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Sunday Sizzler...Tuesday Relief...First 100

Watch NBC Action News HD today from 8-9 a.m. and at 5 & 10 p.m. for Kansas City's most accurate forecast!

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The New Century Airport in Olathe, KS recorded a high temperature of 100 degrees today!  This is the first 100 degree temperature this year in the metro area!  The official high at KCI was 95, but the dew point at KCI at 8 p.m. was an incredible 80...now that is ripe!  The hot weather is just in time since today is National Ice Cream Day.

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Good Sunday bloggers!  Today should be the hottest day so far this year in many backyards.  High temperatures should reach the mid 90s in many locations...and maybe a few spots west of the stateline top out around 97-98 degrees.  I'm sure one or two bank thermometers that read a little warm will show 100 degrees by this afternoon.  If you see one of those...take a picture and I'll try to post it in the blog.  With dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s the heat index will top 100 degrees during the afternoon.  If you are working or playing outside, make sure to take frequent breaks and drink plenty of water. 

Here is a look at the 850 mb temperatures for today from the 00Z NAM.  Notice the push of warmer temperatures aloft that move over the viewing area today.  With sunshine and some mixing our high in Kansas City should top out around 96!

This will likely be just a mini heat wave because a cold front will bring relief to the region by Tuesday.  This is the front we have been discussing for days and it looks like it may now arrive early Tuesday.  Both the GFS & NAM have the front arriving early Tuesday with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.  If both the front and rain showers arrive Tuesday some locations may see highs drop back to the mid 80s.  We'll have this closely as some models try to push thunderstorms into northern areas as early as Monday evening!

Here is the Tuesday morning forecast from the 6Z GFS.  This has the front on top of us with a chance of t-storms.  The orange line near KC is the 20C line at 850mb.  Keep in mind the 850mb temperatures for today will be about 23-24C.  At the surface the winds will begin to switch to the east...another sign that it will be tough to see highs in the 90s.  

Another feature I want to point out on the map is the area of low pressure over the southwest Gulf of Mexico.  This will likely be our next named tropical disturbance...Dolly.  Right now tropical storm Cristobal is just off the southeast coast of the U.S.  Here is how Cristobal looked on the visible satellite this morning.

For the latest information on the tropics you can stop by the National Hurricane Center website at www.nhc.noaa.gov  

Hang in there today...the heat will last about another 36 hours before relief heads our way!  Have a great Sunday and make sure to tell your friends and family about our blog and newscasts.  Starting on Monday the construction of our new HD set will begin!  If you want to check out the live streaming video of our studio just click on the link below

http://www.nbcactionnews.com/content/studiobuild/default.aspx

Jeremy

Published Sunday, July 20, 2008 7:07 AM by Jeremy WxPlus

Comments

 

juba said:

Is there any chance this could happen again before the year is over?

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If you are referring to the heat...yes it will come back.

Jeremy

July 20, 2008 7:48 AM
 

Dwight said:

Jeremy,
I saw a projected path of that hurricane in the Gulf tracking northwest over Texas by Wednesday. What impact would this have in pulling Gulf moisture up through Texas, OK, KS and Missouri?  
July 20, 2008 11:15 AM
 

pvt_murphy said:

the funny thing about the far reaches of hurricanes is...that if you arent being directly affected by a storm, but are in relatively close proximity, it causes a sinking motion in the atmosphere and scours out the clouds.  this would likely lead to heating here...but i havent had many opportunities to study the effects of tropical disturbances in this local area yet.

it always amazed me how sunny it was right before we got hurricanes/strong TS's in fla.  its never completely sunny in florida in the summertime unless if theres a storm coming.
July 20, 2008 11:33 AM
 

sedsinkc said:

Hello, Dolly!  (That's been stuck in my head since seeing WALL-E awhile back, lol!)
July 20, 2008 12:22 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

Hey Jeremy, We are moving this weekend July 26-27, will it be hot this weekend or will it be in the 80s? Thanks buddy.

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It looks warm.  Highs should be around 90...unless some rain is around the area.  You are brave to move in July...especially if you don't have movers!

Jeremy

July 20, 2008 1:17 PM
 

NicoleWasHere said:

Can't wait until the small break in the heat.  This weather's just too gnarly, bring on a downpour!!!!!
July 20, 2008 1:43 PM
 

LRCfan said:

It is very oppressive out there I hope everyone stays cool and stays inside,its a nice day for some iced tea or lemonade. This also marks 3 90 degree days for the contest. Have a good day everyone.

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We will be in the 90s on Monday...after that it will likely be in the 80s for a couple of days.  Then maybe back to the low 90s.

Jeremy

July 20, 2008 2:26 PM
 

LRCfan said:

Dolly is born and is a tropical storm could affect southern texas later this week.
July 20, 2008 2:32 PM
 

JeriCorrell said:

Ahhh, this feels just like Phoenix or Palm Springs, both considered home to me. The oven like heat when you walk outside, the tease of a breeze..... The dogs are not impressed, I need to get some water on my yard, but otherwise, this is kind of nice, makes me feel like I'm back in the southwest. The 80's are quite comfy and I will be ready for them when I go back to work.
July 20, 2008 2:51 PM
 

farmgirl said:

The one plus to this hot, dry heat is the white clover is dying and drying up in the yard and pasture. The wet Cool Spring allowed the obnoxious stuff to  grow and spread everywhere. I have never seen such a bumper crop of white clover!!!

In case you didn't know, white clover makes horses salivate a lot and it comes gushing out of their mouth like water comes out of a faucet.... of course they always do it when you are standing right next too or under their head. I've got many green slimed blouses. :)

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Sounds interesting.  At leas the heat is good for something.  By the way today is national ice cream day...so the hot temps are fitting.

Jeremy

July 20, 2008 3:02 PM
 

Dwight said:

Jeremy,
What are your thoughts about gulf moisture being drawn to our area by the hurricane as it heads over western TExas?

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A lot will depend on the exact path and strength of the storm.  The 700mb RH panels from the latest NAM take the storm over SW Texas but also shows a decent flow of moisture into the Midwest off the Gulf of Mexico.  This would likely in turn keep the juicey dew points in the 70s around.  The front that comes by us on Tuesday will likely stall somewhere near KC and then retreat back to the north.  So a couple of days in the 80s are possible before 90s return to the region.

Jeremy

July 20, 2008 3:13 PM
 

DOBE500 said:

Just read 97 degrees here in Edgerton.  Since I work in my detached garage on a regular basis, I have air conditioning in the garage running strong.....so I can keep the projects going without breaking a sweat.......keep cool everyone!!!


Andrew
July 20, 2008 4:27 PM
 

Matt P said:

Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow!

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The New Century Airport in Olathe/Gardner area had a high of 100 today!  The first 100 of the season in the metro!

Jeremy

July 20, 2008 4:46 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

Let it roast!  I need these hot days for my forecast since they will be ending [I think] after this upcoming week.

If Dolly brings moisture into the Gulf...then it will be interesting to see how/where the moisture goes...

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The moisture thing will be interesting especially with a possible NW flow ahead.  The 18Z GFS put a lot of rain chances in...at the moment I just stuck with Tuesday-Thursday.  But Friday-Sunday may have to be added if the trend continues.

Jeremy

July 20, 2008 5:58 PM
 

twister11 said:

was was the offiicial high at KCI? not near 100 i would think. but gosh it was hot today thats fer sure.

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KCI was 95...unless they hit 96 between and 4 & 5 p.m.  The official highs for today will come in around 7 p.m.

Jeremy

July 20, 2008 5:59 PM
 

angvic00 said:

Hi Jeremy

I was at Lake Olathe today at Kill Creek Park and the temp reading in my car hit 100 on the way there but it mostly remained at the 99 mark.
July 20, 2008 6:05 PM
 

pvt_murphy said:

your blog title update is misleading, since the official high was only 95.  but it is interesting that it reached 100 in olathe.  i was expecting some 98 or so, but 100 is hot!

dont hold your breath scott.  there will be more.  just look back to august last year.  the hottest temp at kci last july was only 93.  we have beaten that already, so we could be in for a long stretch of heat...

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I don't think it is misleading at all...just a good tease.  In my opinion it wasn't misleading since I state that it was in Olathe right away.  Just thought people might find it interesting that one location in the metro has officially reached 100 this season.

Jeremy

July 20, 2008 6:05 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

pvt - I wouldn't say that this year is anything like last year.  You know this.
July 20, 2008 7:12 PM
 

twister11 said:

i didnt think it was mis leading since he said olathe airport before he even said the high temp.
July 20, 2008 7:18 PM
 

JPnKC said:

Jeremy- is it to early to tell the potential amounts of rain we could see on Tuesday?

JP

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With the amount of moisture in the air and the slow movement of the front I would think some areas will see over 1"...maybe 2".  But like most rain events there will be locations that miss out too.  Right now the best bet for the totals of 1" or more would be near and north of I-70.

Jeremy

July 20, 2008 8:29 PM
 

DaveC said:

Silly folks! We just spent a few days in Phoenix this week where it was 112 on Thursday! 100 was a cold wave!

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With the heat index we were only about 6-7 degrees away from that 112:)

Jeremy

July 20, 2008 8:53 PM
 

twister11 said:

Yep it can feel just as hot here as it is in Phoenix since we have more humidity, and their hot hair is just dry.
July 20, 2008 10:15 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

I am not sold on the heat yet...sure, today it was hot...tomorrow will be hot, but perhaps that is it this week.  Looking at the SREF, the GFS MOS, and the latest GFS, I think Tues will be below 90 and Wed will be too.

That leaves Thurs/Fri....with the injection of moisture and a forming ridge in OK, I think we are on the north side allowing for some moisture to ride over the ridge into our neck of the woods.

Looking at the 700mb, it seems to want to make it overcast or cloudy on Thurs.  That would keep the temps down.  Friday looks more partly cloudy, but with precip in the area...so, that could go either way.

All in all, maybe two hot days and an unusual backdoor front.  Mixed with the tropical moisture, and temps should stay largely in check..

Maybe over 90 today, Mon and maybe Friday?  I haven't really looked at Sat yet...maybe...3-4 days over 90 in late July in KC?  I will take it!

It wont feel like Spring, but far better than what is possible here in Summer on average.

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You mentioned all the models...but what about the weather team's forecast regarding the cool down:)  I think Gary started talking about this last week.  I had Tuesday-Thursday in the 80s.  I think one of those days could be 82ish...but rain/clouds would need to hang around.

Jeremy

July 20, 2008 10:17 PM
 

StormWyndd said:

Jeremy  or Gary - please don't forget to remind everyone to take care of their pets in this hot weather.  :o)
July 20, 2008 10:17 PM
 

LRCfan said:

Scott, nice summary thank you for the report it won't bother me if it doesnt get above 90 this week.
July 20, 2008 10:26 PM
 

lezakEF5 said:

WOW, it was hott, and HUMID!!!!!, I started sweating as soon as I stepped outside. I cant wait for this cold front to push through, until then, it looks I am going swimming tomorrow.

What is the record high dewpoint at KCI, and Downtown?

Alex
July 20, 2008 11:32 PM
 

juba said:

What was thee actual at Jhonson County Executive Airport today?

Also, What is Monday heat forecast for the same location? ************** The high was 97. Heat index on Monday should top 100 again in the afternoon. Jeremy
July 20, 2008 11:39 PM
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