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A weak cold front is drifting our way

Good morning bloggers,

There is a weak cold front moving our way.  It is hard to pick out on the surface map (below), as the wind fields are extremely weak.

The very weak cold front can be seen in different ways.  The best way is to do a pressure analysis, drawing in the isobars, which I did not do on this map.  Another way is to find the wind shift line, which is how I drew in the front above.  The winds are very light, but completely calm near Lincoln, NE.  This is where the front is early this morning.  It is moving very slowly, and it will still be northwest of Kansas City this evening.  The front is going to be important in forecasting who will see very heavy thunderstorms later today.  The targeted area still appears to be right near Kansas City and by mid-afternoon we should begin to see signs of whether a flooding rain event may evolve near by.  So, check back in later today.  The latest GFS model still has a 3 to 4 inch bullseye stretching right along I-70.   I favor this position, based on what I am analyzing this morning.

This is somewhat similar to the set-up of last Wednesday.  We had some major hail damage last week with that situation.  We are in a slight risk of severe weather today, but it is a bit warmer aloft, and hopefully the hail will be less.  The main threat will still be flooding, and like last Wednesday, a few spots will get a lot of rain, and most other areas will have much less amounts.

I have been listening to the latest Coldplay album.  Does anyone like Coldplay?  Since we are talking cold fronts this morning, it made me think about my favorite group.  They are about the hottest group on the planet right now.  This album grows on me everytime I listen to it.  It is just awesome (their fourth album), I think I like every song on the album.  I just thought I would throw that out there this morning.  I love it!

Have a great day!  We will have the blog updated when we see any thunderstorm development.  Meteorologist Brett Anthony will have live updates on NBC Action News through the morning, and with the new data at 11 AM, on NBC Action News Mid-day.  Our old set is still being ripped out.  It is a bit scary in there for our weather team.  Everyone else has moved downstairs, but we are still in the studio while all the construction takes place.  Today, they will be taking down some pretty big stuff.  So, be patient as we will have a lot of distractions the next three weeks as the new set begins construction soon.  It will debut during the first week of August.

Gary

Published Tuesday, July 08, 2008 6:32 AM by glezak

Comments

 

marlina10 said:

You're right, Coldplay's new album is great! Viva La Vida is my favorite on that album.

---------------

Yes, Viva La Vida is, perhaps, their best song ever.  It actually made it to #1 on Billboard's top 100.  But, there are other great songs on the album!

Gary

July 8, 2008 7:51 AM
 

juba said:

I don't know who Coldplay is! :) oh well.

---------------

I am sure you have heard a few of their songs.

Gary

July 8, 2008 7:54 AM
 

outgoing101 said:

The new Coldplay album is great. It took a few times of listening to it before I started to like a few songs on it. Overall though a great album. The thunderstorms need to form over me so I do not have to water. Have a great day.

----------------

We will go into the summer watering needs tomorrow.  In the mean time, let's see if the lawn gets a free drink today, we just don't want it to get drunk.

Gary

July 8, 2008 7:54 AM
 

spotter said:

ok gary you have me hook i dont get to enjoy music like i use to i was born in 1955 the year rock was born so i had to go to you tube to see coldplay videos i see why you love this group.i will have to check out more on there videos.

-------------------

Let us know what you think!

Gary

July 8, 2008 7:56 AM
 

dougbce said:

wow Gary, I was just looking at the 18 & 24 hour GFS and sure enough that 4 inch blob pretty much has us surrounded.  I do see that little red streak just to the south of the city for potential of 5.

I was also noticing on the 30 hour that it has 5 plus inches targeted for NE Missouri and up and down the Mississippi River Valley again.  Would this be enough to take them right back to the flood stages they have been at or has the water went down enough to hold it.

---------------------

A 5 to 6 inch rain event near the Mississippi River in that location would be bad. 

Gary

July 8, 2008 8:00 AM
 

ssiknaf said:

So, I live a half-mile off of I-70 in Blue Springs...are you saying we should expect a significant storm?

-------------------

There is a very good chance of  thunderstorms later today, but the center of attention may not be determined until after we see the thunderstorms organizing.

Gary

July 8, 2008 8:01 AM
 

dougbce said:

ssiknaf, I think he's saying you may receive 4 to 5 inches of rain or not much at all.  That's pretty much what it is for all of us right now.
July 8, 2008 8:25 AM
 

bewild79 said:

I just don't want the hail I had last week.  That was insane!

-------------------

We will know what the hail threat is once those first thunderstorms go up, but it is not as cold aloft today, which should limit the hail threat.

Gary

July 8, 2008 8:29 AM
 

suz01 said:

You're right Gary... Coldplay's really hot right now. I take it with me on my blackberry so I can listen to it on the go. Seems like every time I listen to it again, I keep changing my mind on which song is my fav!

Meanwhile, I'm heading to Dallas and HOPE we don't have flooding rains in Joco while I'm gone. Good luck with the big rain everyone.

Viva La Vida!
July 8, 2008 8:45 AM
 

JeriCorrell said:

I am always going to be a U2, Bon Jovi groupie, yes even at my age. However, I do have Clocks as one of my ringtones.
July 8, 2008 8:49 AM
 

ssiknaf said:

Gary,
Check out these bands.........
Spoon
Republic Tigers (local)
Radiohead (if you have not already)
Marillion (especially their last three CDs)
No-Man

July 8, 2008 8:57 AM
 

bewild79 said:

What songs are by Coldplay?
July 8, 2008 8:59 AM
 

NorthlandGirl said:

LOVE Coldplay, and my kids think that it's so cool we can agree on the same music in the car!  

Our local "92 All-Star" team (Kearney, Smithville, Platte City) won their first rounds of play-off games in Higginsville last night, and although there are some uber sleepy parents today (can anyone say cube nap?!) the concern for rain today in the Higginsville and Corcordia areas has me glued to the blog.  As much as some rest and saving gas today sounds tempting, the games would just be stacked in later days.  

Poor Brett looked exhausted this morning!  Do you all have him doing extra duty working the construction too?  :)
July 8, 2008 9:22 AM
 

mamaof3girls said:

Who is ColdPlay?? Just kiddin...Gweneth Paltro (spellling ?) hubby plays in that group right? I do not listen to their music...sorry Gary I am a country/80-90's music gal. I am sure I have heard a song or two though...just not knowing who it is.  

Is that rain tonight gonna make down here? We need some rain....never thought I would say that!!! Have a good day and good luck with the nowcasting.
Monica
Pleasanton, KS

-----------------------

Monica,

Today is another one of those days that we just have to Nowcast.  Forecasting the weather is tough on any day, but today is one of the hardest. The sun is out, there is a cold front approaching, albeit a weak cold front, and there is tremendous low level moisture available for very wet thunderstorms.  Forcing is weak aloft, and thunderstorms will likely form.  At this moment it still seems to be targeting our area, and Pleasanton has about as good a chance as the rest of us.  We all could use one to two inches of rain right now.

Coldplay is like a soft rock type of band, but their lyrics are great, and their melodies are even better!  They are unique. 

Gary

July 8, 2008 9:24 AM
 

RDub said:

Looks like there is somewhat of a dewpoint contrast with the front...a bunch of 50s to the north. Although the boundary is pretty indistinct.
July 8, 2008 9:26 AM
 

bewild79 said:

Monica,
I too am a country gal!  Have no idea who they are.  Might know some songs (maybe) We have alot of variety of music in my house...
July 8, 2008 9:31 AM
 

jonkleinow said:

Correct me if I'm wrong, but it seems like we're going to get a lot hotter today than anyone thought. The NWS predicted high for today was 85. Think we'll hit the low 90s before the storms hit? It sure feels like it outside.

-------------

It won't get a lot hotter, but a bit hotter than forecast.  I was thinking somewhere around 88 or 89, and thunderstorms have already formed, moving northeast right towards us.

Gary

July 8, 2008 9:43 AM
 

bewild79 said:

looks like rain is starting to form between here and the cluster of storms to the south...
July 8, 2008 9:52 AM
 

justkeepsinging said:

Love it that you love ColdPlay. Lost is a good song too. The new ColdPlay and Santogold are my hottests cd's right now.  Anyways, I really hope we do not have what we had last week. I got so much rain that it was gushing into my basement. My house is already damaged from the May 2 tornado and we got even more damage last week. I wonder if I will ever get my house back in order :-). I live right outside Gladstone by 152.  Am anxious to hear more of the weather.

Leah
July 8, 2008 9:54 AM
 

bewild79 said:

Leah,
I am with you..I live at 68th and 169.  Now I didn't get tornado damage, but I got hail damage last week.  I am paying close attention to the weather and thinking of building a carport at work for my car lol.  I have never seen hail as big as I saw it last week.  Good luck with your house!
Becky
July 8, 2008 10:01 AM
 

bellgolfMU12 said:

looks like someone may get real wet....
i have never actually listened to Coldplay...i like Dave Matthews Band, John Mayer and throw in some Bon Jovi
July 8, 2008 10:06 AM
 

WEATHERdude said:

hahahaha Gary you crack me up... yeah ive heard of coldplay, arent they having a concert at the sprint center sometime soon?

Yikes, that rain sounds good (last wednesday we only got an inch and a half) cuz weve been having to turn on the sprinklers some to keep the grass green.

But does anyone see a hail threat for today? id kinda like to see some small hail :)
July 8, 2008 10:20 AM
 

radman22 said:

Coldplay is great!!!!   I have saved a HD concert by them on my DVR that is unreal.   I love clocks and till kingdom come from their older stuff.   I agree, the new CD has so many great songs!!!    Getting my house painted today... lets hope it dries fast.  
July 8, 2008 10:31 AM
 

lezakEF5 said:

Sounds like it could be a bumpy evening!

Yesterday, my aunt took my to the 6 News Station in Lawrence where she works, and I got to sit in the studio, and watch the newscast. Then I got to meet Chief Meteorologist, Jennifer Schack, and talked with her a bit, and played with the clicker, and Green Screen, and turned the tower cam and stuff.

It was pretty fun, I went to the 6 and 10 PM Newscasts.


Alex from Marceline
July 8, 2008 10:37 AM
 

dougbce said:

looks like SPC has added in a 30% circle for wind around us now.  Should be a fun evening.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1300_wind.gif
July 8, 2008 10:44 AM
 

LVStormSpotter said:

I find it awesome that u like Coldplay.

Coldplay is my favorite band as well. All of their albums are amazing. Especially X and Y and Viva La Vida.

I was so disappointed when they canceled their concert in KC this week. I wont be able to see them in November due to college.


On a different note, lets see some t-storms!

-----------------

I know, I had great seats for the July 9th concert, but now it is November 13th, right during our sweeps ratings period.  So, I am going to Chicago in two weeks to see them at the United Center.

Gary

July 8, 2008 10:44 AM
 

Alden said:

It looks like the Weather Blog has turned into a Music Blog today! lol
July 8, 2008 10:58 AM
 

Alden said:

Gary, or anybody, is the new video player thing on the homepage permament or is that where the LIVE STREAM will be of the new set being built? And will there be more time lapses? The new video thing is intresting.

-----------

We will have more time-lapses posted each day.  It is crazy in there today.  I will be wearing a hard hat.

Gary

July 8, 2008 11:03 AM
 

sherman said:

I love Coldplay. When I heard the song talk I first thought it was U2. I have the first 3 albums. This is funny I was putting them on my mp3 player before I checked the blog!. I also like the Killers and Men at work. Weather wise I see storms getting there act together north of wichita and moving are way. Here in Desoto We only have had about a Half inch of rain in the last 3 weeks:(

---------------

We have the same taste in music!  Men at Work (Colin Hay) was my favorite band in the 80s. 

Maybe you will get some rain today.

Gary

July 8, 2008 11:13 AM
 

bewild79 said:

Man I wish I could watch the forcast...I am stuck at work...
July 8, 2008 11:14 AM
 

dougbce said:

bewild....I don't won't that hail again either neighbor!  That ws crazy last Wednesday.
July 8, 2008 11:21 AM
 

bewild79 said:

Dougbce,
Yea it was crazy.  I still have the hail in my freezer! lol
Becky
July 8, 2008 11:24 AM
 

Craig said:

G-Man: As a fellow middle-ager, I chuckled each time you referred to the latest Coldplay "album". To me, too, it will always be an "album" not a "cd"...
July 8, 2008 11:27 AM
 

chfs327 said:

I was not here last WED. Due to the fact that I was in Tecate Mexico.  I guess I missed out on some huge hail.  ANyway I want some rain because I havent seen any rain for 2 weeks now. It will feel good to see rain.

Anyway, In a week and a half, I fly to PHX for a week. Its gonna suck because weather Temps will be about 105 to 110 Each Day. Ill try to have fun... Not

I do see a Potental for 3-4 inch rains in some spots near the Metro. But Im expecting 1-2 in Olathe. Hopefully we wont have alot of damaging hail as my garage doesnt hold cars and i dont want Hail damage.

Yes I have Listened to the new Coldplay Album. It is an awesome album. Im very glad that the new coldplay album has gotten on everyones mine.

BTW, Tell Mr. Brett to throw a hammer at the set and try to smash some TV's.

Chfs327
July 8, 2008 11:34 AM
 

5kckmartins said:

Right there with ya Craig :)

Jeri
I totally agree with the BonJovi.. but sorry was never much of a U2 fan.  Now Arrowsmith, Def Leppard, I'm there. LOL
July 8, 2008 11:36 AM
 

HailJonathan said:

Bertha is not so sexy anymore. hey guys weren't we supposed to talk about the weather. You're all hypocrits. lol
July 8, 2008 11:46 AM
 

MikeTrainor1 said:

gary... when you will have new data on the storms, tracking, etc. coming up this evening? think they're going to just "pop" up over us? thanks! mike t.
July 8, 2008 11:52 AM
 

JeriCorrell said:

Ok, how about "singing in the rain"?
July 8, 2008 12:03 PM
 

pvt_murphy said:

the rain shield moving our way isnt too impressive at all...and it looks like the heavier stuff will stay south of I-70, unless if more builds further nw.

-----------------

Murph,

This is another very strange day. The most unstable air is setting right up between you and the city. The thunderstorms are associated with a tropical disturbance, that should be over the desert southwest at this time of the year.  The big question is, will thunderstorms form in the unstable air between these thunderstorms and the weak cold front. They should!

Gary

July 8, 2008 12:05 PM
 

5kckmartins said:

LMAO Jeri, YES today I will def agree with you.  I soo want some rain to diminish this humidity.  Its either rain or the a/c man gets here I really don't care anymore as long as it cools off a little bit.
July 8, 2008 12:16 PM
 

bewild79 said:

So is the rain that is headed our way supposed to intesify or is that all being saved for later for us?
Becky
July 8, 2008 12:16 PM
 

twister11 said:

Coldplay is alright. I only love Viva La Vida, it was on my myspace the other day! haha. now I have is this never again by the midway state. It is awesome as well!
July 8, 2008 12:17 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

what is a coldplay song that might have been played on the radio cuz I know I've heard one of there songs I just don't know which songs are theirs?
July 8, 2008 12:18 PM
 

BrianJayhawk said:

I'm not sure of the temp, but the air is thick out here in Lawrence.  It's defiantly starting to get cloudier too.

-Brian
July 8, 2008 12:30 PM
 

bewild79 said:

Hey Jonathan!
July 8, 2008 12:35 PM
 

marlina10 said:

HailJonathan,

You have probably heard Yellow, Clocks or Fix You on the radio. Those were played a lot when they were out.
July 8, 2008 12:35 PM
 

JeriCorrell said:

Hail, Clocks was very very popular a few years ago. It was used even on TV commercials (the instrumental part). Look them up on I Tunes and click some samples or on Amazon.com.
July 8, 2008 12:36 PM
 

JeriCorrell said:

Where is the rain? Where are the storms? Where are the scary clouds?
July 8, 2008 12:38 PM
 

bewild79 said:

Don't jinx us Jeri..lol. I don't want that hail from last week.  I know the rain is coming but I just want to know if or when it is supposed to get bad out.
Becky
July 8, 2008 12:44 PM
 

Alden said:

Unless it's my computer, I don't like how the new video player will stop playing video but keep playing audio for about 5 or 10seconds or longer, then the video catch up but the audio keep going like nothing is wrong. Has anyone else noticed this?
July 8, 2008 12:58 PM
 

Chase said:

We are having a nice little thunderstorm here in Osawatomie.  Lots of rain & wind.   The thunder & lightning was something else our lights flickered a few times, just enough to knock the internet off momentarily.   Overall a windy frog-strangler!  
July 8, 2008 1:02 PM
 

bewild79 said:

New Blog
July 8, 2008 1:10 PM
 

HummerSeeker said:

Gary you will have an update this afternoon before 4 or so?  To know where you'd best project the heavy rains to be?  Thanks.  Laura.
July 8, 2008 1:12 PM
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