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Outflow boundary and warm front...UPDATE

*******************

A tornado watch has been issued for much of the viewing area until midnight.  Right now the thunderstorms that first formed over northeast Kansas have weakened into light rain showers.  More development is possible...but our thinking right now is that some of the same areas that had very heavy rain this morning could be in for another round of thunderstorms tonight.  We will continue to track the showers and potential storms, but for now it looks like the metro is quiet for the next couple of hours.

Here is the watch outline.

The warm front that has been cutting through the metro for much of today jumped about 10-20 miles north between 4 & 5 p.m.  This resulted in temperatures at our station reaching 94 degrees and the automated station downtown jumped to 92.

Here are the official highs across the are today. 

KCI Airport  87

Lee's Summit 91

Downtown KC  94

Johnson County Executive Airport  93

Olathe New Century Airport  97

Lawrence 98

Chillicothe 78

St. Joseph 82

 

***********************************

Good afternoon bloggers,

Thunderstorms continue over northeastern Missouri.  Glen in Trenton has reported in with 4.09" of rain today.  Chillicothe had over one inch.  These thunderstorms have sent an outflow boundary into the Kansas City area, where it still sits stationary at 2:45 PM. This has prevented the warm front from moving through the city, as of this hour.  Look below:

The warm front will likely be a focusing area for thunderstorm development, but could it end up back to near Trenton again by the time it fires up?  There's a decent chance of thunderstorms this evening near the front.  A slight risk of severe weather is possible.  Look at the front.  It is almost 100 southwest of the front and in the 60s northeast. We are caught in the middle.

I just got back from Chicago, and still have two days off.  Jeremy Nelson and Jeff Penner will be tracking these developments on NBC Action News tonight at 5, 6, and 10 PM.  Brett Anthony will be here early in the morning. 

Today is day 9 of our summer forecast contest.  If it fails to get up to 90 degrees at KCI today (84 at 2 PM), then today is the 5th out of the first 9 days below 90.  Have a great day, oh, and COLDPLAY was awesome last night at the United Center in Chicago.

Gary

Published Thursday, July 24, 2008 2:44 PM by glezak

Comments

 

Bob in OP said:

Presently 92 degrees here in southern OP.

Bob

****************

Thanks for the update.  Only about 83-84 on the north side of KC.

Jeremy

July 24, 2008 3:17 PM
 

Nick Rau said:

Wow talk about another weird page in this LRC, for the last couple days it has been mainly dry, "cool", breezy and cloudy here in St. Joe and now we are on the edge between screaming heat and 60's!!  nuts!
July 24, 2008 3:25 PM
 

juba said:

I'd think if I go 1/2 miles southwest I'm below the warm front!
July 24, 2008 3:29 PM
 

bewild79 said:

So does this mean that the rain chance has gone down?
July 24, 2008 3:30 PM
 

juba said:

Quick Humor, Just Grab Paper & Pen!


This Is What Happened To Me! "I Sang To A Goat Because I Thought Ineeded So Serious Help!"



Wright what comes after the month you were born in, etc!

January- I ate

Febuary- I ran

March- My family flew

April- I Reighned

May- I sang to

June- I playied

July- I blew up

August- I burnt

September- I fell

October- I Scared

November- My Family Asembled

December- We cut



What date were you born on?

1- a cookie

2- a man

3- a snake

4- a goat

5- a tree

6- an issue

7- George W. Bush

8- some snails

9-  a blog

10- a cat

11- a spoon

12- a knife

13- a C.P.U.

14- a board

15- some technology

16- a picture

17- a turkey

18- some nails

19- rot

20- fish

21- glue

22- 22

23- books

24- Lenardo Da-Vinci

25- Months & Months

26- an e-mail

27- a cat

28- a dog

28- a pet

30- a game

31- wood

Add a because. . . . . . . .



What Day is it?

Monday- I felt

Tuesday- I smelt

Wednesday- I wished

Thursday- I knew

Friday- I was told

Saturday- I'm crazy and



Wich is your favorite color

Red- I'm wierd!

Orange- I'm hungry.

Yellow- I'm in need of serious help!

Green-  I'm modern.

Blue-  I'm A-SSOOOME!

Purple- I'm A girl.

Black- I'm a Boy!

Pink- I'm new and fresh!

Other- I'm a ??? kind of person.



Hope yours was funny!
July 24, 2008 3:30 PM
 

MikeL said:

Out here in SW Topeka the temp is 97F with heat index of 102F. Summer is in full swing today west of KC.
July 24, 2008 3:42 PM
 

Nick Rau said:

Well if the storms do blow up again I hope they at least hit my area somewhat, the NAM looks pretty good, but it all depends on where that "warm" front ends up, but right now I don't think it is in a big hurry to go to far.
July 24, 2008 3:45 PM
 

bewild79 said:

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1899
  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
  0343 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2008
 
  AREAS AFFECTED...SERN NEB / NERN KS / NWRN MO
 
  CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
 
  VALID 242043Z - 242215Z
 
  THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS APPEARS TO BE INCREASING ACROSS AREA
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A WW
  ISSUANCE.
 
  SYNTHESIS OF RADAR...SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONAL DATA
  INDICATE A LOW CENTER S OF HSI WITH ATTENDANT WARM FRONT /WHICH HAS
  BEEN REINFORCED BY OUTFLOW FROM EARLIER TSTM ACTIVITY/ EXTENDING
  SEWD THROUGH EXTREME NERN KS INTO NERN MO NEAR THE KANSAS CITY METRO
  AREA.  THE VISIBLE SATELLITE DATA WOULD SUGGEST THAT THIS LOW MAY BE
  COINCIDENT WITH A DEEPER-LAYER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION /PERHAPS AN MCV/
  SLOWLY MOVING ESEWD.
 
  AIR MASS ALONG AND S OF THIS BOUNDARY HAS BECOME VERY HOT WITH
  TEMPERATURES OF 90-100 F.  WHEN COMBINED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER
  60S TO LOWER/MID 70S...ENVIRONMENT IS MODERATE TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE
  WITH MLCAPES OF 2000-3000 J/KG.  MOREOVER...CURRENT FAIRBURY NEB
  PROFILER AND KANSAS CITY VWP INDICATE MODERATELY STRONG VERTICAL
  SHEAR /BOTH IN THE LOW LEVELS AND THROUGH A DEEPER
  LAYER/...SUGGESTING THE POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS SHOULD STORMS
  INITIATE AND BECOME SUSTAINED.  WHILE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
  WOULD BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS...A TORNADO OR TWO IS POSSIBLE
  WITH ANY MATURE STORMS THAT CAN REMAIN MORE DISCRETE.
 
  ..MEAD.. 07/24/2008
 
 
  ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...
 
  40149797 40529774 40439661 39859505 39269408 38739374
  38439388 38199450 38309543 38859663 39319749
 
July 24, 2008 3:48 PM
 

JeriCorrell said:

Juba, maybe you could post links to that stuff rather than fill up the blog ok?
It is 92 here in western Shawnee, and it is frustrating that with all the 90's here of late, not enough are counting towards my total for the contest . I really need some rain, and since this is so boring weather wise here, can we have just a teeny bit of severe too?

*****************

96 in Olathe/Gardner, 97 in Lawrence.  And 84 at KCI:)

Jeremy

July 24, 2008 3:49 PM
 

MikeL said:

The SPC has a mesocale discussion out for the area.  Possible tornado watch before long???

********************

I just spoke to the NWS and they haven't had a discussion with the SPC yet.  No watch for a little while yet.

Jeremy

July 24, 2008 3:52 PM
 

weatherfreak01 said:

I noticed that for my area NOAA raised us up to a 50% chance of rain tonight. I think it was only 20% or 30% yesterday. We could use the rain. We have been having to water the gardens. We don't water the grass because as a neighbor says, if we water it, then we have to mow it. It already takes about 3 hours to mow as it is, so not having to mow as often is not necessarily a bad thing. So how does it look for tomorrow night for the Royals game?
Audra in Lee's Summit
July 24, 2008 4:01 PM
 

HummerSeeker said:

Bewld - they don't show counties or anything on that do they somewhere?
July 24, 2008 4:09 PM
 

nastyweather said:

A tornado ravaged parts of New Hampshire and killed one person.  Sure don't think of tornadoes up in that part of the country.  Crazy stuff.
July 24, 2008 4:12 PM
 

HummerSeeker said:

For the bad storms I mean?
July 24, 2008 4:15 PM
 

Zazel said:

Hummer,

What Bewild is talking about is shown here:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1899.html

July 24, 2008 4:16 PM
 

LRCfan said:

interesting I work in lenexa it was 95 and got home it was a comfortable 85 in leavenworth I love this exciting weather..
July 24, 2008 4:18 PM
 

GaryB said:

Perhaps it's likely we've already had our hottest day of the year, as in 2004.
July 24, 2008 4:33 PM
 

StormWyndd said:

Going to the K tonight for Ladies night... what kind of watch might they post?  

*******************

If there is a watch it appeared to be a tornado watch.  No watch yet and I think the metro is dry thru probably at least 7 p.m. 

Jeremy

July 24, 2008 4:33 PM
 

StormWyndd said:

Thanks for the heads up Jeremy.  Will pack all the rain gear & weather radio.
July 24, 2008 4:45 PM
 

JeriCorrell said:

So at 1901 I can get my yard watered for free? :)
July 24, 2008 4:54 PM
 

Brocksmama said:

tornado watch until midnight!
July 24, 2008 4:57 PM
 

Luthur said:

I'm not excited one bit about the prospect of tornadas, but I am super excited about a better chance of rain.  It is dry here in SE Leavenworth county.

*********************

Even though there is a tornado watch the threat for tornadoes is low.  The storms that developed earlier have fallen apart.  Some areas will see rain...but it may be all or nothing again!

Jeremy

July 24, 2008 5:09 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

totally didn't see that comin. hope it rains a lot.
July 24, 2008 5:15 PM
 

bewild79 said:

Hummer,
I was not ignoring you I was at work.  If you go to www.spc.noaa.gov you can find that info.
July 24, 2008 5:17 PM
 

HailJonathan said:

stormwyndd i'm going to Kauffman to for ladies night! just I'm not a lady. lol
July 24, 2008 5:21 PM
 

weathergirrl said:

Tornado watch
July 24, 2008 5:31 PM
 

pvt_murphy said:

a lot of meteorological rhetoric, but it paints a pretty clear picture.  the last sentence of the discussion is interesting:


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
550 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2008

...UPDATED MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...

.UPDATE...

TORNADO WATCH 747 HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WRN THIRD OF THE FORECAST
AREA...AS SEVERAL MESOSCALE FEATURES HAVE COME TOGETHER TO PRODUCE
THE POSSIBILITY OF ROTATING UPDRAFTS IN THE MOST ROBUST
THUNDERSTORMS. FIRST...LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION VERY EVIDENT ACROSS
NEBRASKA/KANSAS BORDER WITH OCCLUDED MESOSCALE BOUNDARY EXTENDING
EAST OF THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE. SECOND...A VERY DISTINCT OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FROM EARLIER CONVECTION TO THE EAST HAS STALLED ALONG A
LINE FROM SEDALIA-KANSAS CITY-NEMAHA CO KS...AND HAS FORMED THE
QUASI-WARM FRONTAL WING OF THE MESOSCALE SYSTEM (I.E. 97/67 AT KTOP
AND 86/73 AT KMCI). OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES TWO AREAS OF MLCAPE
MAXIMUM/CINH MINIMUM ACROSS CNTRL NEBRASKA/SRN SOUTH DAKOTA...WITH
ANOTHER SIMILAR AREA ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.
VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOP ALSO SHOWS SHORT...MOIST INFLOW BANDS NEAR
THE MESOSCALE TRIPLE POINT FEEDING INTO CONVECTIVE UPDRAFTS ALONG
THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY (NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF TOPEKA).

SO FAR...ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE TOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED ON THE
BOUNDARY...YET HAVE MOVED NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY AND DECAYED AS THEY
ENCOUNTERED SIGNIFICANTLY LESS INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE. EXPECTING THE MOST EXTENSIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT
HOUR NEAR THE OCCLUSION POINT ALONG THE KANSAS/NEBRASKA BORDER WHERE
CONVERGENCE AND INSTABILITY ARE MAXIMIZED...WITH SUPPORT OF LESS
CINH AND BETTER DYNAMICAL LIFT. ALTHOUGH DEEP BULK SHEAR PARAMETERS
REMAIN ONLY SLIGHTLY SUPPORTIVE FOR ORGANIZED WELL DEVELOPED
UPDRAFTS...THE PRESENCE OF THE TIGHT MESOSCALE BOUNDARY...OWING TO
STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER VORTICITY AND 0-1KM SHEAR...BRINGS AN ISOLATED
TORNADO THREAT TO A HIGHER LEVEL. SUFFICIENTLY STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ALONG WITH 0-1KM SRH VALUES AROUND 200 M2/S2 MAY LEAD TO
ENHANCED STRETCHING OF NARROW UPDRAFT COLUMNS...ESPECIALLY IN THE
IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE JUXTAPOSITION OF THE UPDRAFT COLUMN AND
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY (WHERE ENHANCED SFC VORTICITY WOULD LIKELY LEAD TO
STORM SCALE MESOCYCLOGENESIS FIRST IN THE LOW LAYERS). CORFIDI
VECTORS AND BOUNDARY ORIENTATION SUGGESTS STORM MOTION WOULD TRACK
THE MOST POTENT STORMS DIRECTLY OVER THE KC METRO AREA THIS EVENING.

------------------

Murph,

I agree with that last statement.  Jeremy and Jeff are tracking this tonight from the studio.  I will be from home.  This should turn southeast right along the front, which is still just southwest of KCI.  We should know a lot more within the hour.  The tornado threat is likely low, but this could be a good wind producer.

Gary

July 24, 2008 5:56 PM
 

pvt_murphy said:

slow night on the blog...that concerns me on a night with potential for bad storms.  it paints a picture that suggests many people are unaware of the risk-albeit low for the area.

it should probably pick up here after the newscast at 1800
July 24, 2008 6:29 PM
 

bewild79 said:

I dont like that last statement.  We are in the process of buying a house and still dont have a basement.
July 24, 2008 6:35 PM
 

mmancubfan said:

Just drove back from Iowa City down 35 to Olathe.

70 with rain west of Lamoni IA, 81 from Kearney to I29-35 convergence, car thermometer jumped to 91 going across MO river and then to 95 as I hit KS on I-35!

81 to 95 in about 4 miles.
July 24, 2008 6:46 PM
 

chieffan07 said:

Hello. I know this might be a lot to ask but could anyone tell me about what time the severe storms are expected to arrive here in the metro area (specificly the Liberty/Claycomo area)? I have to travel to shelter in the case of a Tornado and it might take me a while so any heads up would be VERY HELPFULL.

Thank you very much in advance.

******************

I don't think the storms would arrive in KC until after 8:30 p.m.  Probably more like 9ish.  That one cell is very impressive over northeast KS!  Just don't stress about the tornado threat...it is low.  It is good to be prepared...but just don't worry too much.

Jeremy

July 24, 2008 6:48 PM
 

KansasPatriot said:

Bring it on! I am ready ready for some storms tonight folks! Cmon lets get some supercells over eastern Johnson County!!!
July 24, 2008 6:48 PM
 

chieffan07 said:

Thank you very much Jeremy. I try not to stress too much but I will probably be glued to your station and this blog until midnight when the watch is over. Hopefully it won't do anything too severe.

Thank you again
July 24, 2008 6:59 PM
 

RDub said:

You know, I have to say that I think the rain chance in Johnson County is quite a bit higher than 20% as Jeremy said at 6. Looks to me like that cell will want to track right down over the metro, including the southwest side. NWS has a 60% chance out for Johnson County. Not saying it will be severe but I think the rain chance is pretty good.

******************

Rdub,

At 6pm I didn't have the luxury of knowing what the storm would do near the KS/NE border an hour down the road.  Now I would say the rain chance is higher on the southwest/west side of the metro than on the east side.  That is how the current trend is, but let's see how things go over the next hour.  

Jeremy 

July 24, 2008 7:14 PM
 

RDub said:

True, true, nowcasting is a luxury. How did people ever make forecasts w/o radar?
July 24, 2008 8:00 PM
 

auroramama said:

Southwest side of the metro...ugh.  I am here in Belton, are we pretty much the bullseye?  I don't want to have to go hide in the in-laws basement!! Wahh! lol

*******************

So far there have been no tornado warnings...and right now there are not even any severe t-storm warnings.  I wouldn't stress out too much.  Just kee NBC on and if a tornado warning is issued we will be on right away.

Jeremy

July 24, 2008 8:04 PM
 

Braysmama said:

I would think that since no other storms are developing that the watch would be dropped early, and since it looks like the lone cell is going to the west, I'll need to water in the morning!
July 24, 2008 8:17 PM
 

Andrew_Stafford said:

Why is the Dewpoint seem a little bit lower behind the Cold Front? Looking at the METARS
July 24, 2008 8:18 PM
 

Brocksmama said:

How fast is that cell moving- when can we expect it ( if it holds together ) to reach the metro?  Dea
July 24, 2008 8:25 PM
 

davidmcg said:

At 8:16 the NWS issued a Potentially Dangerous Storm Alert for Eastern Jackson, Northern Jefferson County in Kansas.  At 8:24PM Jefferson County Emergency Management activated Valley Falls Sorm Spotters.  Heavy storms moving into the Valley Falls, Nortonville and Winchester areas.  Movement SE at 30mph.
July 24, 2008 8:26 PM
 

Brocksmama said:

Thanks for the info davidmcg!  Dea
July 24, 2008 8:31 PM
 

weathermom said:

what the heck is a "potentially dangerous storm alert?" :)  Is that just under limits for a severe thunderstorm warning?  trying to learn here.
July 24, 2008 8:37 PM
 

Matt P said:

weathermom, that's worse.
July 24, 2008 8:40 PM
 

davidmcg said:

KS Storm update, the storm is now moving 20mph, .75 inch hail, cloud to ground lightening and rain at 1.25" an hour.  It is currently in a line from about 2 miles SE of Valley Falls KS to about 3 miles south of Nortonville KS all in Jefferson County.
July 24, 2008 8:41 PM
 

emcat said:

We are in need of rain.  I don't want anything severe, but welcome the precip.
July 24, 2008 8:43 PM
 

chieffan07 said:

Are these storms supposed to expand into our area later on tonight because right now it seems like most of it is staying to the west of the state line.
July 24, 2008 8:43 PM
 

RDub said:

Actually, no, it's not worse than a severe thunderstorm warning. It's less. That's why it's an "alert" not a "warning".
July 24, 2008 8:46 PM
 

emcat said:

Davidmcg, I went to the NWS web site and didn't see the PDS alert listed under their current warnings link. My weather radio hasn't gone off either.  Where did you see this?
July 24, 2008 8:47 PM
 

weathermom said:

as far as I can tell, there have been no severe thunderstorm warnings on it though...why wouldn't there be if it's worse?  sorry....
July 24, 2008 8:48 PM
 

davidmcg said:

Not that there is any proof of this, but the cows have all cleared out of the pond and moved far away from the tress and down in the valley off the hilltops.
July 24, 2008 8:49 PM
 

weatherfreak01 said:

Here at the 7 and Colbern in Lee's Summit, MO it is completely still. Zero wind. Not a leaf is moving. It is kind of strange to see these clouds overhead and have zero movement, especially with the heat and humidity. It will be interesting to see what happens if anything later.
Audra
July 24, 2008 8:51 PM
 

Matt P said:

weathermom, a pds is what the spc says when it is looking at the possibility of some widespread, severe tornadoes, sometimes tornadoes which track for a while.  I've never heard of one for just a few counties, so I'm not sure where he's getting this.
July 24, 2008 8:53 PM
 

davidmcg said:

I got this report from my county EOC office.  The storm spotters for Valley Falls, Nortonville and Winchester have all been activated.  Currently we have heavy rain and 42mph winds just west of McLouth KS at my home.  Our satellite tv is in and out.
July 24, 2008 9:00 PM
 

RDub said:

it's not PDS, which is particularly dangerous situation. it is different. basically a special weather statement. it is not a warning, which is why no radios are going off and it's not showing up on severe lists.
July 24, 2008 9:01 PM
 

davidmcg said:

Storm spotters in the Nortonville area are reporting the storm is breaking up.  Power is out in the Rock Creek area just west of Lake Perry.
July 24, 2008 9:02 PM
 

A dogg said:

So, weatherteam, what is the chance of us down here in drexel?

******************

With the rate the storms are weakening...I would say 20-30%.

Jeremy

July 24, 2008 9:03 PM
 

f00dl3 said:

Looking at radar trends right now the severe threat is pretty much non existant unless new activity rapidy develops over northeast Kansas. The area of thundershowers is starting to move in the metro - and the heavier "thunderstorms" if you will - although not real intense - will stay west of the metro - most of the heavier stuff west of Lawrence.

DONT PANIC! lol.

***********************

There haven't been any severe t-storm warnings in a while.  The storms have weakened quite a bit.  I have a feeling the tornado watch will be cancelled soon.

Jeremy

July 24, 2008 9:05 PM
 

davidmcg said:

Valley Falls Storm Spotters are being released from service.  The storms have rapidly died down.
July 24, 2008 9:08 PM
 

momtylerethan said:

Bright lightening and thunder just came out of no where here in Liberty.  Wondering if more storms getting ready to build over us. Last I looked at radar there was nothing here.....
July 24, 2008 9:13 PM
 

bewild79 said:

looks like the storms are starting to back build in northwestern ks
July 24, 2008 9:16 PM
 

RDub said:

Rain chance high, severe chance low...perfect!
July 24, 2008 9:19 PM
 

davidmcg said:

Storms are backbuilding, but there isn't any hail being produced in any of these storms on the Kansas side.
July 24, 2008 9:20 PM
 

davidmcg said:

My apologies the storm just SW of Atchison is still producing hail
July 24, 2008 9:21 PM
 

davidmcg said:

Major event over, time to get ready for work.  Have a great night all.
July 24, 2008 9:24 PM
 

bellgolfMU12 said:

Jeremy,
What are the chances of rain for Sedalia. I see the storms have weakened quite a bit. I want to golf in the Morning. I got rained on the other day.
July 24, 2008 9:46 PM
 

auroramama said:

Looks like we are out of the tornado watch now according to Wunderground.
July 24, 2008 9:48 PM
 

KansasPatriot said:

20-30% chance of rain that was predicted sure is looking like 100% real fast

******************

Just don't expect too much unless you find yourself under one of the thunderstorms.

 Jeremy

July 24, 2008 9:51 PM
 

auroramama said:

Sorry, nevermind apparently it was a glitch because now we are back in it.  I hate when that site does that. Sorry for the inaccurate info!
July 24, 2008 9:59 PM
 

chieffan07 said:

Any more watches after the Tornado Watch is over? Or is the severe threat pretty much over?

Thanks

*****************

I would say the severe threat is pretty much done for now.

Jeremy

July 24, 2008 10:01 PM
 

chieffan07 said:

Thanks again Jeremy.
July 24, 2008 10:29 PM
 

Matt P said:

Just got through a heavy thunderstorm here in Shoal Creek.

I have a question.  Our son's birthday party is Sunday.  However, Sunday's temperature looks like it's been on a pogo stick. One minute it's 90 degrees and then it's 99.  We've seen it jump up and down between 90 and 99 every few hours for the past few days.  What's the reason for that? ************** The front is going to linger near the area. Just look at yesterday. 87 at KCI and 94 downtown and 97 in Olathe. It will likely either be hot or very hot on Sunday:) Jeremy
July 25, 2008 5:40 AM
 

dougbce said:

.61 overnight at my house.
169 & Englewood
July 25, 2008 7:13 AM
 

stormlover said:

1.25 inches in Liberty
July 25, 2008 8:41 AM
 

JennIrat said:

2.00 inches in Easton, MO overnight and early this morning

Jennifer ************** Thanks for the rain total. We'll try to use some of the blogger totals during the newscasts later today. Jeremy
July 25, 2008 8:47 AM
 

siraluce said:

KCK, N18th and State:  0.95 inches.

************* Great! Thanks for the update. Jeremy
July 25, 2008 9:02 AM
 

pvt_murphy said:

.55" at the fort.
July 25, 2008 9:09 AM
 

Zazel said:

1.10 inches just northwest of Liberty in KCMO.
July 25, 2008 9:20 AM
 

lezakEF5 said:

Marceline, MO Thursday through 9:30 AM Friday rain total is 4.3 INCHES.

What are the chances of rain in the Marceline area later today, any chance of severe, or heavy rain totals?

Alex from Marceline
July 25, 2008 9:30 AM
 

frigate said:

Looking forward to a new blog to get the scoop on this afternoon and evenings weather tendencies. NWS...indicates more T-Storms posible later today?

Jeff  
July 25, 2008 9:46 AM
 

Larry2KCDaily said:

.59" since midnight in southwest Lawrence . Sun is now out and already getting steamy.
July 25, 2008 9:53 AM
 

kristy said:

1.00 in SE Lee's Summit
July 25, 2008 9:57 AM
 

lezakEF5 said:

Hey, i thought I would post this. I recorded this when I went to the Amelia Earhart Concert in Atchison, KS on the 18th. It is Blake Sheton with Miranda Lambert. Blake Shelton is reading his poem about his life, pretty funny.

Here is the link:

http://youtube.com/watch?v=pHsckHMKY5U


Alex from Marceline
July 25, 2008 10:02 AM
 

Hamons Custom Landscaping said:

.4 of an inch at 95th and Antioch
July 25, 2008 10:05 AM
 

Dwight said:

1.1 in Pleasant Hill.
With last night's rain, what does that do for today's chances? Does it make the atmosphere more unstable and likely to reproduce some storms?

July 25, 2008 10:06 AM
 

bellgolfMU12 said:

.26 of rain in Sedalia
July 25, 2008 10:16 AM
 

LibertyJeff said:

1" on south side of Liberty.  Quite the lightning show at 4:45 too!  

Sure hope Saturday evening stays rain free.  My daughter is performing in the Dance For The Cure benefitting the local chapter of the Susan G. Kohman Foundation here in Liberty!  Thanks for some of your ideas Gary!  Some are being implemented tomorrow night.
July 25, 2008 10:17 AM
 

RDub said:

Hamons...interesting you only got 0.4, because a station at about 85th and Metcalf (KKSOVERL5) is reporting 0.74.
July 25, 2008 10:22 AM
 

pvt_murphy said:

it looks like its going to be a rainy afternoon/evening for the whole metro.  the rain shield in central ks is heading due east and expanding in coverage.
July 25, 2008 10:49 AM
 

NorthlandGirl said:

1.2 at 108th and N. Oak - the inch had to have fallen between 4am-6:30'ish
July 25, 2008 10:59 AM
 

Hamons Custom Landscaping said:

I just went and checked my rain gauge -- no problem with it and I'm certain of the amount -- wish I would have got another few tenths of an inch though :)

Maybe they got under a heavier downfall?
July 25, 2008 11:09 AM
 

kcwxguy said:

Granted, while Dolly is not directly affecting our weather in an obvious way, her influence of moisture is now being caught around the high pressure and drawing that rich moist air into our setups...

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellite/displaySat.php?region=ICT&itype=wv&size=small&endDate=20080725&endTime=-1&duration=6
July 25, 2008 11:25 AM
 

RDub said:

I'm sure that the OP station just got under a downpour that you missed...just interesting how much variation there can be because it's not that far away.
July 25, 2008 11:41 AM
 

lezakEF5 said:

Jeremy,

What is the difference between an MCS and a MCC?

Alex
July 25, 2008 12:27 PM
 

xrysostom said:

Spent most of Thursday in Boonville and Columbia on hospital visits. Temperature stayed in the mid-70s until 1600 or so and never climbed above 86 all the way back to Emma. Last night, after seeing the rain heading this way and listening to Jeremy's advice, I brought the dogs in. When I went to bed at 0130, I thought maybe I'd been overly cautious by bringing them into a warm garage rather than letting them stay outside. However, my rain gauge held .49" this morning, so I'm glad I paid more attention to the "hold together" than the "might" concerning the cell that passed over us.

Walt Snyder
July 25, 2008 12:36 PM
 

KC Jay said:

Sorry to be a little negative here, but there has not been a new blog since yesterday. In addition, the rainfall forecast last night was way off - Jeremy said at 10:00 that the thunderstorm activity was heading east and we would only have a 20% to 30% chance that it would make it to the metro.  Nothing new was added indicating the new activity that occurred overnight.  

I really am sorry, but when Gary leaves, this blog is not updated enough and the weather forecasts are not as accurate.   ************** At 10 p.m. last night I clearly stated the rain/storm activity over the metro was weakening but then showed that additional storms were developing along the front over northeast Kansas. I said that these could move across the area overnight...which they did. Both in the overnight forecast and the forecast for today we had a chance of showers and thunderstorms. If the blog isn't updated as many times as you see fit, please ask a question. I'd be willing to bet we interact with bloggers and viewers as much or more than any weather team in country. Just so you know Jeff, Gary, and myself all worked on the forecast together last night. Our team always discusses the forecast with each other. The blog will be updated between 2:30-3:00 p.m. Have a great afternoon. Jeremy Jeremy
July 25, 2008 12:41 PM
 

Braysmama said:

Really surprised to wake up and my rain gauge had .75 in it. Since Tuesday, my total has been 1.25 in Kingsville. Really nice to have such green grass in late July!!!
July 25, 2008 12:43 PM
 

anch889 said:

Finally received some rain here in East Lawrence with a rewarding 0.02" yesterday, and 0.22" this morning.

Ray
July 25, 2008 1:07 PM
 

anch889 said:

Finally received some rain here in East Lawrence with a rewarding 0.02" yesterday, and 0.22" this morning.

Ray ************ Ray, Thanks for the update! Take care. Jeremy
July 25, 2008 1:07 PM
 

HummerSeeker said:

Thanks Braysmama!  I was going to post earlier and ask if you knew but I didn't see that you were on here.  I was wondering how much rain we'd gotten!  All I know is the thunder and storm started at about 5:45 and then later after it was lighter, I lost Dozer the beagle!  I KNEW I had let him in but couldn't find him - figured he'd gotten out again and got ready to go traipsing through the waist-high field grass and weeds - then the other dogs rousted him out- of the cage!  We only put him in there if he starts a fight and he hates in.  Who'd have thunk he'd go in there for a NAP after breakfast!  It was funny!  Anyway - is the rain stopped now where you are?  Thanks!  Laura.
July 25, 2008 1:18 PM
 

jfgdnr said:

Overnight rain total.... Near 128th & Mur-Len, Olathe ... 0.48"
July 25, 2008 1:27 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

This blog entry is a bit out of date, but short of that...oh well.  I have been a critic at times regarding the attention to the blog, but imaging how it must be to work in an area under construction, doing the WeatherPlus stuff, meetings, analysis, and getting the show ready...perhaps, I personally am inclined to give them a break time to time.

Based on the discussion through the day, chances of storms were always mentioned...even at 30%.  Not sure why it is thought that was not enough to work with in anticipating rain?  Because it is summer, when it does rain..normally, you will get locally heavy rains.  That is what happens...

This pattern we are in is very difficult right now...perhaps some a bit of patience may go along way....

Perhaps we could read the "Weather News" on the weather page while being patient?  Interesting stories...

Just my thoughts...  ;-)
July 25, 2008 1:28 PM
 

StormWyndd said:

Between last nights rain and todays, almost an inch in the gauge here by the stadiums.  Mannnnnnnnnnnn is it muggy outside.  For the few minutes I was out there, might as well have been swimming!  YUCK.
July 25, 2008 1:31 PM
 

HummerSeeker said:

Well Jeremy- I thought your forecast was pretty accurate last night!  Of course, I saw the red "tornado watch" and went into my panic mode - kept checking back to see if you were live on the air doing your tracking!  I FINALLY fell asleep at about 8:30 (well, usually it's 7:00 because I get up at 3:30!) and figured if something horrible happened, the weather radio would wake me up!  We did have a nice loud storm go through this morning - but not scary!  So, I think you do good! Laura
July 25, 2008 1:35 PM
 

Braysmama said:

Hummerseeker-hope you got a nice dose of rain too!! I was really surprised to wake up to thunder and heavy rain, not to mention seeing my hummingbirds once again. As for my rain totals, I am up to 4.95 for the month of July, approximately. No wonder my grass is so thick and green! Now I need a day or two to dry out to mow!
July 25, 2008 1:52 PM
 

bewild79 said:

New MD out for our area....
July 25, 2008 1:59 PM
 

HummerSeeker said:

Scott or BIll or Jeremy or someone - I have to ask a really stupid question (I'm thankful we don't have video phones - I'm gonna look stupid!) -- The "update" on this is from yesterday, right?  There isn't a tornado watch until midnight for today too is there?  I looked on the "radar" and there were some pretty colors so I started doubting myself - thought maybe it IS another one for today!  Someone please let me know?  Thank you!   Laura
July 25, 2008 2:02 PM
 

JPnKC said:

Weather team, as a very frequent visitor and poster- I appreciate ALL the blogs you do -I feel they are always extremely detailed and accurate, whether Gary is in town or not. Also, your willingness to respond and answer questions is outstanding, even when weather events are in progress. You guys ROCK!!

The humidity today is oppressive- WOW! Dewpoints in the mid 70's- the juice runneth over today-LOL  Do you think the showers to the West will make it here?

I measured .40 inches with this mornings rain- would love a little more!

Have a great day

JP

July 25, 2008 2:06 PM
 

ctjhawk said:

1 inch on the nose at 87th and Metcalf.

Thanks team!
July 25, 2008 2:07 PM
 

pvt_murphy said:

July 25, 2008 2:12 PM
 

weathergirrl said:

why are we on the same blog as 24 hours ago?

*****************

There is a new blog...so I'm not sure either.

Jeremy

July 25, 2008 2:26 PM
 

whirlygirl said:

Hey, NEW BLOG everyone who was whining.
July 25, 2008 2:41 PM
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