Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

Xenodiagnostic — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 00:56:59 GMT

This is different. I simply do not remember a thermal low effecting us in recent history. It's hard to imagine 117 degrees somewhere as close as North Oklahoma, and it's especially odd to see 117 degrees with dewpoints in the 60s!

Down here in Lincoln, MO, the atmosphere is supercharged in a way. My thermometer isn't the most accurate in terms of the official stations, but is always pretty darn close. We've had very light showers from time to time, but the sun has came out too, and I guess that is what is causing my dewpoint reading at 84 right now. It was up to 86 for a time! The highest I've seen it read before this evening is 82! It was hovering at about 75-77 before this.

I am personally expecting storms here later. I have more confidence in my forecast for tonight. LOL!

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

bewild79 — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 01:05:51 GMT

I have not been able to see any forecasts today...can someone tell me if we are expecting any storms overnight? thanks
becky

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

sportsfreaked — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 01:16:23 GMT

BECKY>>> It all depends on what happens in Western Kansas. If storms get going out west and to our south west then there is a chance for storms to come into KC. How strong and what part of the KC metro is the big question mark. The chance of severe weather is slim with the chance being mostly hail abd some strong winds. As always just my 2 cents and I am no means an expert!!
ED

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

Xenodiagnostic — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 01:36:02 GMT

Becky-
Higher chances are south of the metro. In general, the further south, the higher the chance. I have a pretty good chance in my location most likely.

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

bewild79 — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 01:48:22 GMT

Thanks for the info!

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

sportsfreaked — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 01:51:11 GMT

You are welcome

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

Xenodiagnostic — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 01:59:16 GMT

New MD come right up to the east side of Kansas City.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1511.html

Looks like the area out in the Manhattan area is the best in terms of development so far, yet it's not even that great... yet at least. ;) Looking for some development there in terms of some storms.

Now, these don't look to be even close in comparison to the awesomeness of what southern Kansas looks to have. Look at the Dodge City radar. There is an outflow going south, and some thunderstorms, which haven't been very severe yet, are moving north.
http://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php?rid=ddc&product=N0R&loop=yes
Awesome. Looks like there might be a big cluster trying to become there, but it doesn't look like it will move much!

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

juba — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 02:27:31 GMT

There was a tree like that in the picture that fell over near Blue Valley West when the december storms came through, but it got uprooted, not snapped. Thosw winds were probably a lot stronger scince there we no leaves and the tree was uprooted. Does the NWS change warning criteria for damage in the winter? Everything tends to be frozen, hardened, and just harder to hurt. Probably 80-90 MPH then. Scary up north, glad our damage was minor.

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

farmgirl — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 05:47:36 GMT

Gusty winds, thunder and a bit of rain in La Cygne. I though severe weather was suppose to die down after June 15. Seems to be hanging on this year.

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

davidmcg — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 06:46:24 GMT

Wow, NWS just issued a significant weather event for Jefferson and Douglas County until 2:15AM. We got heavy lightening all around me. I am up smoking a massive quantity of meat for family reunion later today. This isn't going to make it any easier. But it is a fantastic light show to the west and south of McLouth/Oskaloosa.

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

weatherwyco — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 06:47:34 GMT

Line of storms to the west of the KC Metro area went up fast. LLJ must be kicking in.

Bryan

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

chieffan07 — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 06:49:09 GMT

Hello, I was unable to watch any of the newscasts tonight. Could anyone give me an idea of what to expect tonight? Are the storms that are near Topeka expected to make it to the metro? Are we expecting any severe weather during the overnight hours?

I know that’s a lot of questions but and help would be greatly appreciated.

Thank you

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

davidmcg — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 07:03:47 GMT

The LLJ has to be kicking in. This stuff went from very little to this big blob. Just between McLouth/Oskaloosa and Lawrence they are getting hammered. Just got of the phone with a firefighter down that way. Raining so heavy he can't see 50' out to his truck except when the lightening flashes and very heavy pea size hail, winds around 30. Missing me by about 3 miles.

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

davidmcg — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 07:06:37 GMT

Urban and Small Stream Advisory now Northern Douglas and Southern Jefferson County. Additional 2" of rain in next hour.

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

farmgirl — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 08:55:18 GMT

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Cass and Clinton CO.

Now, I wonder why my NOAA radio alarmed me since I have it set for Miami and Linn CO. It has been doing this lately. Anyone have any ideas?

re: Storm Picture...T-Storm Chances

farmgirl — Sat, 11 Jul 2009 08:56:33 GMT

I should say Henry County - Clinton, MO for the Warning.