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NBC Action Weather Blog

November begins...

Watch NBC Action News HD from 8-9 a.m. and at 5 & 10 p.m. for Kansas City's most accurate forecast!

Good Sunday bloggers!  I hope everyone had a great Halloween and if you have a picture of your costume please send me an email and I may add a couple pictures to the blog this afternoon.  Here is one that I received of Zachary dressed in a great Batman costume!

Today starts a new month and likely a weather pattern we have never experienced before!  What lies ahead?  We will give you our thoughts during our winter forecast which is just about 2 weeks away.  There will be more details on that forecast in the coming days.

Before we discuss today's weather let's look back at October.  Here in Kansas City the average monthly temperature was only 50.6 degrees, or 6.2 degrees below average!  The coldest temperature at KCI was 31 degrees on the 18th, with the warmest reading coming on October 1 at 76 degrees.  The rain total was 3.66", which was 0.33" above average. 

For today we are going to see temperatures about 10 degrees above average!  Highs should warm into the 60s to around 70 degrees.  By early Monday a cold front will sweep thru the region.  Behind this front winds will turn to the north at 10-20 mph and cooler air will gradually move in.  Highs Monday should still be in the low 60s in the city, and then likely back into the 50s for Tuesday.  Below is the forecast surface map at 6 a.m. Monday.  The cold front is just south of Kansas City.

 

Later this week the GFS is advertising another nice warm-up.  Below is the 500mb forecast map for this coming Friday afternoon.  Notice the strongest of the winds are north of the U.S. & Canadian border.  This is a good indication that the jet stream is well to our north.  Also on this map you can see the winds are westerly from the Pacific right to Kansas City.  This zonal flow will keep our temperatures average to above average for much of this week.  And there is a good chance we could be in the 60s to around 70 by late this week!

Just as a reminder with the time change that 'Z' time also changes a bit.  If you look at models like the one above, 18Z will now correspond to 12pm (Noon) and 00Z to 6pm.

Have a great Sunday and make sure to check out our newscasts for the most accurate forecast!

Jeremy 

Published Sunday, November 01, 2009 7:58 AM by Jeremy WxPlus

Comments

 

SmithvilleWest said:

October Weather Stats near Smithville:

Rainfall for the month: 5.25" (4th wettest month this year)
YTD Total: 41.55"

Thanks for the good blogs lately Jeremy.
November 1, 2009 8:20 AM
 

WilliamR said:

Still have not had a freeze here in Lee's Summit, don't know if that's normal or not for this time of year

*********************

I think late October is average for Lee's Summit.  No freezes in the works this week...at least that is the current thinking.

Jeremy

November 1, 2009 8:28 AM
 

davidmcg said:

October stats for McLouth KS

High;  72.6  Oct. 1 and 20
Low;   32.1  Oct. 10
Precip;  3.33"

We had too many cold rainy days out here.  Too many crops still in the fields.
November 1, 2009 9:02 AM
 

homemom said:

SmithvilleWest,

Thanks for the stats.  I live up by the golf course and don't always have my rain gauge up or dumped from the last rain.  I am always watching for your posts to catch the rainfall amounts!!

Looking forward to a beautiful, DRY week....
November 1, 2009 9:25 AM
 

ChicagoExPat said:

Good riddance to October, hellllooooo beautiful November!
November 1, 2009 10:23 AM
 

Blusky said:

October weather here in SE Lee's Summit (just west of Greenwood):
Avg. High: 57.4
Avg Low: 43.1
Avg. Daily temp: 50.25
Low temp: 33 Oct 18
High temp: 73 Oct 1
Precip: 8.36" !!!  (3.2" on 10/8)
# of days with highs below 50: 7

Autumn follage: PRICELESS!!!
November 1, 2009 5:11 PM
 

snoman said:

Wow everyone must have been enjoying this beautiful day.Or to wore out from walking the kids around the neighborhoods last night lol.Now bring on the white stuff!!

*********************

...or enjoying the Vikings win over Green Bay.  Maybe that was just me:)

Jeremy

November 1, 2009 8:35 PM
 

luvsnow said:

Yea!  Zachary was so excited to see his picture in the blog. Thanks Jeremy. p.s. we are big Favre fans in this household too..so we enjoyed a good Viking victory!!
November 1, 2009 10:08 PM
 

juba said:

Autumun foliage way past peak at my house now. :(
November 2, 2009 6:23 AM
 

ChicagoExPat said:

We loved that Vikings game, too!  Wasn't it great to see a 37-year old quarterback looking like a kid again?  That's the second time the Vikes have beat GB this season, so I guess it's not a fluke. Since we've always been Bears fans, we were never inclined to cheer for Favre until he left the Packers. Seems like he really thrives playing for an Upper Midwest team.
November 2, 2009 7:14 AM
 

ChicagoExPat said:

It's weird how the autumn color changes seem to work their way from north to south. Our few trees are only just beginning to turn now!  And since we're on the south end of our subdivision, it's funny to see the trees just a block north completely turned, and our are still mostly green.
November 2, 2009 7:16 AM
 

ChicagoExPat said:

Last comment and then I'll shut up -- WOW -- I just heard there was an FBI shootout last evening at our local Subway at Ridgeview and 151st!  That's just a bit too close to home...
November 2, 2009 7:18 AM
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