NBC Action Communities

Blogs
Welcome to NBC Action Communities Sign in | Join | Help
in
Back to NBCActionNews.com Home Blogs

NBC Action Weather Blog

Another Great Day!...UPDATED

Watch NBC Action News HD from 8-9 a.m. and at 5 & 10 p.m. for Kansas City's most accurate forecast!

**************************************

The latest update on Hurricane Ida just came out.  The NHC is now forecasting this to remain a hurricane and make a possible landfall along the U.S. Gulf Coast Monday Night.  Below is the 9pm forecast track.

The forecast track from the NHC from this morning is below, notice the change in forecast speed and location from the morning update which is below. 

**********************************

Good Sunday bloggers!  While our weather is warm and overall pretty quiet, a big weather story is developing off the coast of the Yucatan.  Ida strengthened into a category 1 hurricane overnight.  Right now Ida has maximum sustained winds of 90 mph.  Below is the forecast path for the next several days.

 

Here is the visible satellite image of Ida this morning.  The center of Ida is near the textured clouds between Cuba and the Yucatan.  The clouds are associated with the tallest and strongest thunderstorms, likely in the eye wall.  The eye has not become visible, and may not.  Ida could strengthen a bit more before running into cooler waters in the central and northern Gulf of Mexico. 

Now back to our weather for today.  The only trick to today's forecast is cloud cover.  There are some low clouds trying to develop as more moisture surged into the region overnight.  Dew points are close to 60 degrees in spots.  If more clouds develop today our highs would sit around 70, if we see more sun then mid-70s again.

Either way the 70s are done after today as a cold front nears the region on Monday.  This should give us more clouds and also a chance of a few showers.

Overall there are no big cool downs in sight for the next 5-7 days.  In fact, after a little dip early this week we could make a run toward 70 again!  Below is the 500mb forecast map from the 6Z GFS for Thursday.  This shows another west to southwest flow aloft which would provide us with highs at least in the 60s!  So far November has been about the complete opposite of October temperature-wise.

Don't forget our winter forecast is just over a week away!  This will help break down the winter and give you an excellent idea of what to expect for temperatures and snow!  Have a great day and thank you for stopping by the Action Weather Blog!

Jeremy

Published Sunday, November 08, 2009 6:42 AM by Jeremy WxPlus

Comments

 

marlina10 said:

Yesterday's weather was beautiful! The squirrels were taking advantage of the warm up with a lot of activity preparing for the winter. I'm looking forward to enjoying another beautiful day today!

**************************

This has been a nearly perfect November weekend!  Enjoy today...this can't last forever.

Jeremy

November 8, 2009 8:01 AM
 

pvt_murphy said:

so where are you headed jeremy? I gather its somewhere that gets a lot of snow...any more hints?
November 8, 2009 8:40 AM
 

juba said:

[Itcs/]Moving On...[\Itcs] Do we get a little sneak peak of the winter forecas this year? Were all holding our breath now :)
November 8, 2009 9:10 AM
 

WinterTracker said:

If this winter is like october and november, that will be awesome! Half of the time it would be cold and snowy, and the other half, it would be warm and dry. Doesn't that sound perfect?! XD
November 8, 2009 12:29 PM
 

kcwxguy said:

A few interesting things...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_036l.gif

1. Ida is shown by the GFS arriving to the US near New Orleans.  The main point to show is while we think of hurricanes as being huge weather events [which they are at the surface and lower levels, look at the vorticity shown at 500mb.  Not much.  Not when you compare it to other low level features shown on the map.  It really isn't much larger at the 500mb level than a shortwave.

2.  While we have had great weather, the pattern is soon to be changing again back to a more amplified and stormy pattern.  In the above map, you can see the beginning of a string of storms evolving from the Pacific in the NW.  This is similar to what we saw in October.

3.  This current flow is similar to parts in late September where we had a ridge/trough/ridge pattern.  Only, in late September, we had a ULL get trapped under the ridge, cutoff and wonder around until being swept up by a fast moving wave in central Canada.

I think things should become a bit more exciting toward the end of this upcoming week onward.  We may have a few more warm days, but I don't see anything long lasting and should see more variability upcoming.
November 8, 2009 2:21 PM
 

Nick Rau said:

Well yes just compare the scope of Ida, to the scope of the massive storm that was in the north east Pacific off of west Canada a few days ago, there is no comparison, I can't even Imagine the waves that the latter would produce, if the geography was different, like if west Canada had the geography of the gulf coast and had the population/construction of the gulf coast that storm would have been a disaster.
November 8, 2009 3:55 PM
 

Andrew_Stafford said:

What's the best sites for surface maps? Archived?    I like UCAR, but it's a little crowded to see all the measurements,etc

********************

Try this one...

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/index_20080813.html

November 8, 2009 5:08 PM
 

snoman said:

Scott,                    so do you think the cold air will return also? Wouldn't that put us at around a 45 day cycle?
November 8, 2009 9:07 PM
 

Alden said:

http://bottomlinecom.com/kcnews/nelsonleavingkshbtv41.html

Yeah, probably not want people wanted to hear. Or have on the blog. Sorry...
November 9, 2009 6:13 AM
 

ChicagoExPat said:

Drat, I had really hoped we would get through an entire hurricane season without one making landfall in the U.S.  Here's hoping for minimal property damage and no injuries!
November 9, 2009 6:37 AM
 

ChicagoExPat said:

Can we please drop the personal discussion about JN and get back to the weather? When he wants us to know anything, he'll tell us. Please let's respect his privacy.
November 9, 2009 6:40 AM
Anonymous comments are disabled

This Blog

Post Calendar

<November 2009>
SuMoTuWeThFrSa
25262728293031
1234567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
293012345

Syndication

Inergize Digital Media This site powered by Inergize Digital Media. The views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of this station.