Good afternoon everyone,
Our first measurable rain of October is about to happen for everyone. A band of showers and possibly a few thunderstorms will move across our region later this afternoon and evening. There may be additional periods of rain into Tuesday. We will have all of the details on NBC Action News at 5, 6, and 10 PM tonight.
Wow, that was a ridiculously light band of rain showers. There are a few other bands of showers widely scattered through the viewing area, but it is not impressive at all.
The new data on the weekend storm developing over the west has trended with the European model solution. The storm will likely dig hard into the western United States, and if this happens it will be strikingly different than what has happened during the past year. The LRC 2007-2008 would dig this storm and slide it into the Rockies. So, if it indeed does close off over the southwestern United States it would be a strong indication of something different starting to happen. I lean in this new GFS solution as it agrees with the ECMWF and Canadian models. This would slow down the cold front and we would warm up dramatically later this week into the weekend. I will go into much more detail tonight at 10 PM and in the blog Tuesday morning. Brett Anthony will be covering these new developments on NBC Action News beginning at 5 AM.
Gary