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It is just a gut feeling, but I think that Ike will move our way Sunday. It seems like it would have to turn really fast to miss us completly

So, if Ike comes our way, how much more rain? I got 1.5 inches last night in La Cygne. Making a 2.5 inches total so far.

Roof is still leaking too. Guess I'm gonna have to pay another roofing to come in and fix it. These guys can't get it right!!! WHat is the worst is it was fixed prior to the new roof being put on and now I get to start all over again trying to figure out why it is leaking.

***************

Thanks for the total.  Sounds like you need to get some video of your roof leaking and contact our Call For Action department.  Maybe they could help you or lead you in the right direction.

Jeremy

.59 so far over night at 169 & Englewood, and still coming down

******************

Thanks for the total.  That should double or triple pretty easy today.

Jeremy

Early this am I recieved one of those tropical downpours with exactly 4 claps of thunder...LOL!! My rain total from yesterday was 1.73 and my total for this whole storm is 1.86 so far.

Farmgirl, that stinks about your roof....sure hope you find a roofer that can get it done right. I feel for ya!!
Monica
Pleasanton, KS

Just checked my gauge and it had .87" for the past 24 hours.  

Is Ike going to come up here Gary or stay to the south & east?  Looks like it will head for Dallas then shift northward.

Farmgirl, I just got my roof and gutters replaced and I have my fingers crossed there are no leaks. I know how you feel. I worried about my roof and gutters for some time when I knew they were bad. So far so good with the new roof.  We shouldn't worry about a new roof leaking, right?  It does seem ridiculous, but I will feel better when this passes and the house remains dry. I would take Jeremy's advice and notify the BBB if the roofer doesnt come through for you.  Good luck!  

.5" overnight   1.2" storm total   323rd & Hwy 7   Garden City-Creighton

Rain coming down hard here at 68th Terr. and Oak, checked the rain gauge a little while ago and it had .70 in it from yesterday, but I'm sure it's probably at an inch already as hard as it's raining.  Dog is refusing to go out even tho he needs to!  I open the door and he just looks forlornly out, sighs and turns away...  Will have to keep an eye on my kitchen ceiling and my basement today.  Dea

If the next two model runs continue the farther west projection on Ike's path I will buy into it.  For me still here in North Texas, what this farther west track would mean is a greater threat for flooding and stronger winds from Ike, if it verifies.  Just when I was beginning to relax.  NWS has issued a Tropical Storm Wind Warning for Saturday starting 1 county south of my current location and south from there.  Here we are under a Tropical Storm Wind Watch.

From the radar it looks like it's going to be a very wet Friday in KC, with the heaviest rain still to your west but headed your way.  I heard a report on the Weather Channel this morning that Highway 50 was closed either near or in Sedalia due to high water, is that true?

Latest graphics from NWS Fort Worth w/r/t/ Ike's project impacts on Texas:  http://www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd/

4.4" so far,  just east of Ottawa KS

***************

Thanks for the report.  That matches up pretty well with the radar estimates.

Jeremy

NBC Station in Houston has LIVE Coverage:

http://www.click2houston.com/video/10903347/index.html

The Gulf is already angry!  It could get ugly tonight in Galveston.  Hopefully everyone has evacuated as they were ordered to.

1.3 inches here in beautiful SE Leavenworth County.  This is the total from yesterday forward.

I sure hope Ike doesn't get to us, and not just for the chiefs game. I've already got water starting to get into the basement...plus this dreary cloudy weather is getting old.

We had 0.80" at 8 AM this morning in eastern Shawnee.

When I look at the Ike radar loop it doesn't appear to be coming anywhere near us in th metro area but more towards central MO. My dogs forced themselves outside for a quick piddle, they couldn't hold it anymore. But I can't blame them. It rains moderately for awhile, then you hear it pick up heavier, go back to moderate and then step up again. Not looking forward to having to drive daughter to the dr's appt in Leawood from western Shawnee later this afternoon. I bet 435 will be a big mess, moreso than normal.

Leawood 132 and Roe 1.66 inches in last 24 hours

Does anyone recall seeing some Texas mayor, white haired lady, on the news swearing they had evacuated once and it was a pain so they would not do it again? I can't recall what city she was from.

Same here RDub. Not concerned about the Chiefs,  there are bigger concerns like basements, roofs, and everyone's safety.
The grass sure looks nice, but it's time to start drying out so it can to go dormant.

Jeri that was the Galveston Mayor, but I believe yesterday she changed her mind issued a mandatory evacuation.  It's a very sad deal if Galveston is already flooding and Ike is 200 miles away.

Totals from 150 & 291 in S. Lee's Summit:
Yesterday:  .8"
Today, as of 9:30AM:  2.8" (emptied the rain gauge in anticipation of considerably more rainfall)

The creek near me is way out of its normal channel.

just checked the rain gauge and since yesterday 2.85 here in se lee's summit this does not include the .15 on wed.  how much more????  kristy

I poured out 2 inches from the rain gauge this morning at 9:30 a.m. here south of the 'Burg.  That's the total from yesterday and last night.

*******************

Is that Warrensburg?

Jeremy

Interesting side note, my new electonic rain gage measures 1.66, my old fashioned rain gage shows 2.1 inches.  They are about 10 yards apart.

The National Weather Service out of Pleasant Hill this morning on their Hazardous Weather Outlook made mention of the possibility of isolated tornadoes south of a from St Joseph to Kirksville line. What are they seeing?  No one else talked about this on any forcasts this morning.
NWS TEXT FOLLOWS:  HWOEAX @ 747am
"ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT
AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE. WHILE OVERALL INSTABILITY WILL BE
WEAK...SUFFICIENT SHEAR AND COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL MAKE ISOLATED TORNADOES A POSSIBILITY WITHIN THE STRONGER
STORMS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A ST JOSEPH TO KIRKSVILLE LINE.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A ST
JOSEPH TO KIRKSVILLE LINE TODAY. SPOTTERS ARE ALSO URGED TO RELAY ANY
RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OR THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE."

**********************

This is from the SPC discussion. 

DIFFERENTIAL HEATING LIKELY WILL LEAD TO DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK SFC
   WAVE LATER TODAY OVER SERN KS.  THIS WAVE SHOULD MOVE NE INTO IA
   EARLY SATURDAY AS UT/WY UPR IMPULSE EDGES CLOSER TO REGION.
   COMBINATION OF ENHANCED LOW LVL WAA WITH WAVE...SFC HEATING...AND
   PERSISTENT JET ENTRANCE REGION ASCENT EXPECTED TO SUPPORT
   INTENSIFICATION OF EXISTING BAND OF STORMS FROM NRN OK ENE INTO
   PARTS OF SE KS AND CNTRL MO.  IF HEATING IS SUFFICIENT...SCTD
   ADDITIONAL STORMS COULD FORM SE OF THE FRONT FROM NE OK INTO SRN
   MO.
  
   MID LVL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN WEAK.  BUT VERY MOIST...MODERATELY
   SHEARED ENVIRONMENT COULD YIELD A FEW SUPERCELLS...AND THESE COULD
   PRODUCE A FEW BRIEF/WEAK TORNADOES...SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY'S
   SITUATION IN SRN MO. 

 

A perfect storm?  Gary, what are the chances that the remnants of Lowell and the remnants of Ike will converge in the Midwest?  Do we need to be considered about flooding to 1993 levels?

2.18 inches so far at 87th and Metcalf in Overland Park.

Thanks team..
Todd

"Interesting side note, my new electonic rain gage measures 1.66, my old fashioned rain gage shows 2.1 inches.  They are about 10 yards apart."

That is funny.  At the old house I had 2 old fashioned rain gauges.  One in the garden and one on the deck.  In big rains like this they would differ by as much as a .25 inch.  I have no clue why other than maybe it's because they are $2 rain gauges made in China and perhaps they weren't made right.

I've got 2.20" in my rain gauge so far as of 11:20- this is since yesterday.  Estimating around 1.50" today alone so far.  Dea at 68th Terr. and Oak.

Does the latest GFS run continue to show Ike's center tracking farther to the west on Sat. than earlier runs?  So far NWS and NHC have not adjusted the track westward, or have they?  Does the western trough appear to be splitting into two pieces, with the southern piece staying farther west, and if that's the case could that cause Ike to initially move farther west before recurving?

****************

The NAM has us on the edge or just missing the rain from Ike.  The GFS is still much farther west-northwest and gives us some rain Sunday.  Still probably not an all day rain.  I'm guessing the right solution is somewhere in between.  Hopefully the rain stays away for the Chiefs game.

Jeremy

Nastyweather...I am glad the Galveston mayor "changed her mind."  I think the advisory that anyone staying in Galveston Island or any of the other barriers would face certain death kinda shocks you into reality.....

And Dr. Masters from Weatherunderground just stated that the storm surge from Ike could rival Katrina's and be one of the most damaging hurricanes of all time.

He stated, "Ike continues to grow larger and has intensified slightly since yesterday, and the hurricane's Integrated Kinetic Energy has increased from 134 to 149 Terajoules. This is 30% higher than Katrina's total energy at landfall. All this extra energy has gone into piling up a vast storm surge that will probably be higher than anything in recorded history along the Texas coast. Storm surge heights of 20-25 feet are possible from Galveston northwards to the Louisiana border."

Higher than anything in recorded history along Texas Coast???

Wow!!!  As I said a few weeks ago.  People along the coasts need to worry about the Storm Surge.  A 25 foot storm surge would drown countless people who would decide to stay along the barriers...flooding which comes from the storm surge kills more people than any of the wind events that are part of a Hurricane...

Didn't catch this either from Masters...

"We can expect Ike to cause the largest and longest-lived power outage in Texas history, with power knocked out along a 200-mile wide swath in eastern Texas and extreme western Louisiana extending 300 miles inland to I-20. Dallas will be at the fringe of the region of widespread power outages, and should not suffer major power failures."

And the whole Houston metro area should experience Hurricane force winds for EIGHT HOURS....WOW!!!!

Check out this great story on the brave men and women who work in the hurricane hunters. Talk about weather junkies! LOL

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/E/EYE_OF_IKE?SITE=ORROS&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT

Yeah mmancubfan, Ike may go down as one of the most devastating Category 2 hurricane of all time, especially if it makes landfall at the SW end of Galveston Island and sweeps across Houston as currently predicted.  Its large size and the fact that it's been able to build its storm surge across the entire length of the Gulf will be bad.  Anyone whose judgment would lead them to remain on a barrier island along the Upper Texas Coast to ride this out gets my nomination for a Darwin Award.

I must grimly agree with you Sedsinkc...

If this cane goes up the SW end of the island, south of the city just like you said, the storm surge will probably overtop the Galveston sea wall which is 17 feet tall.  That would flood the CITY of Galveston...not just the island.   And they haven't even evacuated the Galveston jail yet in the city..... And it looks like Port Arthur, TX is going to see a 15-20 foot surge which will overtop their sea wall by six feet flooding the entire city.  Masters also noted that will also cause flooding of the major oil refineries which are numerous in Port Arthur area.

I think the media seems to think that since it isn't hitting New Orleans it isn't as big a news event.  I haven't seen Masters doom and gloom so close to a landfall since the day before Katrina....

This could be alot more catastrophic than people think....

NWS in Fort Worth has issued a Hurricane Wind Warning for Saturday as far north as two counties southeast of Dallas, including the city of Athens.  The Tropical Storm Wind Watch for my location southwest of Fort Worth has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm Wind Warning.

Just think, if all the refineries in Port Arthur and around Galveston Bay are flooded and put out of commission for weeks by this hurricane, gas might go to $5 a gallon or higher nationwide.  That's grim too.  Let's hope every last person on Galveston Island gets off now before it's too late.  A recent ob from Galveston had winds there already gusting around 35 mph.  The city of Galveston is built on Galveston Island, and the eastern end of the island where the city is located is protected by the 17 foot seawall.  Let's hope it's enough tonight.  The west end of the island has no seawall and was devastated in 1983 by Alicia's storm surge of "only" 7 to 9 feet.

NOT pleased with Ike.  I hoped if I ignored tracking it, it would go away.  I feared this.  Heck, I remember watching Ike develop before he was named and even then during Gus, noting not to take eyes of Ike developing thousands of miles away.

I am already to that point of reconsiliation between the awe of the storm and the impending human tragedy.

I pray for those impacted.  I hope Pvt and I can sit back and debate and laugh about the overhyping of this storm later.

Right now, I am not sure we will have that conversation.

As far as rain here...tough forecast.  I am throwing all the models out and just going with sat/radar and other composite indicies at this point.  The GFS has suffered as of late, can't stand the NAM..and think due to the near range of the rain, I can make better decision based on data other than model.

For sure it is wet..and cool..and I see every indication [IMO] that the rest of the season [fall/winter] will be this way.

Yes, Jeremy.  My 2 inch total was for the Warrensburg area.  :)

It would suck if the basement flooded! It did a little in I think 06. It was not a problem on the unfinished part of the basement (like I said a little flooding) but the finished part got the carpet wet. Talk about stinking! I finally had to call someone in to take care of it. Now we have a large model railroad layout on top of the carpet on the finished side of the basement. We can't just lift the carpet and put a fan under it to dry it out like we did last time. I am going to keep my fingers crossed that my basement does not flood along with anyone elses! One change we have made to the outside of the house since the last flood is we bought and put on drain spout extenders to move the water as far from the basement as we can. So far the sump pump is pretty quiet, so that's good!
Audra in Lee's Summit

I find this map from the NWS interesting. It is valid Friday through Sunday.
Audra in Lee's Summit

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d12_fill.gif

Here is another map, it is valid Friday through Monday. Remember this starts today and does not count the rain we got Thursday, etc.
Audra

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gif

No matter what happens to the refineries I can't imagine gas will go up to any higher level than what we've already been exposed.  It's 50 some days from the presidential election.  The oil companies and powers that be don't want to give Obama any extra "fuel".  

GO RAIDERS!!! yes i am a raiders fan! and im proud of it! how bout a grey and black day? lol.

weather wise, jeremy, what do u think about the tornado threat? will it be like last night in southern missouri?

Seds ... great updates. Thanks for keeping us posted. My wife has lots of family spread all over East Texas mostly in the Lufkin area.

Scott ... so what are you forecasting from here on out? Our church has a golf tourney scheduled in KCK in the AM and the course won't decide if we play til first thing in the morning. I thought that was silly at first, but with the radar trends right now, it looks like we may be getting an extended break in the action later this afternoon and evening. What do you - and others - think?

Jeremy, Is the heavy rain event on Saturday going to be early morning and be just a light rain by evening? NWS still has me receiveing the heavist rain Sat. night in La cygne (1-2 inches). I'm confused.


Weatherfreak01, I too put 7 to 10 foot drain spouts on all the gutters to keep as much water away from the foundation as possible. Only problem is I live on very flat land the and the yard is starting to pool. The water from the road way will probably flow over the driveway again and wash it out even though we put a new larger culvert in the spring. This year has been rediculous for rain fall!!

I hope your basement stays dry. Well see what happens with mine as it has a few issues waiting to be repaired in October. I have spent over $18,000 repairing a 10 year-old house from the rain, wind and hail this year. I guess I should watch the money pit movie since that is what I have. :) I put a roasting pan in the attic to catch the dripping water. Had to go to work, so hope it doesn't over-flow.

What time is the Chiefs game?

Excellent point, Zazel...that could explain why gasoline futures were only up 3 cents when I checked about an hour ago.

I feel for you farmgirl! My house is older than yours (it was built in the 80's) so now I am going to start to worry! :-) I know that we have had small leaks in the garage that allow water once in a while to come in. They are not that bad so far (though I have not gone into the garage yet today!). When they blew more insulation into the attic the company said that they did not see any evidence that the roof over the house was leaking yet. Question for you though farmgirl.. Why do you keep going to different companies to get your roof fixed? Why not make the company that re did your roof fix it since that is what you paid them the big bucks to do in the first place? They should fix it for free since they are the ones who did a poor job. I agree with Jeremy, you should think about calling the call for action news department. I am hearing about too many roofing companies who leave their customers with leaking roofs. Somebody needs to call them to task!
Audra
Audra

RickMcKc, at present the city of Lufkin is under a Tropical Storm Wind Warning.  The swath of Hurricane Wind Warnings passes just to the west...too close for comfort, and if Ike's track shifts things can change.  However, because Lufkin will be east of the center they will be at higher risk for flooding rains and tornadoes than locations west of Ike.

It's been raining here all day in Kingsville - several times it was HARD rain.  Two hummingbirds got trapped on our porch and wouldn't fly away - I was wishing I could go help them, but when it slowed down some they finally left.  What do you mean about Ike turning our way?  Just a ton more rain?  So far, our basement hasn't leaked which surprised me -- well, I suppose it could be leaking somewhere behind all the junk in the storage room that we just don't know about yet.  But I don't know how much more it will handle - the ditches are full outside and we have small ponds in the back yard.  DId put down straw as a defense against mud and dogs!  Someone said something about 50 Highway being closed by Sedalia - that's about 45 minutes or so east of here, but I can believe it would be flooded if there are little streams there.  It's coming down!  No rain gauge so no guess - if Braysmama is around she woudl have a measurement!@  Laura

Weatherfreak01 - we did that too with the drain extenders.  It's funny because I'd never heard of them and was laughing at my husband thinking it would work - he ran them way out into the yard.  We also piled up a bunch of dirt next to the house and sloped it down more toward the middle of the yard, since it was all sloping right to the one side of the house that always leaked.  I guess I'll have to tell him I'm sorry for laughing now!  Duh.  Laura

Weatherfreak01, I have had them come out twice to attempt to fix. Kinda hard to communicate with a person that doesn't speak English and the so called foreman can't speak spanish. They are prompt about coming out, just negligent on getting the job done correctly.

I called my roofer repair man- he only fixes roofs and doesn't replace. I want him to tell me what is wrong with the roofing around the dormer. I can see lots of nails sticking through the roofing boards too. That doesn't seem right to me either.

Sigh - Hubby picked this company. I wanted to use the one we used when we got hit with a F0 twister in 2006. But they were a higher on the bid, I'd rather pay for a good job than a half-done job. Hard to find workers who take pride in the work they do.

So here I am crawling through a hole in the dormer wall on the inside of the office closet with a roasting pan. Size is about 2.5 feet wide and 3 feet tall in the shape of a trapazoid. Can't gain weight or I'll get stuck!! :)

There are some incredible pictures online from the hurricane that hit Galveston in 1900 or thereabouts - they mentioned it this morning on the Today show and I looked it up.  I'm kind of like icwxguy - resigned to the awesomeness, but the horribleness of it too.  When I was watching the news this morning and saw the city was flooded already, I couldn't believe that was happening now, and Ike hadn't even come that close yet.  Hopefully, people got way out of there.  They showed video from stores that the shelves were empty adn I hope that wasn't people thinking they'd try to ride it out.  Pretty depressing month!  I'm getting laid off the end of the month in a field where layoffs NEVER happen, teh darned sun won't seem to come out, Ike's coming, and I'm turning 49!  Yuk city!  Laura

Well hope the Galveston mayor feels good about her initial decision that evacuating is inconvenient. Now that she changed her mind...well there is already flooding from storm surges in areas around Galveston and the storm isn't there yet.

Laura, the good thing about turning 49 is that as menopause starts closing in, you tend not to remember that those things are happening due to the slowing of your brain cells. LOL

When I had my roof replaced, the whole crew spoke Spanish.  The company owner did speak English and there were no communication issues.   They weren't the cheapest either. As I received estimates, I followed my instincts and weeded out the contractors I was not comfortable with. I will  know after today if it was done right. So for (knock on wood) now, things are ok.

Something for your guys to think about regarding the storm surges and the sea wall in Galveston.  When they first built the sea wall they built it at 17 feet.  However, that was years ago and now they are worried that after years and years of build up there is only 8-10 feet actually above sand.  This would make a 20 foot surge even more devastating.  I lived in Galveston for a very short period of time and this was something tossed around back then; now it seems it is a very legitimate concern.

hmm looks like I have one of the bigger totals yet...I know I have more than 2 inches....I'll check later.

even though i admit the storm surge will be bad in spots, i am not overly excited about ike.  his pressure continues to rise, and is looking more and more ragged as time goes on.  peak surface wind gust was only 93mph, and the pressure is that of a weak cat 2 storm.  the shear size of ike is impressive, but its not a balanced storm.  certainly not a 'perfect' storm.  its just unfortunate its heading to such a susceptible area...where even the surge of a cat 1 would cause damage.  i hope for their safety down there, but i am upset at the doomsday approach being taken, but if it works to get people out, it works.  i am still mad that we are going to be paying for it through gas price hikes though.  when its all said and done, the devastation wont be nearly as acute as they are predicting(thankfully) especially inland...this thing is going to lose its punch quickly once the eyewall comes ashore...lots of rain inland though.

Checking some tidal observations along the upper Texas and Louisiana coasts, the tides are currently running 5 to 7 feet above normal, about 10-12 hours +- until landfall.  Ferry service from Galveston Island has been suspended and Texas DPS will likely close the causeway from Galveston to the mainland very shortly, if they haven't closed it already.

In current satellite photos, it looks like deep convection is wrapping completely around the eye of Ike.  Although Ike may not strengthen before landfall, this envelopment of the eye by deep convection on all sides will likely keep the storm from weakening much before landfall.

pvt_murphy,
You say Ike is weakening, yet the T.V. says it look like it is strengthing a little bit. The eye is starting to get a little more pronounced. The T.V. is also saying that the winds are 105 not 93 like you are saying. Mostly they are saying that the main threat is storm surge. Ike is still over 100 miles away and things are already starting to flood. The mayor of Houston has talked about evacuations. What Alby21 said is very interesting and makes sense. I heard that they built the sea wall after a 1900 hurricane and they did build it at 17 feet. It makes sense that through the years it has reduced in height due to sand, etc. On the T.V. they talked about the wind as an after thought, it is all about the storm surge.
Audra

Posted by the NWS this afternoon..
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY
FALLEN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO
TWO INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL LEAD TO THE POSSIBILITY OF
FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS RISES ON AREA RIVERS WITH RIVER FLOODING
LIKELY. THE MOST LIKELY AREA TO EXPERIENCE HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH
TONIGHT WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF A KANSAS CITY TO MACON LINE.

OTHERWISE...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS TODAY AND WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTHWEST MISSOURI THIS
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT
AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE. WHILE OVERALL INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN
QUESTIONABLE...SUFFICIENT SHEAR AND COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL MAKE ISOLATED TORNADOES A POSSIBILITY WITHIN THE
STRONGER STORMS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A KANSAS CITY TO MACON LINE.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
MISSOURI BY SATURDAY MORNING. AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA ON SATURDAY...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY. THE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
SEVERE...BUT AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE.

FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...THE FUTURE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE
WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS INTO SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI.
THIS TRACK MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
FOR AREAS GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM KANSAS CITY TO MOBERLY.

pvt - the peak surface gust of 93 mph is a bit light right now.  I am assuming you are getting this from the drop/HH reports...

Here is a buoy in the path that has something a bit different...and a bit more current...

http://www.wunderground.com/MAR/buoy/42361.html

105MPH at 968mb

[though looking at the last four readings..the instrumentation may be broken now]

Looks like Ike's gonna hit Houston much harder than he ever hit Tina.

Has anyone else heard of an oil derrick reporting substained winds of 105 mph in the gulf? Man oh man, watching what is happening in the Galveston and Houston areas, I am sure glad I don't live there!
Audra

NW Lawrence has received 1.81" from midnight to 3:00 PM today.  Rainfall is continuing and has picked up intensity a bit in the past 10 minutes.  

Rare humor from Notes, though spousal abuse probably isn't the funniest thing.

I have a link I am dying to post here for you hurricane junkes, but likely would have it pulled as it is for other network stations.

For those that know where Master's blog is...it can be found there.

Notes that was very creative lol

Current obs for Beaumont, TX has winds gusting to 51mph.  Galveston is not updating their current obs.  I've been watching the radar loop and am wondering if Ike will make landfall east of Galveston, or whether it's just the eye wobbling a bit more to the north right now....

I had a feeling the PC police would be out in force on that one.  

seds...pop out to the 248nm view.  Think at best it was a wobble.  Path looks true.  

The eyewall looks very close to finishing reforming.

Jhonson County Executive Airport got 2.75" of rain today, wow! Didn't think that much fell, its really hot!

2.75" at Jhonson County Executive Airport, so far.

NWS is predicting 1-2" more rain for us in Lee's Summit on Saturday. What do you guys think the chances are for tornados later today? Do you think we will go under a watch?
Audra

Closer to KC, looks like scattered thunderstorms are developing and increasing in number and intensity near the front to your southwest.  From their direction of movement, Kansas City looks to get hit with more heavy rain from these storms in the next couple of hours.

Good afternoon from wet and soggy Grandview.

Have been watching the progress of Hurricane Ike throughout the day from work.  Due to the communication ckt's that this storm is going to bring down, I will be a very busy person tommorrow at work.  Of course there's not much I can really do if the sites are (1) underwater and (2) no power....

The current rainfall for Grandview is sitting at 2.90 inches.

kcwxguy, thanks for the guidance.  Just trying to be optimistic that Ike will be less damaging if it passes east of Galveston than it will be if it stays on path for Galveston or San Luis Pass.

Thanks sedsinkc. That song, "rain drops keep falling on my head..." keeps going through my mind. :-)
Audra

SPC has no mesoscale discussions or weather watches at this time, except the tornado watch along the Gulf Coast associated with Ike.

about 1.80 in st jo, light rain at present, has been heavier at times during the day

I found the joke witty and edgy Notes.  No PC Police here, then again I'm listening to Opie & Anthony while I type.

Notes - I found it hysterical for what it was meant for..but was CYA for my response.

;-)

It took me a second to get it notes. It was amusing once I got it (I was not thinking music).
Audra

tornado warning issued for Henry and Johnson counties in W central Mo.

You have to be of a certain age to get that joke right away ...

So, are we done with rain? Looks like the rain shield is lifting to the north and whatever forms to the southwest might even slide to our NW.

National Weather Service has just issued a TORNADO WATCH for our area.

New blog entry.

I don't think we are done with the rain.

Tornado watch here in Lee's Summit.

NEW BLOG ENTRY

I THINK GARY LEZAK NEEDS TO USE HIS ESP RADAR MORE
AND STOP SHOWING THE STUPID GOLF COURSE

WE NEED TO SEE ALL CELLS NOT JUST THAT ONE

I AM VERY  DISSAPOINTED IN GARYS TORNADO COVERAGE
HE  HAS THE BEST EQUIPMENT AND CHOOSES A STUPID GOLF COURSE CAMERA
STOP IT ALREADY'
YOU ARE MY FAVORITE, BUT  YOU ARE BLOWING THIS ONE

The rain seems to have let up just a tad with a whopping 1.80" of rain so far.

Ray in East Lawrence