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   Is already 60 degrees at JoCo Airport! My snow piles are about 1.5 ftt deep that I made two weeks ago that started 3-6ft deep. Great day to go see Dialog in The Dark! Happy Warmidays!

Now this is the weather I like!  =)

I now feel important...I got one of those weather reporting station things and now I can tell everyone what the temp is at my house.  I think I may get an upgrade to it to at wind and the rain gauge for my b day in a couple of months.  I cant tell you what the temp is at my house right now though because, unfortunately, I am at work today.  But that is ok, my arm needed a break from the Wii!  lol
becky

What is the possibility for severe weather such as high winds/hail around the La Cygne area?

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Very low probability of severe weather as the front should get passed you early on Saturday!

Gary

Gary,

Thank you for the nice break from cold weather. I see this as primarily a rain event for us in the metro with some wet snow near the end of the event in the deformation zone. I see less than 1" of snow here in southern Johnson County before the system passes off to the east/northeast. Northwest Missouri will likely see more snow from this system than we do.

A belated happy holidays to everyone on the weather team...

Bob

Farmgirl I don't know what Gary thinks your chances are, but here is a look at what the NWS thinks, mose over the hail and wind links to look at your chances.  You in a risk area;

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

heavy RAIN event?......this is so stupid...wheres the snow?

Hey Gary....really, I'm sorry to bother you about this yet AGAIN, but I thought I'd check for your thoughts one more time before heading up to Lincoln for my family's Christmas later this morning.

From what you are seeing, what do you think this storm will do for areas between
KC and north to Nebraska/Iowa (or more specifically, from KC up I29 and to Lincoln, NE)?  If it does minor accumulation here, but looks to dump a bunch of snow up near the MO/Iowa border or points north/northwest, then my travel back from Lincoln on Sunday could still be a bit tricky.  Just wondering if the heaviest snow currently looks to be more south of the KC metro, or north?

And thanks again for all the hard work you and your team put into giving us not only the most accurate forecast, but constantly giving us the most updated information. Your passion and enthusiasm for the weather is really a huge benefit for us here in KC.  I know the people at work are tired of hearing me say, "Well Gary said...".

Happy New Year to you all!

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Leaving today and coming back Sunday will be no problem at all.  Sunday will be sunny.  And, the best chance of snow is where they keep getting it way up in northern Iowa northward. 

Gary

Warm air can hold much more moisture than cold air - this is a classic example :-)

Hmm, NAM is much more bullish on snow than the GFS, which basically gives us nothing....

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Rdub,

I would side strongly with the GFS!

Gary

I'm headed to Minnesota, where the snowpack ranges from 2ft. to 3.5ft. I hope this cursed warm up won't impact much up there, because I was looking forward to NewYears in an ice-box. GARY-HOW DOES THE WEATHER LOKK FOR EMMONS,MN?

I'm disappointed...I was hoping we would get a good snow storm out of this, not boring 'ol rain. I think this is going to be a bad winter for snow lovers.

Good day-after-Christmas to you GARY!

Wow ! What a ride we have been on !
60's today, 30's tomorrow. Crazy!

Here is some of what is going on in other parts of the country:

The mountains around Lake Tahoe received about 2 feet of snow, bringing totals at some resorts in the past two weeks to 10 feet.
"This is one of the snowiest Christmas holiday periods I can remember," said Kent Hoopingarner, general manager at Homewood Mountain Resort.

In New Mexico, San Juan County got up to 5 inches of snow for its first white Christmas in 11 years, the weather service said.

Snow and ice weren't the only problems. The weather service confirmed that it was two small tornadoes on Christmas Eve that caused scattered damage in Alabama.
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Don't you wish you were at Tahoe right now?
(but we are glad you are here to keep bringing us the most accurate forecasts!)
Have a good weekend Gary !

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Yes, I wish I was there!  I have been there for some huge snows.  I miss it.

Gary

Gary Says..."I would side strongly with the GFS!"

I'm really glad to hear that, since I am having a dinner party and don't want my guests to have to worry about driving in snow...sorry, snow lovers....

GARY,
I forgot to ask. According to AccuWeather, if we warm up above 63 today, it would break the record for the date, set in 1954.
Is that right?

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Yes, the record high for today is 63. I will add it to the top of the blog.  We should break it.

Gary

Very surprising that we are finally expecting to get hit with a big storm here in Kansas City, and the temperatures will prevent it from being snow at one of the coldest times of the year.  This never seems to happen.  Things always fall in place for us to get hit with big snowstorms, but I guess this is the one exception to the rule.  For once, it's just not coming together for us.  This is really shocking.  Oh well, I'm sure the next one will hit us head on, and we may even get up to 1" of snow out of that one.  Then things will really get exciting...  (A bit frustrated at this point...)

Guess we knew it wasn't good when Gary never added to his early morning blog from yesterday.  I'm pretty sure he's just as frustrated as the rest of us snow lovers though....Oh well....

Have a good one.

Matt

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Matt,

Yes it is frustrating.  I am with you on that. But, there is nothing we can do. It certainly has been exciting. And, things change fast so let's keep tracking this storm closely.  Also, the potential continues for the next few weeks to have many more chances.  We aren't in the right spot in this years LRC, but it doesn't mean it won't all come together at least once.

Gary

Any chance of Gary revising his winter forecast for snow totals down a bit? I think he may have overshot them this year...

Gary,

On a more serious note, I do have a question for you.  If the storm coming through in the next 36 hours were to come through with temperatures between 25-30 degrees, how much snow would you expect us to receive?  Let's assume we receive 1.5" of rain out of the storm from 10:00 this evening to 3:00 tomorrow afternoon.  How much snow would that translate to?  I'm not talking about ratio's here or anything, that I get.  What I'm trying to figure out is whether we would still be likely to squeeze out the same 1.5" of moisture in the time period, if it all fell as snow.  I understand that the warmer it is, the more moisture the atmosphere can hold, but is that the only factor?  I guess the simplest way to ask my long drawn out question is, assuming we receive 1.5" of moisture out of this storm, how much moisture would you expect it to deliver if temps were in the upper 20's, with all other variables in this storm remaining constant with current projections?  Sorry if I rambled..

Thanks,

Matt

Thanks for sharing the pictures of Stormy, Breezy and their friends!  They're all so cute =).  The little dogs (Hoss and Popeye) are loving this weather, first time they've been outside for any length of time, I think they're hoping for an early Spring ;).  Cloudy, breezy and warm here, 62 degrees and very humid, the air is thick with moisture, I'm sure glad it's not below freezing with these winds and the rain that is coming.  I have one more week of vacation time before going back to school, sure would like some sunshine to go with these warmer temperatures, maybe a little "beach-like" weather????  A girl can dream can't she?  Have a great day everyone.
--deb

Is it time to reconsider snow forecast totals for this winter season? It looks like another season for totals to be less than a normal year (<20 inches).

Dave

Oh sure...no snow worth measuring but flooding rains is possible, go figure. Oh well it is what it is!! The temp down here is 67 and man does it feel awesome. Kinda is a teaser for Spring...even though winter just got started. The wind is really strong. What I like best about today is all 3 girls are outside...woo hooo!! The trampoline is getting used and my yougest is checking out her scooter Santa brought her. LOL!! Have a great day everyone. Enjoy the nice weather....the ax will fall again soon!! :o)
Monica
Pleasanton, KS

71 degrees in winfield,ks right now,can you say spring!!!!!

Wow, went to bed it was a white Christmas... woke up and It's Easter!!!!!   Our official low less then 48 hours ago was 0 yes 0 at Rosecrans, and now it is over 60 degrees, you can hear the pot-holes forming now!

3 days until the NEW ACTION WEATHER PLUS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

It's awesome outside!  I usually let my neighbor's dogs out while she is working...  While it was cold, they ran right outside and did their business.  Today the dogs loved being outside!  My little dogs love it too.

Kristi  

Gary,

Were planning on driving to St. Louis tomorrow night probably around  9pm.  What time is it supposed to snow?  Should I be preparing for a long drive in the snow?

Thanks,
Melanie

Breezy is just about the most gorgeous thing I've ever seen in my life.  May I have her please? :)

Too bad about not getting much snow tomorrow but it feels so nice outside that I don't care, as long as we do get back to the winter weather soon!!!

119th and Ridgeview in Olathe its 65 breezy and almost muggy! Furnace is off! Windows are open, this is AWESOME!

Hmmmm.... I think the seed catalog companies must watch Gary! I got 4 seed/flower catalogs today to dream about spring flowers and vegetables. How appropriate to recieve them on a Spring like day.

Oh, I think we may get a bit more snow than advertised, but still not that big of a deal.  Unless Gary see's something I don't, there's pretty much nothing for a week.  After the first week of Jan, it does look to get exciting again, but probably not like December--until February....

Was just outside feeling the bizarre warmth... then something happened that, well, as far as I am concerned is just wrong...
I SAW A BEE!! the day after CHRISTMAS!! I'm sorry but there are no bees around Christmas, that's just wrong;)
Snow in Vegas and Malibu and now Christmas bees in Northern Missouri... arrrrg!

farmgirl, I've collected seed catalogs for about 30 years and they always come out between Christmas and New Year's.  They always have me dreaming of planting on a warm spring night with thunderstorms hovering around....  And the crops never look like the perfect pics which drive me crazy.....  I got one catalog today...

A bee?? That is crazy....:o)

up to 67 at my house in Lee's Summit.

Im going to take a stab and guess that some part(likely extreme southern)of our viewing area will be under some sort of severe weather watch later today.

Possibly even a tornado watch. This is pretty wild today....

So I have a question.  I got a Weather Channel Weather Station for Christmas.  It has the Windvane, the hygrometer and rain gauge on it.  Its wireless so I cant go too far from the house...but what is the best way to put one of these items up at your house.  I would like the readings to be somewhat accurate, meaning I dont want shade to interfere with the temperature, wind speed at a somewhat unobstructed level.  Is there a website out there anywhere with tips on what to do to make this a good get for christmas?  Would love to try to chart things with this.

So the chance for snow is completely gone??????????

So the chance for snow is completely gone??????????

KCGladstone....The best way is to put the aneometer at least 5' above the roof line. The temp if not shielded, should always be in the shade.  You check out my tips for weather station installations here: http://kclongrangeweather.com/7.html

KCGlad...you do want shade for your thermometer, actually. Temperature is always measured in the shade...

Looks like the NWS has shifted the severe weather area a bit north as of 2 PM. Appears most of the tornadic stuff would stay down by Springfield and Joplin. Maybe some hail for us?

New NAM puts the line of storms forming a bit farther north and west, if it plays out K.C. could get some heavy downpours, even we will be close in St. Joe(if it plays out) ;)

Your dogs sure are pretty!! My little white mini amercian eskimo would look great with them. She is as white as snow...getting a little old now, she will be 11 in February. Looks like the models are favoring a bigger rain event for me than they were thinking this am. Maybe even further north will get in the action too. Weird weather!!!
Monica
Pleasanton, KS

The SPC is still saying that the worst of storms will be south of here.  There is not much of a chance of the snow being as bad as it was originally thought is there?  Oh....wait.. this is KC...there is no tellin huh?  lol
becky

Looks like that latest GFS gives us quite a bit of rain! Approaching 1.5" for the east side of the metro.
Up to an inch on the west side. Not sure about severe weather, but the SPC does have a portion of the metro, mainly south of a Topeka to KCI line in the slight risk area.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_p48_054m.gif
http://weather.kskoellers.com/Radar/radarlocal.php (look for green line)

David

Oops, new blog! lol

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