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Spotty Showers...Widespread Heat...UPDATED

Watch NBC Action News HD Weekends from 8-9 a.m. and at 5 & 10 p.m. for Kansas City's most accurate forecast!

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Thunderstorms are rumbling thru Iowa this evening and the line is dropping to the southeast.  I expect the storms to make it near the Iowa/Missouri border.  The top tier of counties within the viewing area stand the best chance of seeing a shower or storm before 2 a.m.  The big question is how far south the line progresses and right now I'm thinking that just the far northern counties could see a chance of rain tonight.  Kansas City will stay dry, warm, and muggy.  Our warm temperatures tonight will help to give us a jump start on the mid 90s for Sunday!  We'll discuss the changes for the week ahead on Sunday.  Make sure to check out LIVE:ESP for the radar updates overnight!

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The weekend is here!  Our Saturday is starting off as advertised by Gary yesterday...with some clouds and a spotty shower here and there.  Rain chances are only about 20-30% today and if one of the areas of rain does find your backyard it shouldn't last very long.  Along with the showers, some clouds will hang around the region today.  This combination may keep highs in the 80s once again today.  But unlike Friday when highs were only around 80, today we should warm into the 85-90 degree range across the viewing area.

By the time Sunday arrives an upper level ridge of high pressure will begin to push into the Plains and western areas of the Midwest.  Here is a look the 500mb forecast map for Sunday showing the high.

This will send the hottest air of the season into the region with highs warming into the mid 90s.  High pressure creates a general sinking motion in the atmosphere, so when an area is under an upper level ridge it should lead to a good deal of sunshine.  That's what we can expect for Sunday and Monday...so they should be great pool days!  Hopefully your pool isn't quite as packed as this picture taken at a pool last week in Penglai in Sichuan, western China!

 

The hot temperatures should last thru at least Monday before a cold front nears the region.  The timing of the cold front will be key, but it may arrive as early as Tuesday.  An early arrival would be good because it would bring relief from the heat and also provide a chance of shower and thunderstorms.  Not a great chance, but at least a possibility of rain.

Enjoy your weekend and thanks for stopping by the best weather blog around!

Jeremy

Published Saturday, July 19, 2008 7:28 AM by Jeremy WxPlus

Comments

 

JPnKC said:

Good morning Jeremy- you are right-it is HUMID- you could cut the air with a knife this morning-- With the anticipated cold front next week- do you think it will be strong enough to get rid of some of the humidity for a couple of days? Also what is the official count of 90 degree+ days we have had so far for the contest? Is it 3?

Have a great day- JP

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JP,

The official count stands at 1.  We use the KCI official temperature for our contest.  Just how far south the front moves next week will determine our chance of losing some of the humidity.

Jeremy

July 19, 2008 8:12 AM
 

weatherfreak01 said:

Good morning all,
Well yesterday was fun to watch weather wise. I believe it was Gary who predicted a chance for a shower or two before 1 p.m. (it was either Gary or NOAA) Well when we walked out of the movie theater in Independence (cheapest movies in town FYI) I started to chuckle. My husband looked at me and I explained why I was amused. I told him what was predicted weather wise, I was chuckling because it was 12:42 and it was lightly raining. Then the odds of rain last night kept going up on NOAA. I think the highest I saw them was at 60%. The rain totals kept going up too. Then about 9 p.m. they started to go down as did the predicted rain totals. By 1 a.m. there was only a 30% chance of rain. I was fun to watch the "disturbance" build and then fall apart based on the weather chances. Anyway, have a great weekend everybody!
Audra

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Audra,

Enjoy your weekend.  Rain chances today are about 30%.  Some rain is falling southwest of the metro right now.

Jeremy

July 19, 2008 8:34 AM
 

MikeTrainor1 said:

i would not want to be in that pool. doesn't look one bit refreshing with all that humanity!! i'll stay with the air conditioning... maybe a nice cold movie theater today!
July 19, 2008 10:50 AM
 

Matt P said:

Jeremy, that must be the Beijing weather station's bloggers meeting. ************** Maybe that's what our next blogger's meeting will be like:) Jeremy
July 19, 2008 11:26 AM
 

NicoleWasHere said:

I'd freak out if I were jammed in a swimming pool with that many people.  Imagine trying to make a dive and accidentally falling into someones pits.  BLEH.
July 19, 2008 11:45 AM
 

stormlover said:

of course...the hottest days of the next week are when we are going to Scout Camp.  At least they provide water for us to drink!!  Guess I better go eat some ice cream right now to prepare myself mentally...lol.
July 19, 2008 1:16 PM
 

weatherwunder said:

Jeremy, thanks to all of you for providing "the best weather blog around"!!!!!

Edna


July 19, 2008 1:24 PM
 

StormWyndd said:

wow, I have been outside since about 9 working in the garden and finally gave up.   It's brutal in the sun.  I'd last about 15 minutes, then end up sitting in the shade to cool off.  Definately not used to this heat!  The ground is drying up though, sure hope that we do get some rain soon.  

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Some areas haven't seen much rain this month.  So it is dry in spots.  Next rain chance may be Tues/Wed.

Jeremy

July 19, 2008 2:00 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

Jeremy - you had just gotten here with our last blogger meeting, didn't you?  

I can only imagine what it would be like now.  I suggest you start stocking up on Brats as we are having it at your house.

So, since it is slow...can you compare/contrast your experience in KC so far to what you did in Wis.?

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You'd have to run that by my wife:)

Jeremy

July 19, 2008 2:05 PM
 

NotesInTheMargin said:

I spy another 90 @ MCI ... at least five more to come in the coming days?!?

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Today should be 90 if it's not already there.  Sunday-Tuesday the odds look pretty good too.  Sunday/Monday are pretty much guarantees.

Jeremy

July 19, 2008 2:10 PM
 

Ross said:

I know, I know...it's a Where's Waldo?!

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I should have used photo shop and put a picture of Gary in there!

Jeremy

July 19, 2008 2:19 PM
 

NotesInTheMargin said:

It appears as though we *have* already topped 90 @ MCI.

As a mini-contest:  How many 90's do people think we'll get this week @ KMCI.  I started a little poll on the forum:
http://www.notesinthemargin.com/phpBB3/viewforum.php?f=5

I'm going to be bold and say 7.  All 7 days @ or above 90.  I'm beginning to doubt the strength of the Tuesday cold front that Gary has been touting the last few days.  
July 19, 2008 2:44 PM
 

radman22 said:

Yes, the 2nd day of 90+ at MCI

I agree with notes and believe all week will be into the 90's.... the weak cold front will just bring us down a few degrees from the mid to upper 90's.   Of course MCI will always be a bit cooler than the rest of the metro with everything being equal.  It wont be long until we are crying for some rain!!!!

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I think the front reaches us and we should have some rain chances by the middle of this coming week.

Jeremy

July 19, 2008 3:22 PM
 

Nick Rau said:

That is one packed pool! Yawn, hot, hazy, humid. Well it looks like there is something to watch for the east coast, Cristobal has just formed so it looks like a wet and windy one for east North Carolina.
Maybe that back door cold front will bring us some fun, I've seen some of them just blow through dry, while other times they would have a raging area of thunderstorms move in from the north and even northeast.

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There may be some storms Tuesday-Wednesday.  The front will have lots of heat and moisture to work with!

Jeremy

July 19, 2008 3:52 PM
 

NotesInTheMargin said:

What say you, Jeremy?  

How many days do you think will be above 90 @ KMCI in the next 7 (Sunday through Saturday, 7/20-26)??

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I just had 5 on tv so I better stick with that.

Jeremy

July 19, 2008 5:47 PM
 

NotesInTheMargin said:

Jeremy -

Well, this is one case where I hope your call is more accurate than mine.

-----------------

Notes,

This week is so tricky.  You look at one GFS run, NAM, Canadian, ECMWF, UKMET, and the backdoor front gets here and we have thunderstorms with temps below 90.  Then, after two runs in a row, boom the backdoor front doesn't get here. This will be an interesting week of weather, just to see if it gets through us or not.  I still lean strongly towards it cooling off for two or three days, then the heat building in for another run.

Gary

July 19, 2008 6:01 PM
 

juba said:

 I'm glad no major Summer Heat Wave this year.

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I wouldn't say that yet.  Still the second half of July to go and all of August.

Jeremy

July 19, 2008 6:35 PM
 

KC_Hams said:

Jeremy,

Do you think there the NWS will issue a heat advisory this week?

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If one isn't issued on Sunday then probably not.

Jeremy

July 19, 2008 10:05 PM
 

NicoleWasHere said:

I can look on the bright side of all this heat... it might finally be a good time to go and get a tan!  x]
July 19, 2008 10:20 PM
 

StormWyndd said:

Hi Jeremy, just caught the last of your weather cast so I don't know if you mentioned this or not but  I'm curious about something.

In looking at the NWS radar I'm seeing (I think) an outflow boundry moving into Omaha.  Could that set off some morning showers for us?  
Thanks :o)

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Very doubtful.  The chance of a shower or storm should stay near the Iowa border or the top tier counties of MO.

Jeremy

July 19, 2008 10:25 PM
 

WEATHERdude said:

haha nicole im with ya there!! even tho im pretty white, got those irish genes :D

haha and very nice picture of the pool! thats pretty sad tho, that really cant be sanitary. That many people in one place, i would go crazy!

but yeah 91 offical high today at KCI, 2 down!

everyone take it easy, its gonna get hot
July 19, 2008 10:34 PM
 

NicoleWasHere said:

WEATHERdude, I'm just as unlucky as you, I have Irish AND Scottish genes, so I'm doomed to look like a female, brunette Conan O'Brien for the rest of my life, LOL.

But back on the topic, when are we expecting to have a REALLY good chance of rain?  Tired of the heat... think it got up to around 93º at my house in south KC.  I can live with it being a little muggy, but the Über Heat's gotta go, man.

(I can't wait until Winter... where's my snow storm?!)

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The Tuesday rain chance is looking a little better as the cold front should arrive from the north.

Jeremy

July 19, 2008 10:37 PM
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