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Good Sunday bloggers! While a lot of the focus has been on Gustav this weekend, I hope you have been enjoying a pretty nice holiday weekend in our own backyards! High temperatures today were generally between 85-90 across the viewing area. For Labor Day we can expect a hot and humid day with highs in the low 90s.
The forecast gets much more complex by late Tuesday thru Thursday as a cold front and possibly what is left of Gustav impact our weather. The first chance of rain comes our way with the front sometime late Tuesday. Once the front drops through the area much cooler air will swing in and right now I think temperatures on Wednesday will be in the 60s. There may be a midnight high in the low 70s, but during the day on Wednesday I think 60s look pretty good right now. After a quick check we are by far the coolest forecast of any station in Kansas City for Wednesday(others range from 76-78). With dew points in the 50s to around 60, clouds, and possible rain on Wednesday it will be very tough to reach 70 during the day. If it does rain we may drop to around 60! Here is the forecast temperature map from this morning's GFS run for Wednesday.
Now onto Gustav. The hurricane went through some big changes in the past 24 hours which weakened the storm and drop the peak sustained winds to 115 mph as of the Sunday afternoon update. It is still a major hurricane and something to note is the pressure recently dropped again which likely signals some strengthening is possible. Gustav is forecast to make landfall late Monday morning or around noon as a category 3 hurricane.
Here is the latest projected path of Gustav.
Here is what really concerns me...the possible storm surge. Here is the forecast map for the chance of seeing storm surge of greater than 5 feet.
I labeled where New Orleans is located. I'll try to give everyone an update this evening.
Jeremy