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Finally a relatively light rain for Emma, MO: .13" today.

Walt Snyder

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Walt,

Thanks for sharing!

Jeremy

Jeremy...more than anything you wrote, I admire showing the love to the home state with the map...

Nice...many to chose from, but its hard to get away from the tools you used coming up isn't it?

I am curious what the difference is in the 850-500 vs. 700 for cloud cover?  Short of some of the higher clouds that would rarely block the sun without saturation at the lower levels, is there much difference?

Can I go ahead and submit my high temp/date/time?  I presume that is the contest.  

Snow Creek passes again this year?

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Not quite...the contest is a little different.

Jeremy

I know it's too late but on the west side of leavenworth I recorded .90 for rain.

Rain total for Paola yesterday, .73", not too bad, sure was a cool and gloomy day though, looking forward to today.  

good morning all...

.78" total at the fort yesterday...low temp of 57.9 degrees this morning.

looking forward to the contest...

KcWX, I don't quite figure you out. You just always seem to need to have a touch of sarcasm in lots of your blogs. Even with the new contest you just blow in there with presumptions. Ya know, people do like to use things that are familiar to them and so what if Jeremy used a map from where he learned before? He does a really hot job so why even a comment? Sometimes your posts are really good but you just seem to enjoy that little jab at things too often.

whirly, I have been interacting with Jeremy and Gary for quite some time.  I agree with your post, as I do have an edge, but coming from the mindset of more of friends, most of the time I am just playing.

For those that don't know, I certainly understand your angle.  My post above was not a jab at all...I just find it interesting which folks use which tools as there are so many to choose from.

I have my favorites that I still use from when I was just starting.

As far as the contest..it has been that way the last three years.  Forgive me if I went with the standard.  Much like weather forecasting, the persistence model is a valid approach.

BTW - LOL..you will have a better chance figuring out the weather than figuring me out.  ;-)

KcWx, I bet you're a bachelor too LOL

I sense a bit of flirtation going on. Thought I was at the wrong blog for a sec, lol.
But yes, the contest. Looking forward to it.  

What is the contest? I missed it the rules.

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You didn't miss it...the contest hasn't started yet.  I think Gary will post the details later today.

Jeremy

that was unneccessary...his name is Scott and he's a lot smarter than either  you or me and don't judge a book by it's cover.

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Okay...let's keep the discussion on weather and not on personal details.  You can always use the private message option to send comments to other bloggers that may not be weather related.

Jeremy

Thanks Jeremy.  I watch for the contest.

On the models I think I can see the western troughing phase trying to come back this week, of course being the middle of July it is alot further north, but it replaces the western ridging and the east coast goes under a ridge, so it looks like a hot one for the  "megalopolis" region is setting in, and we will get warm but it probably will be "tempered" by higher humidity keeping the actual highs in check, of course it will feel hotter.

I see a brief hint at warmer tems this week, but then below average for the next week after the 21st.  I think we may be surprised by a particularly cooler August when we're all expecting our hottest Temps.  That just may not happen.  
I'm not sold on the LRC as presented, but I do believe in a cycle theory on a broader scale.  Regardless of most theory, most cycles change in the next few weeks.  

Good grief.  

Nick, yes, I would expect the western troughing to be more prominent.  We are moving out of the NW flow regime.  

Glad you are seeing it.  It is a major part of the features of the LRC.  I expect some hot temps pretty soon prior to the troughing moving through the midwest bringing rain.

I hope we don't see another Omega block, and I think it would be tough with the northern jet and weakening ULLs, but it is possible to have some strong ridging all the same.  This is why I think our hottest part of the summer may come a bit earlier than normal.

I won't say much more until I find out what the contest is about....  ;-)

Hey Jeremy, when is the much expected blog coming regarding the contest...it is Sunday ya know...LOL

garyb...

for the moment i dont see august being the hottest month.  at SOME point i expect things to dry up here...and when that happens is when the heat really sets in.  that would have to happen soon in order for july to still be the hottest month of the year this year.  long story short, i feel like its going to get wetter towards the latter half of august, hence cooling things down.  

im starting to get a little ancy about how july is shaping up.  i was half expecting this weekend to be the beginning of a drier stretch that would last through the first, maybe second week of august....you know, the climatological peak of summer here...


...i really feel like the next 2 weeks and adjacent weekends will be the deciding factor in how the rest of the summer plays out heat wise...

something you hinted on is that things are going to really start changing in the next few weeks...the days are already getting shorter.  we lose 57 minutes of daylight over the next 4 weeks.  

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Thanks for ruining my day in regards to the sunlight.  That means fall isn't that far away:)

Jeremy