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JEFF>>> Thanks for the update. Yes I am enjoying this great weather out on the deck jamming to The Eagels Farewell Tour Live from Australia!! You should run that promo from 10 years ago tonight since it has been so long since Gary has been at the maps!! The only part that would stink would be that Gary's companion from then is no longer here. Have a great night!

MCSs sound exciting. Natural Fireworks =)

Don't want anybody's parties washed out! Definitely not a washout likely though. I was looking at this the other day, but if you go back the 59 days before the 4th, we were stuck in the stubborn old NW flow. I'm going to look at the maps later, and think about what will happen at the middle of the month more. It's pretty obvious the last 3rd is going to be hot.

In other conversation, I do not remember the add you are talking about... it must have been when I only had 3 horrible channels. My family didn't get 41 until after the 2001 ice storm when we got a new antenna. Those were the days!

Run the promo at 10! That would be awesome!

Happy 4th?  

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_p12_150l.gif

Not sure I am buying this exactly based on the LRC, but we must watch the little waves...

Greetings, Jeff, on this wonderful calm, cooler summer day.

"Back at the maps" has to be after Gary "served his time" NOT being on a newscast when he was changing TV stations.  I loved the commercials that Windy did during Gary's "time-out".  I've been watching his weather-casting since he first came to Kansas City back in the very early 90's.  

Here's to many more years in Kansas City.  I don't know what we would do without him!!!

And thanks to you, Jeff, for all your behind-the-scenes work, and for when you very capably fill on forecasting the weather!  Edna

should have been "fill in forecasting the weather"

Yeah. I agree with wicked wx, show the promo at 10!

Great to have the comments back, we had some post frontal showers yesterday in the evening, and a double rainbow to boot, so that was nice. The last few storm events kind of only glanced St. Joe, the last heavy rain we had(at least at my house) was a week ago last night although we had some lightning and light rain with the storms that passed to our west and south on Wednesday. But now the low dew points have returned but we will see how long that will last as the jet stream is approaching its weakest time frame.  I do remember that promo., I think, I remember it had windy in it and they were saying something about the first weathercast being done by a dog and it had windy in front of a green screen.

Yea, it would be cool if they allowed you to show the promo at 10 p.m. or maybe put it up on the weather section of the web site for a "tenth anniversary" thing or something;)

La Cygne recieved .90 inches from last nights rain showers.

I remember the Ice Storm, we had to peel the ice off our trees, the only thing keeping htem from snapping was that is was frozen to the ground, we had over 1" of Ice! Hopefully that was a 100 year storm. We still of lots of damage, whe we went to the Cheesecake Factory there was many snapped and uprooted trees.

Back in Liberty after a very uncomfortable week at Lake of the Ozarks.  Got there water temp was 83.  Left it was 90!  Bath water.  I can see Liberty was missed by the storms yesterday as my yard is showing stress.  The Lake was hit hard though last night.  Must have been the storms that went through south side of city.  Tree debris everywhere.  
Thank you for this wonderful weather Jeff!  This was an excellent way to come home.  Actually have windows open to enjoy cooler weather next few days.
All in all it was nice to see family for the week!
Jeff

Weatherteam,

Thanks for the cooler weather. Good job.

Hey, how many more times do you see the current LRC cycling before we look at another pattern? Is this the last cycle for the current LRC? So mid August gets stormy again? Does this fit with the LLTI (Lezak Leaving Town Index). Gary, what are your winter plans? Are you in town or out of town a lot. We could predict storms based on that !!! LOL

Welcome back to KC LibertyJeff!  I can bet that was a little uncomfortable at the Ozarks, better luck to you if you go to Okoboji later this summer. We are up at the Lakes the second week in August this year...that could be sticky!  Liberty didn't really get in the action on Sat, but as we headed out to date night in OP that night, we got to watch the lowering right above us! I was just waiting for the sirens, but it never quite got it's act together.  Still pretty exciting.

LBF1958-
The LRC is wearing down now, and by August, it should be non-existent. Many people have posted that it's the features are becoming weaker as every day goes by. I don't think you can do much with it at all after July.

LBF - each year, the LRC really starts its departure in June, though is still visible into August.  Largely, the measurements of heights in the lower 48 are very hard to detect the LRC right now, but we still see the movements of the same pattern.

The question becomes, while we can still see the same movement as seen in Canada, does it still have an impact here?  So far, yes.  I think as we go into mid-late July, we will begin to lose most of the LRC characteristics, but there will still be some continuing into August.

We don't think it can just "stop", rather it continues to fade as the jet stream continues to retreat.  Even as the new pattern begins, we still see perhaps some remnants of the old into late August and early September.

This year, we will learn quite a bit more.  This last summer, we learned a lot as well.  It seems that the LRC comes together in pieces, and we will have to watch carefully what the sequence is of it all coming together.  I have an idea, but we have to see.

In the heart of summer, heights rise and we are much more under the influence of the southern ridging than anything LRC based, although..not impossible still to see major aspects return.  What was the split flow/western troughing in August may only be small waves passing through the Great Basin.  

We are nearing the end and I think some hearty goodbyes will be soon in order.  Chasers cannot have this pattern end fast enough.  I enjoyed it with the big swings of temps and the balance of NW and SW flow through the two parts of the cycle.  Too bad the SW flow was so dysfunctional.  All we needed were just a few more of those ULL to eject whole and not sheared and we could have had a whollop of a Winter and a very BUSY Spring...but..such is Mother Nature.

;-)

Thanks kcwxguy!

The eldest daughter (almost 20) wanted to go storm chasing Sat. afternoon. So we hopped into the old car and off we went. We had radar going on the cell phone, another cell phone that was receiving weather text messages and had googlemaps on it. I figured it would be ok since we were not expecting any tornados. My daughter heard about dime sized hail in Grandview so we hopped onto the 470 and headed there. I figured we could get to the back side of the storm and see some good lightning. Well we never did see any lightning but we did run into the core of a microburst I think. It was intense! People pulled over, others with their hazard lights on. The wiper were on high and had a hard time keeping the windshield viewable, the wind was really really strong blowing across the freeway and there was localized flooding on the freeway. The speeds on the freeway lowered to about 25 miles per hour and it was dangerous even at those speeds. I was driving a heavy car and I even hydroplaned a little bit, something I very rarely have happen. The irony of everything is that we never did see any lightning until that night when the storm was down by Lake of the Ozarks. From the house (in Lee's Summit) we could see the lightning down there.

As to the chances for rain on or near the 4th.. It seems like every year (at least since we moved here in Aug of 05) it rains either on the 3rd, or on the day of the 4th. I think one year we had drizzle the night of the 4th. So I don't think it will be a 4th of July if we did not have a chance for some wet stuff.

Stay safe everyone and enjoy the cooler weather!