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Good Sunday bloggers! I hope you enjoyed the snow yesterday morning, because the 'chinook' or snow eating winds erased our white ground very fast! Highs topped out in the mid to upper 40s yesteday, and I think today will be about about like yesterday or slightly milder with no snow.
Before the snow melted, Windy in Paola had a chance to play in the wintry fun. Thank you to Deb Pannell for sharing the picture!
The next several days will be fascinating from the standpoint that Kansas City will right on the edge of a broad area of low pressure. The upper level low is going to linger over the Great Lakes and spin a couple of back door fronts and disturbances in our direction. The first little weak front will head into our area late today. This may turn our winds a little more NNW versus WNW. Also, highs will likely be a couple degrees cooler by Monday.
For today, clouds will likely return sometime late in the afternoon, but any flurries or snow showers should stay closer to central Missouri. Our best snow chance will occur later Monday or Monday night as a vort max drops southeast in the northwest flow aloft. On the map below the 'x' over Iowa is the disturbance that will give us a chance of snow showers or flurries, and also reinforce the coolish air through Tuesday. Also, I labeled the ULL off the West Coast that could may bring us some rain/snow later in the week. The map is the 500mb forecast from the 6Z GFS.
With the back door fronts making it to Kansas City or just west, our viewing area will be right on the edge of the warm air and the chilly air. Just look at the forecast temperatures on Monday, as highs will be in the 50s and 60s over the western Plains.
The warm air will eventually win out and move in by Wednesday. Highs should be in the 50-60 degree range on Wednesday and Thursday. The best chance of reaching 60 will be on Wednesday. The warm-up will occur out ahead of our next storm system which should arrive later Thursday or on Friday. The models will be all over the place the next 2-3 days, likely showing a big storm, no storm, and somewhere in between. We believe this is the repeat of late November, and as a result this storm should bring Kansas City some precipitation. We will be adding more thoughts on this next storm later today.
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Jeremy