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New Thunderstorm development

Good late afternoon bloggers,

Wow, if you were in the 1 to 2 PM thunderstorms, it was a deluge.   The rainfall rates approached 4 inches per hour, but only lasted 10 minutes at the heaviest rate.  The thunderstorms moved off to the east, and now we are tracking rapidly developing thunderstorms along I-70 near and west of Topeka. This is closer to the weak cold front.  We will be tracking these with LIVE:ESP on NBC Action News at 5 and 6 PM.  This could be the main show of the evening.

Make sure you provide us with your rainfall totals before the 10 PM newscast tonight.  We will show them on the air.

It is still crazy back here in the Forecast Center.  We may be showing the new time-lapse of how this place is transitioning.  It is an amazing progress from yesterday to today, but it is noisy.

Have a great evening.  Flooding could still develop if these thunderstorms organize during the next few hours.

Gary

Published Tuesday, July 08, 2008 3:16 PM by glezak

Comments

 

penguin said:

Yay rain!
July 8, 2008 3:29 PM
 

bewild79 said:

I am watching the cell moving toward the northland...any info with what is associated with that?  Just don't want hail.
July 8, 2008 3:30 PM
 

WycoSpotter said:

Thanks for the update Gary! It is looking a bit more promising for those of us along and north of I-70 now.
July 8, 2008 3:33 PM
 

simplykristi said:

Becky,
We were at St. Lukes near the Plaza.  I noticed it was getting a little dark as my dad was finishing his chemo for the day so I called home.  Mom said that there was a little rain and the sky was lightening up.  At 1:45, I looked out the window and it was pouring.  On the way home, we saw a lot of ponding of water.

Kristi  
July 8, 2008 3:39 PM
 

bewild79 said:

Kristi,
I bet that wasnt too fun.  At least you made it home safely.  Looks like I am going to get my rain soon.  I am watching the cell off to the west come towards the northland.  Well stay safe if you have to go out.  Hope your parents are doing ok.
Becky
July 8, 2008 3:42 PM
 

StormWyndd said:

Help?  I took a video of a street close to my house earlier that turned into a roaring river.  Uploaded it from the phone to the computer and can't get it to open.
Wanted to post it on my blog - man, that is what flash flooding is!
Went from a storm drain / mini creek, into a whitewater river probably 12 feet wide over the road, and saw many many cars back up and turn around.
Any help with this?   Been sitting here for an hour trying quicktime and windows media, and nothing will open the video, says it's an mpeg4.
Thanks
Oh, and a bit over an inch in the rain gauge.
July 8, 2008 3:43 PM
 

whirlygirl said:

Skeezix, or whoever wrote to RDub (I'm too lazy to look at the last blog), Here's what I'm thinking RDub means. If it's not severe enough, it doesn't rain hard enough, it doesn't thunder loud enough, it doesn't blow hard enough, the lightning doesn't zig when it should zag enough, somebody somewhere starts running for the wine and kleenex.
July 8, 2008 3:44 PM
 

5kckmartins said:

Well I'm thrilled, guess it was a good thing Kck didn't get much rain today.  My a/c man showed up.  I'll be ready for the heat now..

doin a lil rain dance for those that want the rain.. lol
July 8, 2008 3:47 PM
 

RDub said:

Whirly, that's exactly what I meant. Thanks.

And I wasn't directing that particular comment at Murph, anyway. It was at whoever said we got "cheated" because the severe t-storm watch was issued to the east of us.
July 8, 2008 3:48 PM
 

Zazel said:

Over the years have they reduced the requirements for the issuance of a flash flood warning?  It sure seems to me like there are a ton more warnings now than there were even five years ago.  Take for instance the flash flood warning currently in effect for Jackson County.  As Gary said, rainfall rates reached four inches per hour but the event lasted a matter of minutes.  Radar estimates indicate the vast majority of Jackson County received between .1 and .5 an inch of rain.  A very tiny area in the northeast part of the county had upwards of an 1.5 of rain.  I can see where a half inch in ten minutes would result in a rapid rise of streams, but it sure wouldn't result in any signficant flooding.  An inch and a half in ten minutes might result in minor flooding, but still, the warned area is probably 75 times larger than the area that might reasonable see some marginally high water.  It seems to me just about anytime a storm rolls through there is a flood warning issued.
July 8, 2008 3:48 PM
 

5kckmartins said:

stormwyndd..  Try a program like VLC media player.  If I'm not mistaking that will play anything.
You can find it here..      www.videolan.org/vlc

Good luck.. if that doesn't work let me know I'll double check what program it was that I used.  
July 8, 2008 3:49 PM
 

Luthur said:

"whirlygirl said:
Skeezix, or whoever wrote to RDub (I'm too lazy to look at the last blog), Here's what I'm thinking RDub means. If it's not severe enough, it doesn't rain hard enough, it doesn't thunder loud enough, it doesn't blow hard enough, the lightning doesn't zig when it should zag enough, somebody somewhere starts running for the wine and kleenex."

Yep.  
July 8, 2008 3:51 PM
 

pvt_murphy said:

i am pleased with the orientation of the heavier rain out west.  not too severe looking, just mod-heavy rain.  us up NW are relieved.  

whirlygirl, we know what rdub was getting at, it was, however, unnecessary.  that was the point.  i saw no one complaining.  did you?
July 8, 2008 3:51 PM
 

boootz said:

We finally have the rain here in Leavenworth County!! * puts away wine and kleenex* ~rolls eyes~
July 8, 2008 3:55 PM
 

kristy said:

I received .75 here in SE Lee's Summit so this may be it?  when will we know?  my daughter has a 3v3 game @ 650 in independence do you think this will happen?  Kristy
July 8, 2008 3:55 PM
 

RDub said:

Well, the "we got cheated" post got removed...so that may have added to the confusion, since Luthur and I were reacting to a post that disappeared.
July 8, 2008 3:57 PM
 

whirlygirl said:

Pvt, sir, not really seeing complaints. But usually somebody does. The only ones wot should be complainin' guvner, are them wot's got the floods.
July 8, 2008 4:04 PM
 

HummerSeeker said:

Zazel - I don't know if this is true or not - someone will probably tell you it isn't!  But I've noticed that there are a lot more flood warnings as well - and for out where I live, Johnson County MO.  I just kind of figured, from driving around and seeing the ponds and streams and stuff being so full and higher than usual, that it's not necessarily that 1" or 2" would cause a flood.  I think it's the cumulative effect.  And there for a while, even 1/2" was causing some problems.  So I would expect that once things REALLY dry out (down deep) and water evaporates from streams and rivers and such, then when it rains, even if it's hard, we won't necessarily be getting flood warnings.  Make sense?

Y'all can correct me if I'm wrong!  Laura.
July 8, 2008 4:07 PM
 

whirlygirl said:

Hummer, that sure seems to make sense.
July 8, 2008 4:09 PM
 

Zazel said:

Yeah Hummer, that makes sense but I didn't think that current moisture levels were necessarily taken into account when issuing flood warnings.  Perhaps this is something I should research this afternoon while I'm waiting to leave work.
July 8, 2008 4:12 PM
 

whirlygirl said:

I don't even remember what all that post said, but I'm surprised it got deleted. It wasn't naughty or anything was it?
July 8, 2008 4:13 PM
 

simplykristi said:

The ground is saturated.  That's the reason for more flash flood warnings.

Kristi
July 8, 2008 4:13 PM
 

simplykristi said:

Laura,
You are correct.

Kristi
July 8, 2008 4:14 PM
 

RDub said:

Hummer, you are absolutely correct. It's what hydrologists call "antecedent moisture conditions". The amount of rain required to cause a flood varies widely depending on these conditions. With soil moisture and streamflows already well above average, it doesn't take that much rain to cause some flooding.
July 8, 2008 4:15 PM
 

RDub said:

Flash flood guidance values...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/rfcshare/ffg.php
July 8, 2008 4:17 PM
 

simplykristi said:

Jeri,
If you are reading right now, I have sent you have a PM. :)

Kristi

July 8, 2008 4:22 PM
 

Zazel said:

That's an interesting product RDub.  So basically, one small area within Jackson County topped the 1.8 inches necessary in an hour to suggest the issuance of a flood warning.  
July 8, 2008 4:31 PM
 

Jayhawk said:

I just have to shake my head in frusration Gary.  One look at the radar and it looks like it's going to hit Lansing, Leavenworth and Gladstone AGAIN!!  Argh!

I need more rain on my yard in Overland Park.  I am ready for the new weather pattern to arrive and soon.

Don
July 8, 2008 4:36 PM
 

Trentonite said:

Can someone tell me where the "weak front headed our way" is located now?
July 8, 2008 4:41 PM
 

RDub said:

Zazel, the site also notes that in urban areas, less rain is required to produce flash flooding. This is because a lot of the rain runs straight off. So for urban areas, the value was even lower than 1.8".
July 8, 2008 4:58 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

Of course, I am going to have a different take.

I think in different parts of the area, due to soil make up and other geographical factors, some parts of the area are much wetter or drier than others.  Coupled with how runoff and water tables alter due to new development in relationship to surrounding areas, everyone is going to have somewhat different conditions.

I for one, have areas in my yard that are already cracking..but I don't expect that is the case for the region, as others are probably still swimming.  

That said, as it relates to flash flood alerts, I suspect with the increase in awareness, technology, and communication from the public, emergency managers, and what is available for the NWS, it is more common to have information that in the past may not have been available.  With more information, the NWS likely can issue more watches/warnings than before due to having more information to make those decisions.

Each city or area has trouble spots when it rains, and based on how the rain patterns evolve over a given time, often times flash flood alerts will seem excessive when in fact they may be targeted to specific areas.

I wonder if there is a concept of polygon type warnings for flooding as has been implemented for severe storms or tornadoes?

Other than that...I always find it amusing the tone that evolves during times of thunderstorms...and for that, I will typically stay away, but the flooding thought did seem interesting enough to comment on.
July 8, 2008 5:04 PM
 

JeriCorrell said:

There are dark hairy clouds starting to come in over Shawnee. I know hairy is not a meteorology term but I am making spaghetti sauce and am thinking garlic and tomatoes not cloud terms.
July 8, 2008 5:07 PM
 

penguin said:

****I know hairy is not a meteorology term but I am making spaghetti sauce and am thinking garlic and tomatoes not cloud terms.****  I don;t think I ever want to try your spaghetti sauce. :s    




;)
July 8, 2008 5:16 PM
 

irishrover said:

Rain this afternoon in central LS....     .33"
July 8, 2008 5:24 PM
 

JeriCorrell said:

Penguin, I am Italian. My spaghetti sauce is pretty good.
July 8, 2008 5:26 PM
 

davidmcg said:

From the NWS Jefferson County KS is now under an Urban and Small Stream Advisory.  Since 4PM 1.6" has falled at my house in the central part of the county.  Very heavy rain, no lightening.
July 8, 2008 5:29 PM
 

will5304 said:

What did Gary have to say during the news cast?? I am unable to see it?? Are we done with heavy rain or not??
July 8, 2008 5:34 PM
 

StormWyndd said:

5 KCkmartins,
thank you! that did open it... but boy am I a dummy.  How do I save it so I can post it on to my blog so all you have to do is click to play?
July 8, 2008 6:23 PM
 

5kckmartins said:

Storm, If you saved it when you uploaded/downloaded it, you don't have to do anything.  Posting it to your blog would depend on how its set up I guess.. That part is a little over my head.  I guess you could always youtube it.

Let me finish up with dinner and I'll see what I can do to give ya a hand with it.
July 8, 2008 6:36 PM
 

StormWyndd said:

5Kckmartins,
Thanks!  I'm probably missing something pretty simple here, I just know nothing about videos, lol. Time for the old dog to learn some new tricks.  :)
July 8, 2008 6:42 PM
 

farmgirl said:

It's been raining steady here in LA Cygne for awhile. Good soaking for the lawn and horse pastures... not so good for trying to bale hay, but you can't have everything! So far .4 inches.

I got caught in Louisburg, KS around lunch time and boy did it rain hard with lots of wind. It came down so fast you couldn't see across the street and was coming underneath the gas station awing. Then When I got home home poof - hardly any rain. I just love storms like that where a few miles the weather is so different.
July 8, 2008 6:52 PM
 

ScottLinOP said:

I have 2.1" of rain at 80th and Grant in Overland Park.
July 8, 2008 9:40 PM
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