NBC Action Communities

Its friday night in the big town (sorry to steal your line gary!).  My lawn could use another drink here in Shawnee, only had about .7" from the system earlier this week.

Looking forward to the contest!  I'm guessing it has something to do with hottest day/time but I wonder what the twist is?

I am looking forward to it also.  I won last year:)  I wonder what the twist is also......hmmmmmm

Jennifer

Is the camera on the "sports spot" set?

Never knew about any contest, so I can't wait to see what it is.  Should be fun!

the storms in nebraska don't seem to be materializing just yet  I guess we will know more in a few hours.

Based on the GFS, the only real chance we have of some nice rainfall would be next Saturday and Sunday.  Otherwise, it is showing rather dry conditions for our area.

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Tomorrow could be interesting for our area.  The latest NAM has it very close to being a wet day on Saturday.  Something is a bit off, as there is a little capping, but I am shocked that this isn't a wet set-up right now.

Gary

Teaser blog.  Blah.

Hottest temp will be earlier this year...that is the only hint.

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Blah, I hate to bore you Scott!  Anyway, look at the NAM for Saturday.   There is a vort max, abundant moisture, a front, and there should be thunderstorms.  Something is just a bit off.  It could be in the 70s during the day with some rain?

Gary

How much rain are you thinking?  The NWS is saying less than a tenth of an inch.  

Gary,

I am looking at the NAM for Saturday.  What am I missing?  I just don't see much rain...

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Jacob,

That's my point, the models just aren't cranking any rain out.  I hate it when they do this, and they may be right.  It is going to be close.  There should be a few thunderstorms around on Saturday.

By the way, we just moved the camera back into the studio.  The new set will begin construction sometime next week.

Gary

How do you see what you all are doing in the "weather center"?  It's almost all dark...

The NAM has slowed the front down about 6 hrs.   i think the new GFS may as well.

I would go for 80 with 50% rain because of the slower progression potential.

The vort and the cloud cover should play a piece in this.  The 750 is soupy.

Only question is..lately the rogue vorts have started sliding SW of the metro...does it happen again?

Still should get the temps about right though...

Scott,

What website do you use?  This is the one I use...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/06/fpc.shtml

I should say, the 700...head thinking 700 and fingers thinking 850...sigh...

Anyway, I agree..thunderstorms will be in the area.

Gary...did you get my E-Mail?

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Jacob,

I will try to catch up on my emails this weekend.

Gary

jacob, that is a great source..but there are others...[btw..your link is for earlier today's 06Z.  You need to go with the most recent 00z]

Don't forget the RUC, SREF, and the GFS MOS.  In addition, there are other composite models that are helpful.

Some of the sites I use are on my blog page.

Being such short range, sat/wv/obs are most telling for timing and model initiation placement issues.

Thank you Scott!

Hello everyone. I havent had a chance to watch any weather today but could anybody tell me if there is any chance of severe weather tonight and into tomorrow morning? If so, what ttypes of severe weather? Any info would be great.

Thanks

There is no chance of severe weather.  There is just a chance of a few thunderstorms.

Thank you very much Jacob.

Have some trouble getting words out at the end of the weather report Gary?!?  =)

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Yes, the words stopped flowing......Oh well.  I still feel the weathercast covered what I wanted it to cover.  Now is it going to rain or now?  :)

Have a great weekend Gary!  (you too Jeff)

Can't wait to see more work done on the set next week!

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH for extream north-western Missouri and extream north-eastern Kansas.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0687.html

so does anyone know if these storms are going to make it here tonight?  That MD is not far from us...

Oh yeah, I'm battening down the hatches and bringing in the outdoor furniture in anticipation of the two distant rumbles of thunder and the .04 of an inch of rain I'll see tonight and/or tomorrow.  Pretty exciting stuff!

Turd Fergenson said:
Rain Misses to our NW

it was a good guess last night when this happened.

Tomorrow it will weaken and will just poof up spotty showers for most of metro

Tomorrow night the southeast end will get the rain while the metro is left high and dry.