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August 4, 2008...hottest day of the year

Good morning bloggers,

We think today will be the hottest day of the year.  Today's highs will likely reach 100 degrees in most locations, with a few spots going a bit higher.  There is a weak cold front heading our way and this may bring us some thunderstorms Tuesday, and a temperature drop either Tuesday or Tuesday night.  We will have complete details on NBC Action News through the Today show, 11 AM, 5, 6, and 10 PM tonight. 

Will today be hot enough to fry an egg on the sidewalk though?  Here is some quick information on this common saying.

http://www.nbcactionnews.com/content/weathernews/story.aspx?content_id=01efcee5-dadf-4993-8bed-1cdf567a2269

So, how are you doing in the summer contest. Today will be the eithth 90 degree day since the contest started on July 16th.  Remember, we made our predictions for the # of 90 deegree days between July 16th and August 31st.  The hottest temperature is just the tie breaker.  Believe it or not, everyone is still in the running. The winner gets a great prize from SNOWCREEK, our local ski area just west of Weston, MO.  Good luck! 

We will start with our weather team's prediciton!  So, far the hottest temperature at KCI has been 97 degrees. We should go to around 100 today.  A few of you have been concerned that you will be out of the contest if it goes above your forecast highest temperature.  Once again, that is just the tie breaker. 

  • Gary Lezak:  18 Highest temperature:  98
  • Jeff Penner:  18 and 98
  • Jeremy Nelson:  19 and 97
  • Brett Anthony:  22 and 102

    Summer Contest for the bloggers
    Name # of days    Hot temp
    kcbrett82 8 97
    Andrew Stafford 10 100
    Jenn6428 11 101
    GaryB 11 99
    henry2clue 12 95
    LisaC 12 96
    Kelli 13 99
    VdoManZ 13 96
    95rred 14 99
    NateB 14 97
    MikeB 14 96
    pattyd 14 99
    jameskessler 14 96
    LRCfan 15 98
    elevatorsout 15 105
    weatherwunder 15 97
    PK in LS 15 101
    kujojo 15 96
    JennIrat 15 98
    stormlover 15 103
    Nick Rau 16 99
    5kckmartins 16 96
    angiep 16 96
    kellyann 16 96
    Mtongate 17 103
    Jimmymac 17 98
    Dpannell 17 98
    weathermom 17 97
    subby64735 17 100
    twinkiekid 17 101
    inthebug 17 101
    sedsinkc 17 96
    cbryteach 17 97
    Ronnie 17 96
    Lisa RN 17 101
    HarryB 17 98
    StormWyndd 18 99
    LadyBug 18 101
    RockportHarbor 18 101
    tracy3342 18 97
    Frazier 18 102
    xlr8tn4fun 18 99
    MCSev 18 102
    rtpep 18 98
    WEATHERdude 18 100
    Jeff Hamons 19 98
    Lizbaugh 18 101
    micah 19 98
    ctjhawk 19 98
    Sheree 19 100
    marlina10 19 98
    Angie 19 102
    Braysmama 19 99
    JoeQueso 19 99
    7pickles 19 99
    cjemr 19 99
    kcroyals05 19 97
    KC Hams 19 101
    plume 19 103
    AJTiger 19 98
    Yellowrose93 20 106
    kcwxguy 20 97
    Brocksmama 20 97
    weathewrmomson 20 101
    micshell 20 100
    justnora 20 103
    KCLady 20 99
    Matt P 20 98
    kb0rpj 20 102
    JeriCorrell 21 100
    angvic00 21 99
    HailJonathan 21 97
    jcleverboar 21 97
    Lilypad 21 101
    Bscott32 21 101
    Bandito 21 101
    LibertyJeff 21 96
    Zazel 21 100
    nastyweather 21 103
    lezakEF5 21 98
    stormguy 21 97
    Jiminstjoe 21 101
    LVStormSpotter 22 101
    mmatt78 22 97
    frigate 22 101
    WannaBe 22 103
    wowowow 22 102
    Skye 22 99
    Dwight 22 99
    kuchoirkid 22 101
    Mark M 23 99
    Osborn 23 101
    momof3 23 101
    WycoSpotter 23 98
    Bootz 23 102
    Wthrlvr 23 105
    jlswildcat 23 101
    lorid1211 24 99
    RickXTN 24 99
    HummerSeeker 24 101
    Grambo624 24 104
    C in Raymore 24 100
    dbase94 24 102
    pilotskcx 24 104
    Tim in West Shawnee 24 97
    johnj 25 101
    Jack 25 102
    Leavenworth 25 99
    Bradley 25 100
    woolgrower 25 99
    mccready95 25 100
    akm76m 25 103
    Notes in the Margin 26 100
    Turd Fergenson 26 98
    Lillyanya 26 102
    rwineinger 26 101
    woofwoof 26 99
    mattwalker 26 99
    Drbize 27 98
    jef11543 27 102
    jczellar 27 103
    spotter 27 103
    Rick 27 101
    nilekinnick 27 102
    MikeandJenn 27 97
    kane1970 27 99
    pvt_murphy 27 98
    spike 27 101
    Twister11  28 101
    BellgolfMU12 28 103
    bewild79 28 103
    jackieo 28 103
    LSGolfer 28 101
    FairwayMed 28 101
    JPnKC 28 100
    rachel 28 98
    radman22 29 99
    Kimberly 29 98
    permanentscowl 29 103
    Cheesehead 29 102
    JennIrat 30 98
    bearcat97 30 100
    DfromWarsaw 31 105
    morrell 31 98
    j in sedmo 31 97
    jstonemo 32 100
    FairWeather007 32 102
    Mamaof3girls 33 100
    acox3258 33 102
    west winds 33 101
    Chris 34 99
    Luthur 35 101
    KCTraci 38 104
    coopjay 40 105
    Average # 21.851
    Avg high 99.812

     

    I will update the blog on the latest data sometime this afternoon.  And, just a reminder...The brand new NBC Action News Weather Center and News Set debuts on Friday night after the Olympics opening ceremony on NBC.

    Gary

  • Published Monday, August 04, 2008 6:51 AM by glezak

    Comments

     

    micshell said:

    I am feeling fairly confident about my prediction at this time, however, if we go over 100 today at the airport I will be out.  Of course, I would prefer to lose by already having reached the highest temp for the season and then see a gradual decline to consistent mid eighty for the remainder of the summer!

    ----------------

    The hottest temperature of the year is just the tie breaker.  The # of 90 degree days or higher is the real contest.

    Gary

    August 4, 2008 7:15 AM
     

    N2mountains said:

    I take consolation in the fact that last night you said this would be the hottest day and for now you see no future heat waves. By the first part of Septmeber the temperature seems to calm down a bit and that is what I look forward to. If this was the hottest stretch this summer and our yards are this green, it was a miracle compared to summer past. NOW, if this winter could be as snowy as the summer has been wet, I would be THRILLED.
    Have a great day Gary and staff.

    -----------------

    Thanks, I don't think Jeremy will agree, but I am with you.  Hopefully we will get a lot of snow this winter.

    Gary

    August 4, 2008 7:47 AM
     

    Brocksmama said:

    Well I WILL be out of the contest if you want to get technical about it because other people also guessed the same amount of days as me but had higher temps. for their tie-breakers- so when it comes to the tie-breakers, their temps may still be in the running.  dea

    --------------

    Dea,

    Yes, you are correct! This is why the hottest temperature is still so significant for the contest.  Maybe it will fall short of 100.

    Gary

    August 4, 2008 8:00 AM
     

    NotesInTheMargin said:

    Just a couple of housekeeping items:  

    1.  Today is August 4th (not 3rd, as in the title) and everyone is not in fact still in the running for the contest.  

    2.  As it has been stated, we've had 7 90+ degree days so far and we have 27 days left...even if all were above 90, more than 35 days is out.  

    I'm just pleased to see that the dew points have dropped slightly from the oppressive values we saw over the weekend...whew!

    ---------------

    Notes,

    Pretty sad when I don't even know what the date is, I was very tired.  Thanks!  And, yes, the people with the highest number of 90 degree days will be dropping out fast in the next week.

    Gary

    August 4, 2008 8:25 AM
     

    kcwxguy said:

    Notes - 26 is gonna be tough.

    Knowing your interests, you probably would trade the contest winnings for 65 degrees and 30% RH for your runs in the morning...

    LOL
    August 4, 2008 9:31 AM
     

    Brocksmama said:

    I was just out with the dog and to me it does not feel as hot as it did at this time yesterday.  Possibly because the dew point is lower?  Not sure what temp it was at approx..  9:30 yesterday, but it feels cooler today ( if you could call what I'm feeling *cool*! ).  Just a thought.  Anyway I figure we have one more oppressive day and then hopefully it's downhill from here.  Looking forward to the 80's!  Everyone stay cool and have a great day!

    ---------------

    Yes, the dewpoints have been a bit lower this morning, and we have a consistent southwest breeze, which helps as well.  The temperature is actually a bit warmer, but it feels a bit more comfortable, but let's see what we say this evening.

    Gary

    August 4, 2008 9:33 AM
     

    spotter said:

    good morning gary i just notice denver has had 21 days straight in the 90s so i cant complain yet on our mini heat wave .but it would made me happy with the contest.

    -----------------

    Denver should get a break, and hopefully some rain this week.  They are crisp, brown, and hot.

    Gary

    August 4, 2008 9:38 AM
     

    MrSteve said:

    Warmth!

    Love it!

    Have to set up the sprinkler today for quick cool downs and summer fun.

    August 4, 2008 9:55 AM
     

    nastyweather said:

    Wow I'm glad this excessive heat is taking a break after today and it would be even better news if today is the hottest day of year.  Of course high heat and humidity will be on tap later on down the road before summer's over.

    On a topic aside from our local blast furnace, what's the likelihood of Eduard actually forming into a hurricane before it makes landfall?  I hear all this talk about it strengthening but I didn't know what the actually chances are.
    August 4, 2008 9:57 AM
     

    NotesInTheMargin said:

    kcwxguy said:
    Notes - 26 is gonna be tough.

    Knowing your interests, you probably would trade the contest winnings for 65 degrees and 30% RH for your runs in the morning...

    ...

    No doubt.  This morning's run was grueling, but complete...and I'll be taking tomorrow off, looking forward to the rest of the week..even just a drop of a few degrees will make a huge difference.  And September will be here before we know it..  

    Oh - and 60s w/ 30% humidity - a guy can dream, can't he?
    August 4, 2008 10:07 AM
     

    kcwxguy said:

    Per the NHC on our friend "Ed"

    "THERE IS ABOUT A 20 PERCENT CHANCE THAT EDOUARD
    WILL BE A HURRICANE NEAR THE TIME OF LANDFALL."
    August 4, 2008 10:09 AM
     

    pvt_murphy said:

    its too early to count most forecasts out.  we only have to look back to last august to see what kci is capable of...

    ...this is bad, i hate the heat.  i would be rooting for 0 more 90 degree days if it wasnt for the contest.  
    August 4, 2008 10:09 AM
     

    kcwxguy said:

    Notes - I think you will be pleasantly suprised with the majority of August.

    Dreams do come true....

    ;-)
    August 4, 2008 10:11 AM
     

    kcwxguy said:

    pvt - I need 12 more 90 degree days.  I would trade each of those to be in the 70s and lose the contest than endure the 90s to win.

    I am with you on this!
    August 4, 2008 10:12 AM
     

    NotesInTheMargin said:

    Scott -

    I know you're a big tropics guy...and have been paying close attention to the large-scale flow lately (which I haven't) so what do you make of Ed's track?  Any chance he'll bring some moisture our way?
    August 4, 2008 10:20 AM
     

    nastyweather said:

    Good ? Notes I was just thinking about the moisture from Eduard like we had from Dolly.  Even if that thing isn't a hurricane, 60 mph sustain winds and torrential rains can cause lots of problems.
    August 4, 2008 10:30 AM
     

    weatherwunder said:

    Gary, May I make a couple of suggestions?

    1.  For the weather forecast page, can the font size of the "time code" in the upper left hand corner of the ESP screen be enlarged to the size of the "city" fonts or a bit higher so it can easily be read while looking at the movement of precipitation, etc.?  

    2.  It would be most helpful if the font size on the blog could be the size of the font in the Summary near the bottom of the weather forecast page.

    3.  Some websites give the choice of Small, Medium, or Large font size.  That would be helpful for everyone's needs.

    As always, thank you for your superb forecasting.  I thought the bloggers have contributed some especially good comments over the last couple of days in particular.  Reminiscing about the pre-AC days and how we tried to get cool without AC were good and gave me a trip down memory lane, and the added thought to use ICEBERG lettuce under your cap was great!!!

     
    August 4, 2008 10:45 AM
     

    pvt_murphy said:

    well...my name isnt scott...but  the 'models' indicate that it will head due west through texas( make landfall around houston) and eventually(around 72-78 hours) get sucked up into the SW trough.  the jetstream has retreated so far that edouard doesnt look to be taking a northerly swing at all.  i imagine it is going to be a very wet week for west texas, NM, and AZ.  maybe southern colorado will get some beneficial rain from this.
    August 4, 2008 10:49 AM
     

    mamaof3girls said:

    Man I am way off on the number of days in the 90's or higher...BUT my temp of 100 might do well. LOL! Oh well...I am not a snow boarding kind of person anyways. Ya never know...maybe August will come in and go out with a bang. That is my only prayer to win. Hah!!!!! I have no idea what I was thinking when I decided to take 7 kids to the pool....all under the age of 10. Ugh! I am gonna come back a lobster. The kids are all nice and tan and will probably do better than me. Do not worry though, I have plenty of water and drinks (not pop) ready to go for them. I feel for those who work outside....yuck!!!! Have a great day.
    Monica
    Pleasanton, KS
    August 4, 2008 10:53 AM
     

    kcwxguy said:

    Notes – I have been somewhat negligent this year in watching the tropics.  While of great interest, I have been bogged down with the LRC in the last two weeks.

    You bring up a tricky question.  I agreed with you on the demise of Dolly as the upper and lower level core of the storm died long before we saw it.  The same will happen in this case…but the tricky part is this..what remnants may be available?

    This storm like many will bring in quite a bit of moist tropical air into the southern core of the US.  Due to the strong high pressure right now dominant in the central US, it is giving “Ed” a westerly track.   It will turn NW late in the cycle as it begins to feel the ridge boundary it is riding.

    Now, it will get interesting…as the Great Lakes trough begins to build, it is going to push the high pressure back to the SW.  Along the way, it will sheer out our friend “Ed” from a vorticity perpective..but not necessarily the moisture.

    I still anticipate that the moisture will round the high pressure and provide some tropical feedback to the front Tues night/Wednesday.  How much?  Probably not too much..seems the main mechanism for moisture is more from the Pac side than the Gulf right now.

    So..is there a direct impact?  No.  It will sheer out long before we see it.  Can we catch some of the moisture pooling along the Tues night/Wed frontal boundary.  Maybe.


    Weatherwunder – if you use IE6, you can go into View and select Text Size and it helps some.  
    August 4, 2008 12:19 PM
     

    weatherwunder said:

    KCWXGUY, A super-size THANK YOU for that terrific info on how to get a larger font size!  You have made my day, week, month, year, and on and on as that should help me on all other websites as well.  Some other bloggers may even be helped by your tip.  Thanks again and again.  
    August 4, 2008 12:42 PM
     

    weatherwunder said:

    By the way, the tip worked on IE7 as well.
    August 4, 2008 12:43 PM
     

    juba said:

    At pool most afternoon 3:00-6:00! Not hot at aaallllllllllllllll
    August 4, 2008 6:31 PM
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