.  Gary and the Team mentioned this was a possibility.  This might mean fewer issues with Thursday evening.
June 11, 2008 10:45 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

I might be seriously scolded for this but it looks like to me that those two cells are trying to become one bow echo.
June 11, 2008 10:50 PM
 

auroramama said:

Scold, scold Jonathon.  Totally kidding...how are you doing today?

I am wondering if I will even be affected by this down here in Belton.  I am so upset to hear about that Boy Scout camp. :(
June 11, 2008 10:57 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

nobody here anymore???? guess not.
June 11, 2008 10:57 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

Hi Auroramama! I'm hanging in there how are you doing? the way radar trends are looking Belton looks to be possibly spared by THESE storms. unless they build down to the south but I don't see much of that at this time.
June 11, 2008 10:59 PM
 

Turd Fergenson said:

i am
June 11, 2008 11:00 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

well lets talk people I'm In a depression and I need weather bloggage!
June 11, 2008 11:03 PM
 

twister11 said:

I will join you guys on this one boring wednesday night. lol
June 11, 2008 11:04 PM
 

auroramama said:

I'm doing good, glad to hear you are too.  I hope these by pass us, even though I hope NO ONE gets anything bad.  I know you like the wild weather but as a scaredy cat I am ready for this severe weather season to be over.  I'm a summer girl so it's a sad day when I'm ready for winter, lol.
June 11, 2008 11:04 PM
 

mamaof3girls said:

Okay this is crazy...no one needs this kind of rain right now. All I want is tomorrow during the day to stay dry so my hubby can dig the post holes for our deck...let it set up and then it can rain all it wants. Ughhh....at the rate he is going with the rain and T-ball it will never get done. Come on Gary...really?? Really 3-5 inches down here, ;o(.....LOL, make the madness stop!!!!! Ya know...come September I will be harping for it to rain more. LOL!!! This is sooooo the way it goes around here.
Monica
Pleasanton, KS
June 11, 2008 11:05 PM
 

rstull said:

A strong tornado is near Manhattan.
June 11, 2008 11:07 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

Twister it may not be so boring. these storms are now Charging East and they are holding together very nice but they keep getting interrupted by other storms that develop near them. But Still they are holding together quite well.
June 11, 2008 11:07 PM
 

boootz said:

Atchinson under a tornado warning...Kansas or Missouri?
June 11, 2008 11:08 PM
 

lezakEF5 said:

Gary:

If you had to give a rain total for Marceline, MO, what would you say?

I am going to say 1.9 inches guessing that the thunderstorms will be slow moving, and will dump some heavy rains.  Another question....

Are you seeing a chance that our area will be in the "ring of fire" based on this years weather pattern, and the LRC?


Thank you....Alex
June 11, 2008 11:09 PM
 

bewild79 said:

I am still here....I am starting to not feel so nervous about these storms.  They are not even supposed to hit until after the watch expires and they will be weaker so I should hopefully get some sleep tonight.
June 11, 2008 11:09 PM
 

farmgirl said:

Just went and brought the horses in. Don't want to get up at 4 am to bring them in if it starts storming. Man, is it windy out there. I'm sorta confused on the weather timing for tomorrow too. Gary said Miami/Linn might get close to 4" of rain, but is that over Thursday into Fri or what??? Boy, I hope for once he is way wrong! Think I'm gonna start to build an Ark!
June 11, 2008 11:09 PM
 

LRCfan said:

tornado on the ground in manhattan channel 49 reported a tornado.
June 11, 2008 11:10 PM
 

LRCfan said:

channel 49 is a tv station in topeka.
June 11, 2008 11:11 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

I zoomed in real close on the southern most storm and an outflow boundary is begining too form on them causing to form in a more of a straight line...I'll watch to see if this trend continues.
June 11, 2008 11:11 PM
 

mamaof3girls said:

I am with ya Farmgirl!!! Remember last July 4th we were building one. Ughhh!
Monica
Pleasanton, KS
June 11, 2008 11:11 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

Hi Becky! =)
June 11, 2008 11:12 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

I find it interesting how after having different events, terms become much looser as to what is thought to be seen.

In this case...a "bow echo".  Here is a better example of the "bowing" effect in this line north and a bit east of Des Moines...

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=out&num=1&frame=0&delay=15&scale=0.750&noclutter=0&ID=DMX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=0.750&centerx=351&centery=271&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0

Yes, its a long link..but shows it very well.  Look at it in SRV mode.
June 11, 2008 11:12 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

I'm watching TWC right now they are talking about it.
June 11, 2008 11:12 PM
 

MikeL said:

A significant tornado  - possibly large - may have it Manhattan in the past few minutes.  Chapman - West of Junction City - was hit with damage and injuries.  Things have been bad in these areas west of Topeka. Things are moving northeast so should stay north of Topeka for now anyway.  Mike in SW Topeka.  
June 11, 2008 11:14 PM
 

WEATHERdude said:

Apparently there was a tornado that went rite through manhattan.... i hope everyone is ok!

June 11, 2008 11:14 PM
 

simplykristi said:

My relatives made it safely to the house.  I am relieved!   hope that I can comment more tomorrow..  just busy around here these days.

Kristi
June 11, 2008 11:15 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

ARK - Act of Random Kindness
June 11, 2008 11:15 PM
 

bewild79 said:

Isnt that the cell that looks like it would hit here?
June 11, 2008 11:16 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

Scott, I know that comment was for me, I thought I possibly saw something that looked like an evolving bow at one time but I don't see it anymore.
June 11, 2008 11:17 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

Becky
no that cell will hit NW missouri Atchison and Doniphan counties probly but that southern cell is interfering with it quite a bit I would expect the circulation to weaken would anyone else tend to agree?
June 11, 2008 11:21 PM
 

Maria said:

http://www.stormtrack.org/forum/showthread.php?t=17006&page=6

Damage in Manhattan
June 11, 2008 11:22 PM
 

bewild79 said:

How fast are these storms moving?
June 11, 2008 11:23 PM
 

auroramama said:

Aghhhh they look like they are slowing growing south, noooo.  
June 11, 2008 11:25 PM
 

bewild79 said:

I am so ready for this kind of weather to be done with!
June 11, 2008 11:26 PM
 

NorthlandGirl said:

Hi all....trying to find out more from tracking the tornado around Manhattan.  FIREMS from Wamego - are you online?
June 11, 2008 11:27 PM
 

auroramama said:

Bewild would you like to go in half on a timeshare in Alaska? LOL
June 11, 2008 11:28 PM
 

emcat said:

Kristi, glad your family arrived safely!! Let's hope for a safe night for the surrounding areas!!  
June 11, 2008 11:28 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

they are growing south a little bit but they aren't as intense to the south it looks like. there aren't any tornado signatures on the southern end of that cell either so I'm not worried=)
June 11, 2008 11:29 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

Becky....I will take it all in for you!
June 11, 2008 11:29 PM
 

psychdoc said:

Just got off the phone with my parents in Manhattan.  There is significant damage right through the heart of Manhattan.  Starting on the southwest side by little apple toyota honda and going straight through town.  Emergency responders are having a hard time navigating roads due to debris.  Please pray for everyone in the Manhattan area tonight.  
June 11, 2008 11:30 PM
 

bewild79 said:

Auroramama,
LOL I am with ya!!

Jonathan,
TAKE THEM ALL!!! lol
June 11, 2008 11:31 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

oh my gosh those poor people....
June 11, 2008 11:31 PM
 

bewild79 said:

What happened to the page?
June 11, 2008 11:32 PM
 

emcat said:

Psychdoc  -- I hope your parents are okay!!
June 11, 2008 11:32 PM
 

auroramama said:

Oh I hope no one was hurt in Manhatten.  Okay Hail I'll try not to worry then either. :) psychdoc glad to hear your parents are okay
June 11, 2008 11:32 PM
 

MusicInOlathe said:

Am I understanding this right...it seems that these storms are headed right for us because it is building on the south side of the storm?  But, I thought we weren't supposed to get anything till 6am?  Sorry, I am so confuzled! :)
June 11, 2008 11:34 PM
 

NorthlandGirl said:

Thank you so much psychdoc...I'm trying to find out about family in Wamego now.  Glad your parents are ok and I'm praying for others.
June 11, 2008 11:35 PM
 

Emmysmom said:

So the only reason I check weather.com is because I like the interactive map to see the radar.  So I clicked on it and watched the line of storms through Kansas.  When you put it into motion and pause it at about 12:25 EST, the bottom part of the cell looks like two fingers and a thumb, and like the fingers are just "walking" towards KC.  

Just thought it was kind of interesting and hoping it doesn't mean something :)
June 11, 2008 11:36 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

Music, I've been on radar all evening what appars to be happening is that most of the energy is being transfered to the tornadic storm which just went through manhattan but the southern storm is now merged with the tornadic storm in a somewhat weakened state and new storms are trying to fire south of it. but overall it doesn't look to bad for the Kansas City area I don't think. I'll let Gary Field the rest of that if he's interested.
June 11, 2008 11:37 PM
 

Maria said:

movie theater destoyed
June 11, 2008 11:39 PM
 

Maria said:

wibw has live streaming coverage
June 11, 2008 11:40 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

The storms that are heading directly towards KC are definitely not what they were even 30 minutes ago they are weakening if that rests some minds out there.
June 11, 2008 11:41 PM
 

Lillyanya said:

Well... I guess I'll find out how well my new meds to help control my phobia work. :(
June 11, 2008 11:42 PM
 

psychdoc said:

northland girl, storm went north of wamego, but went over rock creek high school/flush area  and then on to westmorland.  Wamego was spared and in fact did not get much rain even untill the later storms moved in!! Scarry stuff
June 11, 2008 11:42 PM
 

MusicInOlathe said:

Thanks Jonathan!  I figured it would weaken being so far out, but that whole "not here till morning" thing really threw me off.
Emmy-That is hilarious!  I see exactly what you are talking about!
June 11, 2008 11:43 PM
 

psychdoc said:

Maria- the movie theater is right by little apple honda toyota,  that is also by a huge mobile home park and the zoo/high school in Manhattan
June 11, 2008 11:43 PM
 

NorthlandGirl said:

Thank you psych!!!!!  Thinking good thoughts for all those having to go through this tonight!  With family in Wamego and all over NE and Iowa it's nuts sitting here all comfy and just starting to track online.  Thank you so much to Gary for the updates and all of you blogging!!!
June 11, 2008 11:45 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

FarmGirl Lives in LaCygne right? if she's worried. It's looking better all the time for her.
June 11, 2008 11:46 PM
 

Maria said:

southern edge has new TOR warning, including Shawnee county (Topeka)
June 11, 2008 11:47 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

the manhattan storm is headed more in a direction of St Joseph
June 11, 2008 11:49 PM
 

davidmcg said:

Tornado Warning, Shawnee County Jackson County MO.  Rotation SW of Bellvue KS
June 11, 2008 11:49 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

Topeka(the city) is not actually included in that tornado warning. it's north.
June 11, 2008 11:50 PM
 

davidmcg said:

Storm Spotter activation Jefferson County KS
June 11, 2008 11:51 PM
 

psychdoc said:

KSU campus got hit pretty hard, trees down all over campus, some buiding damage to military science building and west side of campus.  
June 11, 2008 11:51 PM
 

Emmysmom said:

Alright, I'm getting ready to go to bed and trusting Hail's judgment that we in KC have nothing to worry about tonight.  I just hope there is no warning or watch whatsoever in Platte, Clay or Jackson overnight, because if that weather radio goes off in the middle of the night, I'm pretty sure it will scare the crud out of me.
Goodnight all, and be safe : )
June 11, 2008 11:53 PM
 

Lillyanya said:

Doesn't look like it's weakening.. :((
June 11, 2008 11:54 PM
 

simplykristi said:

I am watching the stream on the WIBW.com website.

Kristi
June 11, 2008 11:57 PM
 

NorthlandGirl said:

New Blog and Gary is on live
June 11, 2008 11:59 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

I'm not worried about anything Lillanya just pay attention to warnings okay?
June 12, 2008 12:00 AM
 

Emmysmom said:

Ok, I just caught the end of Gary on TV just now.  What did he say?
June 12, 2008 12:00 AM
 

HailJonathan said:

as far as I'm concerned those look like the most disorgananized cluster of storms I've ever seen. The northern part of it is healthy but the part headed for platte, clay Jackson, Wyandotte, Johnson, Douglas, looks just like crap if you ask me. but like I said just pay attention to warnings. and trust your instincts
June 12, 2008 12:02 AM
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