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Good evening everyone! I was at a wedding yesterday so hopefully everyone had a chance to see Gary make a cameo on the weekend morning show! Outside of the getting up early part...I think he had fun:)
Let's discuss the weather! Sunday marked the 4th consecutive day with highs in the 70s in Kansas City. At least 2 more days with highs in the 70s are expected. I did a quick look back at past Novembers that started with 3 or 4 consecutive days in the 70s. This isn't unheard of...but the years I dug up pre-1910 that are like this year are 2005, 2001, 1987, 1978, 1964, & 1914. So it is probably safe to say the first 4 days of this month will rank somewhere in the top 10 warmest starts to a November.
Conditions will likely change by Wednesday as dew points will increase as a storm heads our way. Wednesday is somewhat tricky because low or mid level clouds could limit our daytime heating, but with a south-southwest wind at the surface any sun could quickly jump us to around 70. Sometime later Wednesday into early Thursday showers and thunderstorms will head in our direction. The SPC does have most of our viewing area outlined as a location that could see severe weather. This is still at least 3 days out...so let's wait until Monday or Tuesday before we try to pin down the details. Just like early Spring, the question marks will be dew points, frontal locations, ULL position, and timing of the storms in relation to severe weather chances. Here is the 500mb forecast map for late Wednesday with the ULL located to our west-northwest.
At the very least I hope we can pick up at least a 0.25" or more of rain. After the heavy rain from about 2 weeks ago...we have been dry here in the metro.
Behind the storms much cooler air will return to the area. Maybe a day in the 40s is in the cards by later this week!
Enjoy Monday and the mid to upper 70s that will be around the region! We will probably fall about 3 or 4 degrees shy of a record high. Winds will be gusty during the afternoon with some gusts around 30 mph.
Jeremy