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Fascinating Pictures...Weekend Weather

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Another work week is done(for many)!  Time to discuss the weekend forecast and to update the our rainfall numbers so far this September.  Also, we'll look at some 'twisters' in space from the Hubble telescope.  These are awesome!

Let's start off by looking at our rainfall numbers so far this September at KCI.  This past Wednesday added about another 1.00" to our montly total at KCI.  The total for September now stands at 9.78".

Here's the breakdown of the wettest September's of all-time.

1.  16.17"  1914

2.  11.58"  1961

3.  11.34"  1977

4.  10.90"  1905

5.  1040"  1986

6.  9.78"  2008

Most of our nearly 10" of rain came during the first half of September.  Not only has it been very wet here but also in areas like Chicago which recorded record rainfall a couple of Saturday's ago.  My friend that works at KCI sent me this photo from O'Hare airport in Chicago from Saturday, September 13 when 6.64" of rain was recorded.  I guess they are taking the snow plows for a test run in advance of winter!

 

 

If you are wondering O'Hare has recorded 12.81" of rain so far this September!

Now it is time to look at maybe a first ever picture of 'twisters' in space!  This picture is courtesy of NASA from the Hubble telescope.  Here is the description of the picture from NASA:

This Hubble Telescope snapshot unveils a pair of one-half, light-year-long interstellar "twisters" -- eerie funnels and twisted-rope structures (upper left) -- in the heart of the Lagoon Nebula (M8) which lies 5,000 light-years from Earth in the direction of the constellation Sagittarius.

The hot, central star, O Herschel 36 (upper left), is the primary source of the illuminating light for the brightest region in the nebula, called the Hourglass. The glare from this hot star is eroding the clouds by heating the hydrogen gas in them, seen as a blue mist at the right of the image). This activity drives away violent stellar winds that are tearing into the cool clouds.

This is by far one of the most fascinating pictures from space I've ever seen.  Not only are the 'twisters' in the picture but just seeing the other stars in the distance thru the Nebula is pretty cool.

The weekend forecast looks pretty good right now.  Highs should be the warmest on Saturday with 82-84 in most areas.  Sunny to partly cloudy skies should be the rule, but late in the day a weakening front will give areas from St. Joe and points north a 20% chance of an isolated shower or t-storm.  The metro should stay dry though.

On Sunday I think everyone is dry with highs a few degrees cooler than Saturday.  Overall it should be a great weekend for those attending the races at the speedway and the fans at the Chiefs game. 

A bigger change may arrive by mid to late week as cooler air returns to the area.  This could push our highs back into the 60s for a couple of days.  The GFS and EURO both keep the coolest air over the Great Lakes and slide the trough east by next weekend.  So the really cool stuff(60s) shouldn't last too long.  Morning lows would likely drop into the 40s for a few mornings.  Depending on cloud cover, wind, and the position of the high some spots in Missouri...probably north could drop into the upper 30s.

Here is the 500mb forecast map from the 18Z GFS for early Friday.  Notice the large trough over the Great Lakes. 

This would likely produce the first lake-effect snow of the season for parts of the Great Lakes.  When I lived in Marquette, MI back in 2000 there was a 10"+ snowfall the first weekend of October.  So snow isn't uncommon in northern areas this time of year. 

Have a great weekend and please tell your friends and family about our blog and newscasts!  I'll update the blog as needed Saturday morning!  Thanks for making this the best blog around!

Jeremy

Published Friday, September 26, 2008 4:18 PM by Jeremy WxPlus

Comments

 

kcwxguy said:

mid October surprise?  Sounds familiar.
September 26, 2008 4:57 PM
 

weatherwyco said:

Wow Jeremy! That was an amazing photo for sure. Ok so Jeremy...just off the record what do you think the chances of having a frost soon are? Anything showing up yet in the models?

Bryan

***************

Bryan,

I don't think any 32 or lower temps are in the 7-10 day range.  But we'll have to watch the big pool of cold air that the GFS continues to advertise.  It looks like the brunt of the cold would be over the Great Lakes.  But the effects will still be felt here.  I think lows in the 40s...maybe upper 30s in spots by late in the week.  But a lot will hinge in wind/clouds/etc.

Jeremy

September 26, 2008 5:00 PM
 

StormWyndd said:

Hi, I was just trying to get on your website by nbcactionnews.com, and all that kept coming up was an error screen.  I finally found an old link and got through to the blog.  Anyway, you might want to check it out.
As for a frost??? yikes, I need a 5 day weekend if the frosts are coming in the next two weeks.  As for an Oct suprise, banish the thought... triple yikes!

*******************

If there was a problem with the site it seems fine now.

Jeremy

September 26, 2008 5:29 PM
 

NicoleWasHere said:

The second picture was totally rad.  I can't wait until it starts getting cooler, I'm tired of the heat, even though it isn't actually 'hot'... give me my snow.
September 26, 2008 11:09 PM
 

Zazel said:

Jeremy, it would seem that anything astronomical is lost on most people.  I mean really, the earth is flat and the center of the Universe!  As an avid reader of Astronomy magazine with an interest in astrophysics/cosmology and a super newb at using a small reflector telescope, I find the image of M8 awesome.  At least these "twisters" of are no concern to the immediate area and shouldn't start a huge debate about whether it's ok to cheer for severe weather!  

***************

Talk about continuous coverage!  I twister that is half a light year long!

Jeremy

September 26, 2008 11:55 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

The earth isn't flat?  Rats, I have to rework this whole LRC thing now!

:-|

Check out the upcoming wicked ridge...

Quite the blocky pattern this year.

***********

That link was messing things up on my end...too long I think.

Jeremy

September 27, 2008 12:03 AM
 

MCIRamp said:

Does it seem odd to anyone seeing coastal Maine under a hurricane watch?  I don't remember the last time such a watch was posted that far north.  I guess I just don't associate Maine with hurricanes, or have witnessed Canadian land-falling hurricanes.  Maybe it's just me... LOL!  I wonder if Cantore is on his way to Bar Harbor.
September 27, 2008 11:42 AM
 

MCIRamp said:

After surfing the net a little bit, I guess they do make their way up there on occasion.  I forgot about Hurricane Juan.  I guess the relative infrequency of those landfalling storms when compared with the Atlantic Basin just makes it seem that way.  Interesting indeed.
September 27, 2008 11:51 AM
 

MrSteve said:

Actually what the plows are doing is doing a squeegee of the ramp to get those deep accumulated pools of water out of the way so those jets can push back, not get stuck in water along with the push back vehicle. And keep the break linings as dry as possible and not suck up mass amounts of water into the engines during engine start up.

Pretty much routine.


September 27, 2008 12:15 PM
 

DPannell said:

Wow Jeremy what a perfect day!  Could be a tad bit warmer to suit me but for this time of year, I'll take it.  Definitely a Fall chill in the air this morning when I walked Windy at 5am.  The leaves are sure falling fast I raked for about an hour earlier and now it doesn't look like I did much at all.  I guess it's inevitable, Fall is here and Winter will follow, hoping and praying for a warm, dry Winter.  Have a great day!
deb in paola
September 27, 2008 12:24 PM
 

Nick Rau said:

ALIEN TORNADOES!!!
Go Figure,  well I think it is safe to say that Sean won't be chasing these...
Although I can see it now... "where no storm chaser has ever gone before"... LOL
And I won't even get into what EF level those would be!
September 27, 2008 12:55 PM
 

scully said:

When are all these cooler temps supposed to hit?  I am so sick of summer!  I worked outside a little this afternoon and am totally drenched in sweat and feel kind of ill.  
Whoever said she wants a warm dry winter-- I hope not! I need some relief from my severe allergies and several hard frosts to kill everything off.  
Please tell me 50s and 60s are coming soon.  

*************

Looks like the big trough is too far east to bring us much cool air.  It will be cooler this week...but probably not 50s or low 60s for highs.  Might be back in the 70s to near 80 range by next weekend.

Jeremy

September 27, 2008 4:21 PM
 

scully said:

But any idea when fall is coming?  The "real" fall?
September 27, 2008 5:08 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

Jeremy - do you remember when it was I gave you the specifics about mid October?  I think I remember mentioning 10-20 mean degrees cooler from the days proceeding and thought maybe I gave some 850mb temp estimates..but don't remember.

Do you?  I know you remember me making the claim, but can't find the specifics I named.  I am still holding to what I think, but want to look at the specifics of what we discussed.  Help?

Oh..and the age/pi answer was cute.  ;-).  I thought you might have gone for the equivalent of the highest 850mb temps we saw this summer.  About the same answer.

*****************

I just deleted a bunch of emails because my folder was reaching the limit.  I'll look at the ones I still have.  I don't remember what you said but if you find it somewhere let everyone know.  This week doesn't look too cool. 

Jeremy

September 27, 2008 6:05 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

"real" Fall is right around the corner, scully.  Let's talk about it after mid month.

;-)
September 27, 2008 6:06 PM
 

marlina10 said:

The weather has been pretty amazing lately, we've been keeping our windows open all the time, and it gets cool enough at night, but not too cool, so our place doesn't get too hot.
September 27, 2008 6:21 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

It was in a blog somewhere...oh well

*************

You can still tell us what you said...mid October is still about 3 weeks away.

Jeremy

September 27, 2008 6:30 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

Not as fun now as it is showing up on the models. [sorta]  I had mentioned based on what I think the new pattern is we should get a deep trough with temps 10-20 degrees below the previous days [mean temps].  I had thought we would see a stretch of 4-6 days possibly like this.  

I was thinking [though not sure I posted it] we would see 850 temps in the 0- -6 range.  

Not as sure about the 850 temps, but certainly was sure about the first plunge of real cold air about that timeframe.  It would mirror the first week of September.

If you remember, you wanted me to be very specific as I hold you all to being specific.

We shall see.

*****************

Weren't the first 2 days of September really warm?  Is that cold air you reference suppose to be over KC or somewhere else?  You are talking October right?

Jeremy

September 27, 2008 7:53 PM
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