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NOOO! Not DrySlot!! NOt Above freezing, I wish I was north!

Are you still expecting the temps to plunge on Sunday?

Dont think it will warm enough where i am

Gary,

Good Evening Sir from Kansas City, Kansas. Currently we are now sitting at 32 with a moderate rain coming down, have ice covering everything outside at the moment, but would imagine that by 9 P.M. or so we will be melting a lot of that off with the warm air that is poised and ready to make an assult on the Kansas City area.

By the way...what happened to the snowfall that was forecast for the weekend? All the sudden the 7 day looks very boring? I thought it would stay busy at least for the upcoming week.

Bryan

I am now Canceling the ICE STORM WATCH that I issued Tuesday evening...Why do we always end up with dryslots?!?!?

34 in Paola right now, no precipitation falling right now.  I took Windy out for a run at 4:00 and the rain that did fall was helping to melt off our snow cover thank heavens!  It's has warmed up 2 degrees since that run =))))).

NO melting pleasssseeee

Temps are rising here.... BOOO!!!!!! 33.6 now..... gah! i wish i was north too andrew...

Well, I'm glad their ice storm wasn't too bad...

Gary still no real warm up here in McLouth.  At 7:30 it was 28.7, now it is 28.9 pressure is still falling currently at 29.82 and our winds have gone calm.  We are roughly 300' to 500' higher than all of you, how much difference do you think that might make?  Down in Topeka and Lawrence they have hit 32, but they have been there since well before sundown.  Warmest ever got here today was 29.4 at 2:30PM.  So I guess we will wait and see.  We still have freezing drizzle that isn't showing up on radar.

I SAID DRY SLOT FIRST NANANANA

lets hope, cause it's solid ice on my street here in Leavenworth.  

I rather have a ice storm than melting snow. ugghhh!

Good call on the warming...it does appear that most of the area will get above 32 pretty soon...

The drizzle we got here was just enough to glaze most elevated surfaces, but only wet the snow (rather than turning it into crunchy ice) - just enough moisture added to that dry, fluffy snow to make it more packable so that we were able to make our first snowman of the year.

lol i will give stjoelawyer props, he did say dryslot... *sigh* well now i dont even have a christmas eve storm to look forward too... the models are just all over the place

yuck, look at those 40a and 50s

Dont see any dry slot..... coming down pretty good here and temp is at 28.4 and hasnt moved in a while. Ice covering sidewalks, driveway, and trees

119th & Ridgeview in Olathe 33 deg. with drizzle. Gotta love that warm surge/dryslot baby!

I see parts of South Dakota are in a Blizzard Watch again.  Looks like Iowa will get in on that storm AFTER they have their snowstorm tonight.  Meanwhile here we are with no major snowstorm in sight for now anyway...

Temperature is 31 north of Smithville and ice is accumulating FAST!!!

I don't want it to rain, rain and freezing rain STILL and its 33.1 degrees. Snow melts we're water drops fall from trees hit it. Very windy too.

Dry slot good if you don't want the snow to melt as fast!

True, flakefan

29.8 in leavenworth everything is pretty slick be careful and there is a glaze on the trees with light freezing mist.

I'm sad that the chance for snow on Christmas Eve disappeared from the forecast. Bring it back!!!

Anyone that wants an ice storm...come on up!  We would love for you to experience no heat, no lights, and depression the week before Christmas.  I would gladly trade places...luckily very little ice right now here in St. Joe...have some on sidewalks and driveway...roads look a little slushy...but luckily (and thanking God right now) we still have power and heat...praying that stays the case...

don't mean to be rude but last year was not a fun experience for anyone living up here unless you were the lucky few to not lose power...I am praying for those in the northeast that may still be out of power after their ice storm

32.8 here still.  

Strasburg, MO

28 still lite rain. . . can hear it hit the snow.  . streets turning white. . . .

I thought Lezak's theory called for a snow on Christmas eve?

-----------------

Don't rule it out yet!

Gary

so is anymore precip going to form out of this?

I remember the ice storm we had here on the south side a few years ago.  It must have been 2002 or 2003 maybe.  I'm sure someone here knows the year.  We were without power for 4 or 5 days, had to go stay with my dad in Belton who had a fire place just so we could stay warm.  I lost all my fish.  :(    Some had to go without power longer than that.  It really does suck and not something I wish on anyone ever but especially the week before Christmas and even more so now as it is going to get deadly cold this weekend.

stjoemom  I feel for ya.  Hang in there, maybe it wont be that bad this time.  ((((hugs))))

Some folks just like the excitement of it all and most of them just want out of school or work anyways.  :)   They are not wishing for destruction though.  

ice storms north of KC instead of south.....Lcr is backwards???...

whats up?

I'm hoping for no snow and calm weather the Friday after Christmas and through the weekend.  We are traveling home to Lincoln for our family Christmas : )  GO WARMER TEMPS!

I've been experimenting with the new radar a bit and I like it, I am glad you guys added that. now I can zoom in and out and see bigger perspectives than just what esp had.

Any snow-lover who wants to be jealous, take a look at the radar out of chicago...a massive wave of very heavy snow heading towards chicago like an inevitable wave. Their forecast says they'll have a foot of it by tomorrow evening.

Brent,

Radar trends have had the bulk of the precipitation from this storm system across areas to our south, but the temperatures are much warmer there. If it was colder there, than the bulk of ice accumulation would be across the ozarks and up in southern Iowa.

well as of right now in st joseph still lite freezing rain i live in a townhome complex down a hill till they get salt out there is no way out.its a sheet of ice interstate 29 is ice covered as of the last hour state patrol has closed i-29 north of st joe rerouteing traffic onto side state roads to 71 highway south due to accidents state trucks are saying in many areas around st joseph are very slick.

So when is it supposed to get warmer? Hasnt changed at all here...

Live Chat

www.lrcweather.com

Jeremy needa a Breath mint

Ok folks here comes the warmer air.  It has gone from 32.8 to 33.2.  That is on the south side of the metro anyways.

I will agree with what some people have said already, andrew and others, please, don't wish for an ice storm.. I LOVE almost all types of weather, aside from ice storms. I've been through two major ice storms. they are NOT fun in any way shape or form! last year's ice storm devestated parts of northern missouri and cost millions of dollars. so please, andrew and others, dont be wishing an ice storm on any one

We are mmmeeeelllltttttinnnnggg down here. Yuck....we are a big slushy mess!! I want that cold air back real soon. I like it that way. I sure hope the northern folks can escape the power outages this time.....how depressing the week before Christmas. Ughhh!! Yes ice is pretty as long as it does not get real thick. The frost this morning was pretty enough....who needs the ice. Have a good night..
Monica
Pleasanton, KS

I just got out of basketball at 9 and the parking lot was a icy mess and so were the side streets in Grain Valley.  My driveway had icy slush as well and I pre-treated the driveway today.  

34.0  

doesnt seem like there is very much melting here on K hwy between 152 and 45 hwy.  Feels pretty cold out there ice covering everything.
becky

Bloggers and Gary,
It has been brought to my attention someone used my screename in lrcchat. and said some bad things about a local meteorologist I would never say anything to immitate or call anyone names as a loyal blogger and chatroom user my heart has always been with nbcaction weather team we need to be able to have a password to get in the chat so that will not happen anymore I hope u find the person who did this because this makes me feel bad and I feel really aweful about it.

Bring on the warm temps.  I can see the warm air coming in around Christmas and staying for a few days and I for one am ready for it.

With the temps fluctuating do we know if there will be refreezing before the drive to work?

Still have light freezing rain/drizzle falling. Temperature is up to 30 though. I don't know if we will make it above freezing. I did step outside and it is very slick. I heard a car trying to get somewhere but wasn't getting too far. I'm guessing it was trying to get up the hill and couldn't because you could here the tires spinning.  No word on schools in St. Joe yet.  All the surrounding areas have begun canceling classes for tomorrow.  *fingers crossed* I would like to have an extra day for Christmas break.

AN INTENSIFYING WINTER STORM WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT ICING AS WELL AS
  HEAVY SLEET THROUGH THE EVENING FROM NEB/KS EWD ACROSS MO/IL INTO
  IND. THE MOST DANGEROUS CONDITIONS WILL EXIST ACROSS NRN MO...SRN
  IA...AND CNTRL IL WITH ICING RATES OF 0.10-0.25 IN/HR POSSIBLE.
 
  WINTER PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY EXPAND ACROSS THE CNTRL
  PLAINS AND MO VALLEY AHEAD OF A POTENT UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH. 00Z
  SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED THE FREEZING LINE EXTENDING FROM CNTRL KS
  EWD TO JUST S OF KANSAS CITY...COLUMBIA MO AND INTO ST LOUIS.
  PRECIPITATION RATES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE GENERALLY ALONG AND N
  OF THE SFC FREEZING LINE AS IT SHIFTS NWD TO AN FNB TO UIN LINE BY
  06Z.
 
  STRONG...DEEP SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT AS WELL AS LOW LEVEL ISENTROPIC
  LIFT/FRONTOGENESIS ON THE NOSE OF AN INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL JET WILL
  COMBINE WITH ELEVATED CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE BURSTS OF
  THUNDERSLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WITH THUNDER. 00Z TOP SOUNDING SHOWED
  OVER 300 J/KG MUCAPE ROOTED AROUND 850 MB SUGGESTING EVEN SOME SMALL
  HAIL IS POSSIBLE. THE LARGEST QPF AMOUNTS SHOULD OCCUR ACROSS SRN
  IA...NRN MO...INTO CNTRL IL WHERE RATES OF 0.25 IN/HR ARE LIKELY AT
  TIMES.


This is the current MD out that included Platte and Clay counties and of course to the north....
becky

Don't complain too much people, we've only got 1 inch of snow and rain so far this year!

I'll cheer for winter weather after the holidays, but I'm hoping for a respite for the next week to allow for easier travel.

We were originally planning to drive up to Minnesota Sunday, but the southern-half of the state is supposed to get at least a foot of snow between now and then.

Our backup date was Tuesday night, but it looks like there might be snow around KC that day.

To tie that into our weather situation - even though our cold air was pushed north today, it doesn't seem like the cold is going to be gone for long.

I say that because with the weather events just a few hundred miles to our north, I assume that weather would have drifted southward if not for today's warm air coming in from the south? (though I suppose the bad weather to the north of here is only able to produce that weather because of the warm air and gulf moisture...)

Jeremy. You still need a Breathment.

bewild im up in platte county what are they saying for up here? its only 29 here and freezing rain is coming down pretty good

Wow, that MD is just wild.

An ice storm with nearly 500 j/kg?!?! Thats insane....

I know that most of us missed this, but this storm is just fascinating. Its a real powerhouse and going to cause some REAL problems for alot of people arcoss the midwest and northeast.

And yes, Im driving to Minneapolis tomorrow and will be there until monday. Blizzards watches have been posted for their area Saturday and Sunday.

I cant imagine what that is going to be like. Hopefully Ill get some pictures.. ;)

"DEEP SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT AS WELL AS LOW LEVEL ISENTROPIC
 LIFT/FRONTOGENESIS ON THE NOSE OF AN INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL JET WILL
 COMBINE WITH ELEVATED CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE BURSTS OF
 THUNDERSLEET"

Thundersleet - that's an AC/DC tune, right?  ;-)

Apparently there is just horsplaying going on in that chatroom so I will stay in here for right now and talk about the weather. Right now I have 30 in leavenworth and still some light freezing mist going on.

Stepped outside to take our basset hound out. Even though it's now 33 degrees here in Mission, the sidewalks are still a slick, slushy mess. I think the people who didn't drive their cars today will have fun scraping a nice layer of ice off their windshields tomorrow morning.

OPI. Its Thunderstruck

Yes there is

Christmas Eve could be interesting :)

pmccabe58
the only thing I know is what was showed in that MD.  I noticed that we were included in it. (I am also in Platte.)  I know its cold outside and still freezing drizzle.  There is a build up of frozen/slushy ice on our street and everything outside is covered in ice.  I dont have a thermometer so I have no idea what the temp is outside.  I know I am warm in the house lol.
becky

Hi all I am new to this blog but I just wanted to tell   stjoemom   thank you for your prayers for the folks in the northeast, My niece and her family is still without power and they are calling for a possible 8 inches of snow on top of the mess they already have.   Thank you again stjoemom.

Gary, I have watched your forecast for YEARS... I am in Lee's Summit and the temp here is 34, with a few slick spots on sidewalks and the roads are not to bad..

Im currently sitting at 29.6 and havent changed in 2 hours... So we could be getting a pretty good ice storm? and can you put the link up that shows the MD?

I am confused cuz the MD is saying different than what Gary is saying....Not doubting Gary at all, I just dont want anymore ***.

Hey Gary any way you could let me know whats going to happen up here in Platte county? Please Please Please

32 in leavenworth the ice is starting to melt :) that is a relief.

Wow just jumped up to 30.9 degrees in like ten mins

pmccabe58,
I posted the MD not long ago just scoll up to find it. =)

Anyone notice the 00z GFS has us back in heavy snow Tuesday? :-)

If you buy the latest GFS - flooding also looks likely to our south just south of the I-44 corridor.

DANG I wish we could have a snowstorm with 4-5" of QPF move through - in cold air that could be 50"+ of snow....

(Reality check - this is Kansas City).

Everybody got their wish :( I hope to get my 1-2' of snow now

So there really is a chance of a snow storm on tuesday?????

 chfs327 said:
Jeremy needa a Breath mint
*-*-*-*-*--**--**-*-*--*--------
Gary, Somebody else needs to be banned, I think

WOW!

How long does this progressive pattern last??

That 0Z GFS keeps the major storm train rolling right on through new years with a new storm about every 36-60 hours...

Yay! Thats exciting Adam

Andrew. It isnt my fault he needs one. XD

Next week Looks exciting. I dont really wanna sit at arrowhead for 3 hours with Wind Chill 20-30 below.

Anyone ready to take votes on how cold it will get Monday morning? I'm thinking -9 F north of the river.

So I guess my big question is about the probable refreeze tomorrow.  If I wanted to avoid the real potential of running into the ice, how late would I have to wait to go into work?

Also, will the interstates run a risk of being treacherous, or mainly side streets?

I think it will be too warm throughout the night to cause any refreeze on the roads by morning.

i hear the melting of ice, but it is more slick than ever tonight.  it appears to still be freezing in spots, yet melting in others.  right on the line i guess...

OK, the new interactive maps are way cooler than I realized. I just zoomed in on my old street in California and my folks place about 20 minutes from my old house, a.k.a. in the boonies. Way cool! I never knew that the elevation at my old house was 1400 feet above sea level and my folks place is at approx 2400 feet (that is prob. the hill behind the house). I mean, I knew that it was a way cool interactive map for our area, I just did not think I could lurk in other states. Two thumbs way up! Now I'm going to look up family on the East coast! :-)

At 10 'til midnight, holding at 28 degrees in Maryville.  Light precip is falling, and the lights have started to flicker :(

I found it rather funny that some other weather stations said it will get up to 58 by 1 or 2 in the morning.  Man how can they be that far off???   Another station is saying almost 60 on x-mas day...

I learned my lesson, I am here to stay where they seem to know whats going on at least!

Well here in McLouth we finally hit 32 at 11:30PM, our pressure at 29.4 is starting to climb now.  We have very dense fog, visibility is at about 100 feet.

LIVE CHAT IS OFF FOR THE NIGHT :(

wow! temps have really increased! I have currently, 36.8 here in southern leawood... I really like that new model forecast! I think its incredible how much snow chicago is getting, i lived there for 5 years and i remember some years it wouldnt all melt until march... but here the snow is already melting, lol

Btw, im seeing really dense fog out the window with rather wet streets, but no precip is falling...

OH and i thought this was interesting

http://nowdata.rcc-acis.org/EAX/pubACIS_results

Record daily snowfall at Olathe Exec. for the 17th with 2.5 inches! lol

The rain is picking up again in Louisburg. There is a persistent and gusting wind from the WSW. However, we still have slush and much of our snow has been washed away this evening.

Sorry I don't have a temperature reading.

Some light rain/freezing rain here in St. Joe, my digital thermometer is reading 33.1 degrees... but during the big storm we had last year the ice kept accumulating even as my digital thermometer hit 33.4-33.8 range so I am guessing we are still capable of accumulating more ice, although at least it does not look like a massive event thankfully.

Temps are rising crazily here!! For about the past 15 minutes, the temp has been going up about a degree a minute here in Lenexa. We just went from 34 to 46 since about 12:45!!!!!!! And the fog has gotten really thick too. Can barely see across the street.

David

The low must be moving through. Winds are gusting strongly and the sky has cleared. Didn't know we where suppose to have 30+ MPH wind gusts!!

-La Cygne, KS

wow the warm air is pushing in hard now,  its warmer than they said it would be...
Lets hope for a heavy cold push by morning!

David it's 45.7 her e !! This is Crazy!

Why don't we have a Dense Fog Advisory??

Well the fog has suddenly cleared out now, and the temp is getting close to 50!!! Currently at 48.3, but still going up!! Crazy night!

David

or a better question is how did this slip past gary and the crew!  

olathe shows 47 now... wow this is crazy... talk about a major let down!

hmm, so I wonder what this does to the forecast for the next 7 days.

Temps haven't budged for a while now, still at 48.4, but I just noticed that the sky is suddenly perfectly clear. Wasn't expecting that either. Oh, and I just noticed that Wichita's temp has tanked from 48 down to 37, so the cold front is on the move now!

David

Looking at the current temps its like we are surrounded by cold weather, should be interesting if it hits us by morning.  yea its clear here in olathe as well

Here is the front: http://www.wunderground.com/swf/Rapid_Fire.swf?units=english&station=KKSOLATH16

David it's an occluded Front!!

I wonder if the cold front is strong enough to overtake the warm air to be a true occluded front...  Any thoughts?

Temps are starting to drop! 47.1 here

Its amazing, almost all of our snow is gone now. Just a couple of hours ago our yard was completely white! Temps fallen back to 47.5, and the wind has picked up now. Andrew, I see your weather station, were you trying to post something else? Because you said here is the front.

David

a warm dry slot!

oops! I was meaning the front was on my door step!!

I live in Hutchinson and at 7:00 PM we had 3 inches of snow on the ground. By 11PM almost all the snow had melted from the yards and all the side streets that were snowpacked were virtually dry!

Andrew, what weather station do you have, I bought one last year that has wind/rain/temp etc but it does not hook to my pc. I want something I can access like this.

thx
Jereme

Okay, ya that makes more sense! Lol, I see you temps are dropping now too. I have to admit, as much as I didn't want the snow to melt, it was pretty cool to see the temps go up that fast, and now fall again. Wind sure is howling now!! Cold air is surging back in!

David

I have a LaCrosse Technology WS-2310

Yea snow is gone in olathe now and that is a major bummer.  

Winds have also been gusting from the west between 40-50 mph in the last 2-3 hours!

Rstull,

I see Hutch is now below freezing already, what did you get up to before the front came through?

David

yep, come on in COLD AIR!

Just west of Topeka they are in the low 30's.  I haven't seen a drop in Olathe yet we seem to be holding steady at 48.

DWX,

I went to sleep around 11:30 and shortly thereafter the winds came up and were so strong that the fence was shaking and our swing had toppled over. A real crazy weather night!

we were almost to 50 but getting colder here in kck, it was nice while it lasted. I'm glad I work nights and got to experience it or i'm not sure I would have believed it. What is my drive home in the morning going to involve?

yea I work nights as well, been watching all this happen and this is wild.  Since I moved to Kansas the weather here has always amazed me at the extremes and how fast it can change on you.   wild

I go to sleep with snow on the ground... then wake up to wind and POOF! There goes my white Christmas its 43 here in Overland Park the dogs a barking the wind is a rockin, and i'm going back to bed to dream of a white christmas!!!  

The wind just picked up huge here in Gardner where I work.. Its howling outside now...lol