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NBC Action Weather Blog

Clouds...Sun...Heat Looms

Watch NBC Action News HD at 5 & 10 p.m. for Kansas City's most accurate forecast!

Good Sunday bloggers!  A huge thank you to everyone who shared rain totals yesterday!  I used several on our 5pm newscast on Saturday.  Now onto the weather for the second half of the weekend.  The day will start out cloudy in the metro, and some patchy drizzle or mist is possible.  The drizzle and mist should end early, with the clouds thinning by the midday hours.  There will be some morning sunshine, most abundant near and north of highway 36.

Below is the RUC cloud cover forecast by 1 p.m. today.  Notice the sunshine trying to work in from the north.  Overall, today should be pretty nice with highs in the 80s.

For this week, the focus will be on the building heat to our west.  The next round of 90 degree plus heat should begin to push in by Wednesday.  The ridge will move closest to Kansas City by probably Friday.  This should translate into highs well into the 90s, and heat indices of 105+ once again.  Below is the 6Z GFS 500mb forecast for this coming Friday.

If you have yard to work or other outdoor plans and want to avoid the heat, Monday and Tuesday look like nice days this week.  By Wednesday the tempeatures could push into the low 90s.

I hope everyone enjoys the last day of the holiday weekend, and thank you for stopping by Kansas City's #1 source for weather information!

Jeremy

Published Sunday, July 05, 2009 6:01 AM by Jeremy WxPlus

Comments

 

Brocksmama said:

Ug, looks like the heat will be in full force just in time for my niece's wedding on Friday- thankfully it's inside!!  Last night however was absolutely perfect weather for Starlight Theatre!!  What a great evening temperature-wise!!
July 5, 2009 9:17 AM
 

thewatchd0g said:

Yeah, this forecast just makes me want to buy a drum of roundup and kill my lawn. At least I'll be able to jump into the pool most every day this week.
July 5, 2009 9:50 AM
 

ChicagoExPat said:

Watchdog, forget the roundup. I'll send my dogs over to "water" it for ya!

This morning has been perfect weather for garden work. The sun came out for a few minutes and my husband yelled "Damned sun!"   LOL, he doesn't mind golfing in sunny 100-degree heat, but sun and 70 degrees in the garden is intolerable!

The Evil Teenager down the block set off M80s at 9am. Dear Husband had to restrain me from going down there and doing an impression of my mother...


Tina
July 5, 2009 10:32 AM
 

Xenodiagnostic said:

watchd0g-
You'd be better off having ugly grass than no grass during excessive heat. If you kill it off, and it can't come back for a year or so, the dry, black dirt gets VERY hot. Believe me, I used to have that problem.

Looks like I will have to board up the windows once more due to the heat on the way. I will usually try anything to keep it cool in the house.

If you had bunches of rain from those storms the other night, I want to wish you the best. ;) That will be quite muggy.
July 5, 2009 10:45 AM
 

Xenodiagnostic said:

Tina,
That's not bad! I had the rocks of some gigantic fireworks still hitting my roof until 3am when I was at the Lake of the Ozarks the other night.

When I'm at home, I can go outside and see the fireworks yet not hear them since I am on a hill, and my nearest neighbors are literally a mile away! 1.25 to be exact.
July 5, 2009 10:51 AM
 

tirzah2 said:

Jeremy, I was gone for the past couple of day so just had the chance to see how much rain my stratus gauge collected and it held 2.13 inches of rain for this 4th of July weekend.

Laura 'n Raytown

*******************

A nice rain...thanks for the total.

Jeremy

July 5, 2009 11:29 AM
 

Bob from Lawrence said:

Guys, I've lost track of whether the hourly forecast and 5 day forecast that are posted to this web site are from your in-house forecasting models, from the NWS, or from one of the many other external sources that are out and about. 

*******************

We update the 7 day and day planner.  The other stuff is from an outside source.

Jeremy

July 5, 2009 12:10 PM
 

lezakEF5 said:

Hey Jeremy, I was wondering since there are only 5 maps on the weather page if you guys could add a sixth one showing current dewpoints or something?

Just wondering as there seems to be a gap that needs to be filled in.

Alex in Marceline
July 5, 2009 2:20 PM
 

wicked wx said:

Still doing the "heat wave formula" Xenodiagnostic?
July 5, 2009 3:14 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

Jeremy...its going to be tough to get a heat wave going if you are just going for 92 on Sunday.  LOL

**************************

But Thursday-Saturday might be 95+...

Jeremy

July 5, 2009 5:30 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

Hey Jeremy...you might think about this for a last blog of the night...how about you recycle your first prediction again for thus upcoming week?

http://community.nbcactionnews.com/blogs/weatherblog/archive/2009/05/17/4074941.aspx

I think it would be PERFECT in illustrating the LRC.

Oh..and if you need a map to use to compare, you might consider this one...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_192l.gif

We know the GFS is a few days fast this far out.  Can you believe this?  This is insane!
July 5, 2009 5:40 PM
 

momof3 said:

Chicagoexpat- I think you need to calm down a little bit with the evil teenager business.  Teenagers are kids, they are ornery sometimes but they are still kids.  Chill out, it is a holiday and it won't last forever.
July 5, 2009 5:51 PM
 

Xenodiagnostic said:

Thursday through Saturday nights look to be good for tropospheric ducting once more, which means I will have plenty of television to watch, if I didn't already have enough. It'll also mean that KOLR10 will likely be interfered with once more. It's all good though :)
July 5, 2009 6:32 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

Xeno - indeed these patterns can increase a programming lineup, huh?  With the inversions being the key, I suspect your best TV watching is overnight?

Nice to see discussion weather related touching on other facets of science.  

Too bad inversions in Winter could not be used as handily as they can be just as robust or more, but likely the more likely cloud cover and more prevalent pressure gradients would be too disruptive.

Also, nice touch in linking your name to explain your comment.

*********************

Since the DTV conversion I can pick up a couple of Topeka stations at home.  When I was growing up I was in an area that had 3 different CBS affiliates.  That was great for NFL games...often there would be two different games on:) 

Jeremy

July 5, 2009 7:11 PM
 

FlakeFan said:

I'm in san Diego and people were setting of slow burning wick firecrackers and throwing them in peoples yards. Very scary here and much worse a crime that in Kansas. Dry here, perfecct to go wandering in the desert today! It only got to 102 degrees. I think we all got heat exahstion once we walked over the first tresle.
July 5, 2009 9:26 PM
 

Xenodiagnostic said:

They actually have forecast models for this.
http://www.dxinfocentre.com/tropo.html

Down here in the Lincoln area, I am able to pick up 3 stations from each major network all of the time on digital. (KC, Springfield, Columbia)

I have experienced times during the middle of the day where I can pick up stations from Miami, Florida, or sometimes stations from Mexico on analog channels 2-5. It was strong enough 1 time to where it took over 3 from Springfield, or even channels 4 and 5. This happened back during a heat wave we had in 2006 when I was down here that summer.

During the nights of that heatwave in 2006, it was just a mess. During one part of the night, I had probably 30+ analog stations, and then later, I had only 2 or 3 that were watchable simply because there were too many stations and they were all too strong, and they interfered each other. This happened for a couple nights.

Now that the analog channels are gone, and there are just the digital frequencies, I seem not to have as big of a problem in terms of interference as I did back then. The stations that left their frequencies on VHF seem to be the only ones to be interfered with. KSHB comes in pretty good. :)

The calm patterns always have the best signal, and it is often exceptional during a nice long heatwave with much humidity. Thus stated, this didn't happen much last year!
July 5, 2009 9:31 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

Jeremy - too bad its Topeka stations..not much going on there...  

Growing up in S. Minnesota, you had the Packers and Vikings, yes?  Hmmm...sounds like your luck in seeing the Topeka stations is more interesting.

;-)

***********************

It was usually Vikings & Packers growing up for the MN stations.  We also could get the Sioux Falls stations...so Broncos and Chiefs games would pop up too.

Jeremy

July 5, 2009 9:49 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

Xeno - based on your location, it seems you have your choice of relevancy based on being almost smack dab in the triangle of KC, Columbia and Springfield.  It its own right, that is a luxury.

I have been digital since I can remember [yes, I remember HBO when it had the intro of the miniature city], so I have no good analog stories to share short of some pretty wicked citizens band skips I encountered.  

Looking long range, it will be interesting to watch from the 18th on.  If things go as expected, the high pressure that will be to our West will shift quickly over the Central Plains and head to the mid Atlantic states.  That could bring some hot temps over that area.

At the same time, we should see a developing Canadian ridge that should bring split flow to the CONUS...the problem is in late July, there is little flow to being with.  This should stagnate the Central Plains.  This was also the same part of the pattern that brought that weird subtropical storm up from Florida.

If we have stagnant air, and likely dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s based on transevapration, it is going to be horrible feeling outside.

After this week of upcoming heat, we will get a nice break around the 14th or so with a cold front that will make it through the area followed by a few days of storminess until the ridge begins moving east.  We should have some moisture in the ground to lend to the higher humidity.

;-)



July 5, 2009 10:27 PM
 

Andrew_Stafford said:

Jeremy,

You actually don't have Satellite or Cable?!!!?!?!!?
July 5, 2009 11:40 PM
 

JFTtown said:

"Since the DTV conversion I can pick up a couple of Topeka stations at home"

Jeremy.  I live in Topeka and our station always shows Chiefs games when they are on (as they should).  However, when the Chiefs are not on they will sometimes show a different game than the KC CBS station which is nice (if it isn't blacked out!).  


"Jeremy - too bad its Topeka stations..not much going on there..."

You can say that again, Scott.  Our wonderful cable company often blocks the Kansas City CBS station during regular programming as well (at the request of the Topeka station), so we can't usually watch a different game if it is on.  

July 6, 2009 8:18 AM
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