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Gustav rain....September 3 update

If you have any rainfall totals blog them in.  I will make a list soon:

Good evening NBC Action Weather Bloggers,

We will talk about how Gustav continues to influence our weather, but we must start talking about Ike.  Hurricane Ike has rapidly become a major hurricane this evening and is taking aim on south Florida.  Ike could be the hurricane of the season, so let's pay close attention to him during the next few days.  I just looked at the satellite photo and Ike is impressive, looking like a category 4 to me.

Now, back to Gustav. The remnants of Gustav, still very well defined at the surface, are now going through a transition. The cold air behind yesterday's cold front has been pulled into Gustav and now it is becoming an extra-tropical storm, more of what we are used to in this part of the nation.  This is going to create a more normal comma head in the next few hours and the rainfall bands on the northwest side, near Kansas City should become heavier.  Heavier bands of rain are now rotating around what is left of Gustav.  Gustav is finally beginning to pick up speed and move out.  As Gustav tracks up across the Missouri Arkansas border later tonight a steady rain, heavy at times, will fall across much of our area.  A few spots will likely see 1-2" of rain which is great news for the lawn!

Make sure to watch tonight at 10 PM as we track Gustav and Ike.

Have a good evening.

Published Wednesday, September 03, 2008 7:46 PM by glezak

Comments

 

LibertyJeff said:

Just a quick update from Liberty.  1" here on the South side.  Sure hope we get another 1" before it's done!
September 3, 2008 8:17 PM
 

pvt_murphy said:

ike is very impressive looking...its taking a similar track that brings many bad storms to the east coast of fla.  we will see if it continues, but, fortunately...they have already had a 'warmup' storm down there which will help preparation for them...its much like here in the beginning of winter how it seems like a lot more people than usual drive stupid during the first snow, but by the next go around, people are more careful(usually).  

the only thing to keep in mind with ike is that it intensified quickly, which means that it will most definitely go through a weakening phase eventually...hopefully it does...and if it doesnt, hopefully it moves quickly through fla.

btw, the st. johns river in central fla is still at record flood stage from FAY.  there are still homes under water there...i guess if a storms name isnt katrina and it doesnt hit a politically convenient area then its not national news worthy... :/
September 3, 2008 8:19 PM
 

pvt_murphy said:

also, the IR of ike already looks far more impressive than gustav ever did...
September 3, 2008 8:24 PM
 

Braysmama said:

Up to 1.5 for the daytime total, storm total since last night up to 2.0 inches of rain in Kingsville. Keep it coming! :)
September 3, 2008 8:28 PM
 

Mark M said:

I was getting worried Gary. All of this action with Gustav and no update since late this morning. Thanks for the update!
September 3, 2008 8:36 PM
 

bulldog said:

1.5" Since rain began here in Sibley
Audrey
September 3, 2008 9:06 PM
 

Zazel said:

/chuckle.  Better watch out murph.  Making comments about the media and political coverage of hurricanes when it's convenient for them.  The do gooders will jump on you like they did me the other day!  Haha.  Good night.
September 3, 2008 9:09 PM
 

fatflinger said:

anyone have a rain total in Olathe? I work there and rain really slows us down. It seems as though they have missed out on significant rains. Is this true?
September 3, 2008 9:17 PM
 

Andrew_Stafford said:

Olathe North HS- .40"
September 3, 2008 9:31 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

Seems Olathe has double its rainfall totals since my earlier post...they are blazing!

.36 inches today so far.  Add that to their staggering trace amounts yesterday, and well..you still get .36 so far.

KMCI has not kept up with the same pace of doubling ;-(

.45 inches today so far.  Yesterday, they were fortunate to catch a thunderstorm at about 2:30 PM yesterday yielding a quick .74 in.

Yea for KMCI!  Finally showing the rain that should have been there all year!

Too bad Olathe doesn't get the love this time.

Even Lee's Summit has gotten .41 today and a quick .28 from the late afternoon thunderstorm yesterday.

All in all, for today..a bit short of anything overwhelming.

----------

Scott,

It has 8 more hours to go, and the rainfall rates are increasing. Still so conservative.

Gary

September 3, 2008 9:35 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

Gary, based on radar estimates, the current rainfall rates are the same or less than they have been all day for the metro...<.02 an hour.  I guess if we get another 24 hours of rain, we might squeak out a full inch in the metro...

LOL..

Yes, the rain coverage is expanding, but nothing even remotely strong.  Again, looking at radar estimates, including yesterday with the convective enhancement, only a few spots are over an inch.  Not over a broad area at all...

My forecast for an inch or less was for today and tomorrow.  I guess we will see.  

Pray for some instability?

Looking at the COC, it looks like it moved about 30 miles today a bit further north, and maybe about 5 miles west.  

If you can squeeze out 2 inches out of this...let me know...it might happen..who knows.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d12_fill.gif
September 3, 2008 10:00 PM
 

C in Raymore said:

we have had a steady rain all day today. its lovely though. the sound, the temperature are so pleasant and relaxing.

murph- that is crazy that they are still at flood stage. it would not be good if another storm comes trucking in.
September 3, 2008 10:07 PM
 

goodlife said:

1.4"  10:15 PM WED   323rd & Hwy 7  Garden City, Creighton
September 3, 2008 10:20 PM
 

Joplinwxman said:

Hey guys, Gary in my viewing area we are averaging about 2-4" of rain.  Some areas have exceeded 5".  Wow, the comma head is moving NE.
Doug Heady
September 3, 2008 10:36 PM
 

marlina10 said:

I just took the dog out for our nightly potty outing and brrrr.....I went back inside for a jacket. Definitely feels like fall out today and this evening.
September 3, 2008 10:40 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

Dew points are still pretty marginal.  Kinda low.  Still have a dry cool airmass to contend with west and near the metro...

---------------

Scott,

Then how can you explain the increasing intensities of the rain?  Because there is a lot of lift.  You are overanalyzing, just look at the radar trend.  It is right in front of you.   Here comes the rain, just as I was expecting.  It was a long wait, but it now appears that 1 to 2 inches of additional rainfall is still likely.

Gary

September 3, 2008 10:51 PM
 

Joplinwxman said:

It is odd, I know it.  Gary and I where talking earlier how the remnants of Gustav is very similiar to what occured back on October 25th, 26th & 27th.  Gustav is identical to what occured 11 months ago at the beginning of this 52 day pattern.  Now at the end of the pattern, we see the same track with a very similiar system.  Interesting!

------------

Gustav just got caught in the same pattern.  But, this pattern is within weeks of finally being over.

Gary

September 3, 2008 10:55 PM
 

davidz said:

Question 1 - has a storm like IKE ever caught up to or taken away the power from the hurricane in front of it?

Question 2 - if it could catch up, what do you think would be the result?
A monster storm or due to the power struggle between them, a weaker storm?

Question 3 - Do you think it would affect the projected path if IKE were to drain some of Hanah's strength?

Question 4 - is there any recorded history of two hurricane's affecting or catching up to each other?

Thanks,
davidz
September 3, 2008 10:57 PM
 

Braysmama said:

1.75 in Kingsville.
September 3, 2008 11:58 PM
 

radman22 said:

"All in all, for today..a bit short of anything overwhelming"

It may not have had the punch for the metro, but I found watching the storm move toward us fascinating.    Many places to the SE got dumped on and this storm had a bite when it came to rain.     I have not remembered having a tropical storm interact with our area in some time... at least 10 years (know we got hammered by one of them)   2 storms in one year... what a strange summer

Ike looks to be a real trouble for Florida and maybe even the gulf.   It will be fun to watch this week.  
September 4, 2008 12:06 AM
 

RickMckc said:

On the NWS regional radar, it almost looks like an eye is forming over NW Arkansas!

This has been a most excellent weather event. I'm pumped about what lies ahead for the fall and winter!
September 4, 2008 12:11 AM
 

xrysostom said:

Was out for much of the day and knew that we were getting wet but there was never any extremely hard rain, so the 1.2" I poured out at midnight was a bit surprising. Anyhow, I'll watch Brett in the a.m. and will post an update and cumulative rainfall total for Emma later in the day.

Walt Snyder
September 4, 2008 12:50 AM
 

lezakEF5 said:

The rainfall rates are definitly increasing, and I have 1.1" of rain in my guage here in Marceline.

This is pretty awesome.

Ike is looking really good

Alex
September 4, 2008 1:08 AM
 

Nick Rau said:

Wow, almost the ENTIRE state of Missouri is getting Gustav rains right now, it is just amazing, yes we are still getting light to occasionally approaching mod. rain in St. Joe, add this with the frog stranglers we got with the initial cold front and this is turning into a decent event for us to.  This slower rain will soak in better and suddenly everything will look decidedly lush and green and you would have no idea you just came off of August, it may even help out with the soon upcoming fall colors, giving the trees one last good drink before fall really sets in.
September 4, 2008 2:08 AM
 

HailJonathan said:

when was the last time we encountered a tropical depression's rain? I know dolly dumped on us but I dont think it even had barely a remnant circulation like this one clearly has.
September 4, 2008 3:59 AM
 

jon64506 said:

right at 2 inches in st jo since tuesday afternoon. soggy dog walking this morning.
September 4, 2008 5:51 AM
 

DPannell said:

Another 1.36" for Paola bringing our total to 3.42".  Very unpleasant walk with Windy the past two mornings, in the rain and just enough wind to keep the umbrella from helping any at all.  I miss summer already.  Cool temperatures and sunshine are nice, however I much prefer the heat and humidity. But rain?  Enough already!--deb
September 4, 2008 6:05 AM
 

SmithvilleWest said:

As of this morning, our storm total here near Smithville is 3.0".

9/2 0.625"
9/3 1.875"
9/4 0.500"
September 4, 2008 6:16 AM
 

stormlover said:

a total of just over 1.5 inches of rain...for August & Sep't...just all fell in the last 24 hours.
September 4, 2008 7:00 AM
 

JennIrat said:

Have received 1.00" of rain here in Easton, MO

Jennifer
September 4, 2008 7:02 AM
 

dougbce said:

169 & Englewood
9/3 7AM 1.00" (.94 fell late afternoon 9/2)
9/4 7AM 1.21"

Only 2.21 out of Gustav so far, but it's still coming down!
September 4, 2008 7:03 AM
 

dougbce said:

stormlover, I've already tripled my August total
September 4, 2008 7:04 AM
 

j in sedmo said:

We have gotten 3.5 inches so far on the far west side of Sedalia. My rain gauge is starting to tilt, I think it is sinking in the mud.
September 4, 2008 7:21 AM
 

MCSev said:

Four miles southwest of Leavenworth, Kansas

2 SEP - .8
3 SEP - .4
4 SEP - .6
-------------------
3 Day total:  1.8 (and we still have a very light rain going this morning.

All this has been a slow steady drizzle or light rain.  Just perfect Gary!  Great job on this one -- we really needed this kind of a rain.
September 4, 2008 7:42 AM
 

Hamons Custom Landscaping said:

1.3" at 91st and Antioch
September 4, 2008 7:48 AM
 

Bigbadbob said:

This storm total as of 7:30 this morning at 135th and Nall 2.23"
September 4, 2008 7:49 AM
 

kujojo said:

1.9 at Raintree Lake in SE Lee's Summit
September 4, 2008 7:52 AM
 

frigate said:

Gary,

It was still raining when I left work at 6:30 and still coming down...1.55 in SW Grain Valley...all from Gusatv...didn't get any of the T-storms from the front.

Jeff
September 4, 2008 7:53 AM
 

mamaof3girls said:

Perfect amount for me. Wednesday am .35, Thursday am 2.18 (light rain still falling) Storm total so far is 2.53. I will take it!! Thanks. :o) Nice job on this forecast!!!!
Monica
Pleasanton, KS
September 4, 2008 7:56 AM
 

Watkins Gal said:

North of Lawson, I have measured 2" exactly since Tuesday evening.  Still raining lightly...
September 4, 2008 7:58 AM
 

intheburg said:

Gary,

In Warrensburg we are at 4.5" in the guage so far since yesterday morning.  I have been also watching the weatherbug station here in Warrensburg and at Whiteman and for some time I have noticed a large difference in the 2.  The one here in town matches my guage always but the Whiteman one is usually half the amount.  Don't know which to believe sometimes.
September 4, 2008 8:02 AM
 

opeterson said:

Here at 64th and I-29 rain totals as follows,

2.64" on 9/2
.75" on 9/3
.63" since midnight

Still light rain this morning.
September 4, 2008 8:05 AM
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